{"id":30176,"date":"2026-03-12T10:09:54","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T10:09:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/korfezdeki-gerilimler-nedeniyle-guvenli-liman-talebi-artarken-eur-jpy-18350-seviyesine-yaklasiyor-ancak-genel-yukselis-egilimi-korunuyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-12T10:09:54","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T10:09:54","slug":"korfezdeki-gerilimler-nedeniyle-guvenli-liman-talebi-artarken-eur-jpy-18350-seviyesine-yaklasiyor-ancak-genel-yukselis-egilimi-korunuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/korfezdeki-gerilimler-nedeniyle-guvenli-liman-talebi-artarken-eur-jpy-18350-seviyesine-yaklasiyor-ancak-genel-yukselis-egilimi-korunuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"K\u00f6rfez\u2019deki gerilimler nedeniyle g\u00fcvenli liman talebi artarken EUR\/JPY 183,50 seviyesine yakla\u015f\u0131yor; ancak genel y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimi korunuyor."},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/JPY, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde 183,55 civar\u0131na geriledi. G\u00fcvenli liman al\u0131mlar\u0131 Japon Yeni\u2019ni destekledi. NBC News, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u201csava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131ndan bu yana en yo\u011fun operasyonunu\u201d ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131; Tel Aviv ve Hayfa y\u00f6n\u00fcne geli\u015fmi\u015f balistik f\u00fczeler (uzun menzilli, y\u00fcksek h\u0131zda giden g\u00fcd\u00fcml\u00fc roketler) f\u0131rlatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, Umman\u2019\u0131n da Mina Al Fahal\u2019dan t\u00fcm gemileri tahliye etti\u011fini bildirdi.\n\nOrta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilimler, g\u00fcvenli liman varl\u0131klara (kriz zamanlar\u0131nda tercih edilen ara\u00e7lar) talebi art\u0131rd\u0131; bu da parite \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratabilir. Euro taraf\u0131nda, ECB (Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131) yetkilisi Isabel Schnabel, yeni \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k tahminlerin \u0130ran\u2019daki sava\u015f\u0131n ekonomi \u00fczerindeki etkisini k\u0131smen i\u00e7erece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.\n\n<h3>Jeopolitik Risk Yen Talebini Art\u0131r\u0131yor<\/h3>\nECB Y\u00f6netim Konseyi \u00fcyesi Peter Kazimir, faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n (merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n politika faizini y\u00fckseltmesi) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden daha yak\u0131n olabilece\u011fini, sava\u015f\u0131n enflasyon beklentilerini (gelecekte fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc) y\u00fckseltmesi halinde bankan\u0131n harekete ge\u00e7ebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Piyasalar bu a\u00e7\u0131klamalar sonras\u0131 ECB\u2019nin faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini y\u00fckseltti. Swap i\u015flemleri (faiz takas\u0131; sabit ve de\u011fi\u015fken faiz \u00f6demelerinin de\u011fi\u015f toku\u015fu) daha \u00f6nceye g\u00f6re daha h\u0131zl\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nLSEG verilerine g\u00f6re ECB\u2019nin Haziran\u2019da faiz art\u0131rabilece\u011fi fiyatlan\u0131yor. Grafikte EUR\/JPY, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcssel hareketli ortalama; fiyat\u0131n e\u011filimini yumu\u015fatan ortalama) y\u00fckselen hatt\u0131 olan 181,40\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde kal\u0131yor. RSI 51 seviyesinde (g\u00f6receli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi; 0-100 aras\u0131, momentum g\u00f6stergesi).\n\nDestek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte al\u0131mlar\u0131n yo\u011funla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) 183,10, ard\u0131ndan 182,10 ve 181,40\u2019ta g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fte sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) 184,90; sonra 185,70 civar\u0131nda.\n\nK\u00f6rfez\u2019deki yeni \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma, paray\u0131 g\u00fcvenli liman Japon Yeni\u2019ne y\u00f6nlendirerek EUR\/JPY\u2019yi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekiyor. \u0130srail\u2019e y\u00f6nelik f\u00fcze sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 sonras\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar daha g\u00fcvenli varl\u0131klara ge\u00e7iyor. Bu durum, di\u011fer etkenlere ra\u011fmen parite i\u00e7in olumsuz bir r\u00fczg\u00e2r yarat\u0131yor.\n\n<h3>Artan Dalgalanmaya Y\u00f6nelik Opsiyon Stratejileri<\/h3>\nB\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ilk haftalar\u0131nda, \u00f6rne\u011fin 2022\u2019de ba\u015flayan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmada, CBOE Volatilite Endeksi (VIX; S&#038;P 500 i\u00e7in beklenen oynakl\u0131k g\u00f6stergesi) 35\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f ve piyasada y\u00fcksek korkuya i\u015faret etmi\u015fti. Mevcut oynakl\u0131k g\u00f6stergeleri de y\u00fckseliyor. VIX son 24 saatte %12 artarak 19,5\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu, fiyat hareketlerinin geni\u015fleyebilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. B\u00f6yle d\u00f6nemlerde, dalgalanmadan kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen opsiyon stratejileri (opsiyon: belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir; \u00f6rne\u011fin straddle (ayn\u0131 vade ve ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131nda al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonu birlikte).\n\nAyn\u0131 zamanda ECB, enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 sinyali veriyor; bu da Euro\u2019yu g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir. Son veriler, Euro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyonunun ge\u00e7en ay beklenmedik \u015fekilde %2,8\u2019e y\u00fckseldi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi; bu da \u015fahin (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 savunan) mesajlar\u0131 destekliyor. Piyasalar Haziran toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k (0,25 puan) art\u0131\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %75 olarak fiyatl\u0131yor; bu da Euro i\u00e7in yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor.\n\nT\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 finansal ara\u00e7) i\u015flemi yapanlar i\u00e7in ana f\u0131rsat oynakl\u0131k. Y\u00f6n belirsizli\u011fi nedeniyle, spot fiyat\u0131 (anl\u0131k piyasa fiyat\u0131) do\u011frudan almak\/satmak yerine opsiyon almak daha cazip olabilir. Long strangle (farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131nda al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonu almak) stratejisinde, 182,10 deste\u011fine yak\u0131n kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 bir put (sat\u0131m opsiyonu; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften kazan\u00e7) ve 185,70 direncine yak\u0131n kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 bir call (al\u0131m opsiyonu; y\u00fckseli\u015ften kazan\u00e7) al\u0131nabilir. Parite bant d\u0131\u015f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131karsa kazan\u00e7 ihtimali do\u011far.\n\nAlternatif olarak, uzun pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131yanlar a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riski s\u0131n\u0131rlamay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. 181,40 deste\u011finin alt\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put almak, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine kar\u015f\u0131 bir t\u00fcr sigorta i\u015flevi g\u00f6rebilir. Bu seviye kritik; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bunun alt\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 bir ini\u015f, izlenen y\u00fckseli\u015f yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131labilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jeopolitik tansiyon piyasay\u0131 vurdu: EUR\/JPY 183,55\u2019e gerilerken g\u00fcvenli liman Yen g\u00fc\u00e7lendi. Ancak ECB\u2019den faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 sinyali Euro\u2019yu destekliyor. VIX y\u00fckseli\u015fi oynakl\u0131kta opsiyon stratejilerini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30176","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30176","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30176"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30176\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30176"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30176"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30176"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}