{"id":30149,"date":"2026-03-12T04:02:46","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T04:02:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/200-gunluk-basit-hareketli-ortalamanin-sma-yakininda-tutunamayan-eur-usd-dolarin-guclenmesiyle-yeniden-geriliyor-simdilik-11500-seviyesi-izleniyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-12T04:02:46","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T04:02:46","slug":"200-gunluk-basit-hareketli-ortalamanin-sma-yakininda-tutunamayan-eur-usd-dolarin-guclenmesiyle-yeniden-geriliyor-simdilik-11500-seviyesi-izleniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/200-gunluk-basit-hareketli-ortalamanin-sma-yakininda-tutunamayan-eur-usd-dolarin-guclenmesiyle-yeniden-geriliyor-simdilik-11500-seviyesi-izleniyor\/","title":{"rendered":"200 G\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalaman\u0131n (SMA) Yak\u0131n\u0131nda Tutunamayan EUR\/USD, Dolar\u0131n G\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle Yeniden Geriliyor; \u015eimdilik 1,1500 Seviyesi \u0130zleniyor"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD ikinci g\u00fcn de geriledi ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalamay\u0131 (SMA: son 200 g\u00fcn\u00fcn kapan\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ortalamas\u0131; uzun vadeli trendi izlemek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r) 1.1672 civar\u0131nda a\u015famay\u0131nca 1.1567\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015ferek g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,38 ekside tamamlad\u0131. Hareket, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki genel g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeyi izledi. Bu g\u00fc\u00e7lenmede, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) k\u0131sa vadede faiz indirmeyece\u011fi beklentisi ve ABD Hazine tahvili getirilerinin (tahvil faizi; piyasan\u0131n faiz beklentisini yans\u0131t\u0131r) y\u00fckselmesi etkili oldu.\n\nParite, 27 Ocak\u2019ta 1.2082 civar\u0131nda zirve g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra yatay seyre ge\u00e7ti ve 1.1700\u2019e do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekildi. Ard\u0131ndan daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tepeler ve daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck dipler olu\u015fturdu, 1.1507\u2019ye indi ve mevcut seviyeye toparland\u0131.\n\nEUR\/USD, 3 Mart\u2019ta \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131ktan sonra yeniden 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n (1.1672) alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131. 1.1500\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na ini\u015f, 5 Kas\u0131m 2025\u2019te g\u00f6r\u00fclen g\u00fcnl\u00fck dip olan 1.1468\u2019de destek (fiyat\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) alan\u0131n\u0131, ard\u0131ndan 1.1450\u2019yi ve 1 A\u011fustos 2025\u2019ten gelen 1.1391\u2019i g\u00fcndeme getirebilir.\n\nYukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde ise fiyat\u0131n \u00f6nce 1.1600 seviyesini yeniden kazanmas\u0131 1.1672\u2019nin tekrar test edilmesi i\u00e7in gerekebilir. Her iki seviyenin de \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde 1.1700\u2019de diren\u00e7 (fiyat\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fte zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\n\nEUR\/USD\u2019nin 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131na inmesi nedeniyle \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisi (ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. 1.1672 \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k sa\u011flanamamas\u0131, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmenin (momentum: fiyat hareketinin h\u0131z ve g\u00fcc\u00fc) zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizinin %4,6 civar\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyretmesi ve ge\u00e7en haftaki ABD T\u00dcFE\u2019nin (CPI: t\u00fcketici enflasyonu verisi) beklentiden bir miktar y\u00fcksek gelmesiyle de destekleniyor. Bu da Fed\u2019in faiz indiriminde acele etmeyece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.\n\nT\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (fiyat\u0131 ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler; \u00f6r. opsiyon) yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in bu ortam, euroda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften ya da yatay seyirden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. 1.1500 gibi psikolojik seviyede (piyasada \u201cyuvarlak rakam\u201d nedeniyle yak\u0131ndan izlenen seviye) veya alt\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put opsiyon (sat\u0131m opsiyonu; belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) almak, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn devam\u0131na do\u011frudan pozisyon alma y\u00f6ntemi. Vade (s\u00f6zle\u015fmenin biti\u015f tarihi) olarak Nisan sonu veya May\u0131s 2026, paritenin belirtilen daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck destek hedeflerini test etmesi i\u00e7in zaman tan\u0131yabilir.\n\nDi\u011fer bir yakla\u015f\u0131m, yukar\u0131daki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc direnci de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in bear call spread kurmak. Bu stratejide 1.1650 civar\u0131nda bir call opsiyonu (al\u0131m opsiyonu; belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) sat\u0131l\u0131r, 1.1700\u2019de koruyucu bir call al\u0131n\u0131r. B\u00f6ylece EUR\/USD, sat\u0131lan kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece gelir elde edilebilir. Risk s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131d\u0131r ve parite 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama alt\u0131nda bask\u0131lan\u0131rsa zaman de\u011feri erimesinden (time decay: vade yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a opsiyon priminin azalmas\u0131) fayda sa\u011flar.\n\n2025\u2019teki fiyat hareketine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7o\u011fu zaman haftalar s\u00fcren bir trendi tetikledi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Kas\u0131m 2025 dipleri 1.1468 ve A\u011fustos 2025\u2019teki 1.1391 sadece grafikte \u00e7izgi de\u011fil; 1.1500 taban\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa yeniden g\u00fcndeme gelebilecek \u00f6nemli seviyeler.\n\nAncak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosunun yanl\u0131\u015f \u00e7\u0131kma riski de y\u00f6netilmeli. G\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde yeniden 1.1600 \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, y\u00fckseli\u015f d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn (trendin yukar\u0131 d\u00f6nmesi) ilk i\u015fareti olur ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 ya da kapat\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini g\u00f6sterir. Parite 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019y\u0131 1.1672\u2019de tekrar geri al\u0131rsa, mevcut d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f tezi tamamen ge\u00e7ersiz hale gelir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/USD, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 1.1672\u2019yi a\u015famay\u0131nca 1.1567\u2019ye geriledi; g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar, y\u00fckselen ABD tahvil faizi ve Fed\u2019in indirime mesafesi bask\u0131 kuruyor. 1.1500 alt\u0131 1.1468-1.1391\u2019i g\u00fcndemde tutuyor. Put\/bear spread \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30149","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30149","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30149"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30149\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30149"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30149"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30149"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}