{"id":30188,"date":"2026-03-12T14:04:33","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T14:04:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/aubankta-dalga-4-genisleyen-ucgen-devam-eden-yukselis-dongusunde-1138-1322-hedefli-impulsif-ralliye-isaret-ediyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-12T14:04:33","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T14:04:33","slug":"aubankta-dalga-4-genisleyen-ucgen-devam-eden-yukselis-dongusunde-1138-1322-hedefli-impulsif-ralliye-isaret-ediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/aubankta-dalga-4-genisleyen-ucgen-devam-eden-yukselis-dongusunde-1138-1322-hedefli-impulsif-ralliye-isaret-ediyor\/","title":{"rendered":"AUBANK\u2019ta dalga (4) geni\u015fleyen \u00fc\u00e7gen, devam eden y\u00fckseli\u015f d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcnde 1138\u20131322 hedefli impulsif ralliye i\u015faret ediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"AU Small Finance Bank Ltd. (AUBANK) i\u00e7in, dalga II\u2019de 477,75 seviyesinde bir d\u00fczeltme d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn tamamland\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve ard\u0131ndan dalga III ile yeni bir y\u00fckseli\u015f d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor. 477,75\u2019ten itibaren hisse \u00f6nce \u00fc\u00e7 dalgal\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015f yapt\u0131, ard\u0131ndan \u201cmavi dalga (4)\u201d olarak etiketlenen bir d\u00fczeltme s\u00fcrecine girdi.\n\nMavi dalga (4), Elliott Dalga\u2019da (fiyat hareketlerini dalgalar halinde a\u00e7\u0131klayan teknik analiz yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131) g\u00f6r\u00fclen \u201cgeni\u015fleyen \u00fc\u00e7gen\u201d formasyonu (fiyat aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n giderek b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma\/konsolidasyon yap\u0131s\u0131) olarak anlat\u0131l\u0131yor. Bu \u00fc\u00e7genin 895,05 civar\u0131nda bitti\u011fi, yani yatay-s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma d\u00f6neminin tamamlanm\u0131\u015f olabilece\u011fi ifade ediliyor.\n\nBir sonraki beklenen hareket, dalga 5\u2019te y\u00fckseli\u015f. Ama\u00e7, daha b\u00fcy\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015f dizisi i\u00e7inde \u201csiyah dalga ((1))\u201di tamamlamak. Fibonacci projeksiyonuna (olas\u0131 hedefleri oranlarla hesaplayan y\u00f6ntem) g\u00f6re hedef 1138,75 civar\u0131; bu seviye dalga (3)\u2019\u00fcn 0,618 uzatma (extension) oran\u0131, yani \u00f6nceki hareketin belirli bir oranla \u201cdevam\u201d hedefi olarak veriliyor.\n\n\u00dcst s\u0131n\u0131r 1322,35 olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor. Gerek\u00e7e: dalga (3)\u2019\u00fcn dalga (1)\u2019den daha k\u0131sa oldu\u011fu s\u00f6yleniyor; bu nedenle dalga 5\u2019in 1322,35\u2019in alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor. 1322,35\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131, Elliott kurallar\u0131ndaki \u201c3. dalga en k\u0131sa olamaz\u201d kural\u0131n\u0131 bozaca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in senaryoyu ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131labilir.\n\nFiyat 1138,75\u20131322,35 b\u00f6lgesine ula\u015ft\u0131ktan sonra, dalga ((2)) i\u00e7inde bir d\u00fczeltme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu geri \u00e7ekilmenin 3, 7 veya 11 \u201csal\u0131n\u0131m\u201d (swing: trend i\u00e7inde ini\u015f-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f ad\u0131mlar\u0131) s\u00fcrebilece\u011fi, ana yap\u0131n\u0131n ise 477,75 \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece ge\u00e7erli oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor.\n\nOcak zirvesinden bu yana hisse konsolidasyona girdi ve \u015fu anda 1050 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu geri \u00e7ekilme, ko\u015fu s\u0131ras\u0131nda y\u00fckselen \u201c\u00f6rt\u00fck oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc; bu da opsiyon primlerini (opsiyonun fiyat\u0131) daha cazip hale getirebilir. T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapanlar\u0131n, bunun yeni bir y\u00fckseli\u015f baca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ncesi k\u0131sa bir mola m\u0131 yoksa daha derin bir d\u00fczeltmenin ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 m\u0131 oldu\u011funu de\u011ferlendirmesi gerekiyor.\n\nY\u00fckseli\u015fin yak\u0131nda devam edece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler i\u00e7in, Nisan veya May\u0131s 2026 vadeli \u201czarar-kesin daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131\u201d kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 out-of-the-money (OTM: kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyattan daha yukar\u0131da olan) al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) kald\u0131ra\u00e7l\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunabilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin 1100 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call, hisse 1138 hedefine yeniden y\u00f6nelirse belirgin fayda sa\u011flayabilir. Bu y\u00f6ntemde risk, \u00f6denen primle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131d\u0131r.\n\nAlternatif olarak, hissenin belirli bir seviye \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131n\u0131 bekleyip hemen y\u00fckseli\u015f \u015fart g\u00f6rmeyenler i\u00e7in put kredi spread\u2019i (ayn\u0131 vadede bir put sat\u0131p daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put alarak risk s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 prim toplama stratejisi) uygun olabilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin 1020 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put sat\u0131p, korunma i\u00e7in 980 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put al\u0131nabilir; aradaki net prim tahsil edilir. Bu pozisyon, AUBANK vade sonuna kadar 1020\u2019nin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131rsa kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flar.\n\nRisk y\u00f6netimi kritik; 1010 civar\u0131ndaki mevcut konsolidasyon dip seviyesinin alt\u0131na net bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m, d\u00fczeltmenin uzad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret edebilir. 2025\u2019ten gelen uzun vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm fiyat 477,75\u2019in \u00fczerinde kald\u0131k\u00e7a ge\u00e7erli olsa da, yak\u0131n vadede bu deste\u011fin alt\u0131na sarkma \u201chemen y\u00fckseli\u015f\u201d senaryosunu bozabilir ve uzun pozisyonlar\u0131n yeniden de\u011ferlendirilmesini gerektirebilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AUBANK\u2019ta Elliott\u2019a g\u00f6re geni\u015fleyen \u00fc\u00e7gen sonras\u0131 dalga 5 y\u00fckseli\u015fi bekleniyor: 1138,75 hedef, 1322,35 \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r. 1010 alt\u0131 risk. OTM call\/put kredi spread\u2019iyle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskli stratejiler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30188","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30188","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30188"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30188\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30188"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30188"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30188"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}