{"id":30172,"date":"2026-03-12T10:06:37","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T10:06:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/asya-islemlerinde-aud-usd-guclu-abd-dolari-ralliyi-durdururken-07125e-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-12T10:06:37","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T10:06:37","slug":"asya-islemlerinde-aud-usd-guclu-abd-dolari-ralliyi-durdururken-07125e-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/asya-islemlerinde-aud-usd-guclu-abd-dolari-ralliyi-durdururken-07125e-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Asya i\u015flemlerinde AUD\/USD, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD dolar\u0131 ralliyi durdururken 0,7125’e geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya\u2019da geriledi; d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015f serisi, Haziran 2022\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviye olan yakla\u015f\u0131k 0,7185\u2019in g\u00f6r\u00fclmesinin ard\u0131ndan sona erdi. Parite 0,7130 civar\u0131nda, %0,30 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 0,7125\u2019e kadar indi.\n\nABD dolar\u0131, \u0130srail, ABD g\u00fc\u00e7leri ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 i\u00e7eren gerginli\u011fin artmas\u0131yla g\u00fc\u00e7lendi; bu durum \u201criskli varl\u0131klara\u201d (hisse senedi gibi dalgalanma riski y\u00fcksek yat\u0131r\u0131m ara\u00e7lar\u0131) talebi azaltt\u0131. Ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f, enflasyonun (fiyat art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131) yeniden y\u00fckselebilece\u011fi endi\u015fesini art\u0131rd\u0131; bu da ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) yak\u0131n vadede faiz indirimine gitme beklentilerini zay\u0131flatt\u0131 ve ABD Hazine tahvili getirilerini (tahvilden elde edilen y\u0131ll\u0131k faiz oran\u0131) yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekti.\n\n

Rba Outlook Shifts<\/h3>\nAvustralya\u2019da, RBA (Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131) Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Andrew Hauser\u2019\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 piyasada ikinci bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisinin daha erkene \u00e7ekilmesine yol a\u00e7t\u0131; hatta bunun gelecek hafta gelebilece\u011fi fiyatland\u0131. Bu durum Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekledi ve AUD\/USD\u2019deki kay\u0131plar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131.\n\n4 saatlik grafikte parite 200 periyotluk EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama; fiyat\u0131n genel e\u011filimini yumu\u015fatarak g\u00f6steren teknik g\u00f6sterge) alt\u0131nda kald\u0131 ve ard\u0131ndan 0,7130 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi; al\u0131m-sat\u0131m bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er) 55 civar\u0131nda. MACD (hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n yak\u0131nsakl\u0131k\/\u0131raksakl\u0131\u011f\u0131; trend ve momentum g\u00f6sterir) hafif pozitif kal\u0131rken, momentum zay\u0131flad\u0131.\n\nDestek (fiyat\u0131n tutunma e\u011filiminde oldu\u011fu seviye) 0,7120\u2019de, ard\u0131ndan 0,7080 ve 0,7040\u2019ta; bu b\u00f6lgeler \u00f6nceki dipler ve 200 periyotluk EMA\u2019ya yak\u0131n. 0,7040 alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m (seviyenin kal\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 ge\u00e7ilmesi) 0,7000\u2019i g\u00fcndeme getirebilir. Diren\u00e7 (fiyat\u0131n zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fcst seviye) 0,7150\u2019de, ard\u0131ndan 0,7175 ve 0,7220\u2019de.\n\n

Drivers Behind The New Regime<\/h3>\nO d\u00f6nemde vurgulanan \u201cagresif\u201d RBA duru\u015fu tersine d\u00f6nd\u00fc; Avustralya\u2019da enflasyon %3,2\u2019ye gerileyince merkez bankas\u0131 politika faizini (gecelik faiz hedefi) %3,10\u2019a indirdi. Fed de kendi gev\u015feme d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcne (faiz indirim s\u00fcreci) ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f olsa da, iki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki faiz fark\u0131 ABD dolar\u0131na temel destek sa\u011flamay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu de\u011fi\u015fim, paritenin ge\u00e7en y\u0131l 0,7000\u2019in \u00fczerindeki kazan\u0131mlar\u0131 koruyamamas\u0131n\u0131n ana nedenlerinden biri oldu.\n\nABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 iten riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f azalsa da, Avustralya dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in ba\u015fka alanlardan bask\u0131 olu\u015ftu. Emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda zay\u0131flama g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc; Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n kritik ihracat kalemi demir cevheri 2024 sonlar\u0131nda ton ba\u015f\u0131na 130 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerindeyken \u015fu anda yakla\u015f\u0131k 110 dolara geriledi. Bu durum Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferinde do\u011frudan bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor.\n\nT\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in (de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler), bu ortamda mevcut seviyelerin belirgin \u00fczerindeki kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131na sahip al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 (call; belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) satmak bir se\u00e7enek olabilir; \u00f6rne\u011fin eski destek olan 0,7000 civar\u0131. Mevcut merkez bankas\u0131 politikalar\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, 2025 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki zirvelere h\u0131zl\u0131 bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n s\u00fcrece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler ise 0,6600 deste\u011finin alt\u0131na kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 koyarak sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put; belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) almay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir.\n\nTeknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, 0,7100 \u00fczerinde g\u00f6r\u00fclen dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011fa k\u0131yasla belirgin \u015fekilde bozuldu. 0,7080 civar\u0131ndaki \u00f6nceki destek art\u0131k uzun vadeli g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesi. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda odak, paritenin 0,6600 seviyesini koruyup koruyamayaca\u011f\u0131 olacak; bu seviyenin alt\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 ini\u015f, ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki diplerin yeniden test edilmesinin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7abilir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD\u2019de sert frene haz\u0131r olun: Parite 0,7185 sonras\u0131 0,7130\u2019a geriledi. Jeopolitik risk ve petrol dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirirken Fed indirimi \u00f6teleniyor. Hauser\u2019la RBA s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma beklentisi kay\u0131plar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30172","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30172","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30172"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30172\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30172"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30172"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30172"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}