{"id":30144,"date":"2026-03-12T03:11:43","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T03:11:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/orta-dogudaki-catismalarin-ortasinda-aud-nzd-12100-civarinda-islem-goruyor-piyasa-calkantisi-esliginde-13-yilin-zirvesine-yaklasiyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-12T03:11:43","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T03:11:43","slug":"orta-dogudaki-catismalarin-ortasinda-aud-nzd-12100-civarinda-islem-goruyor-piyasa-calkantisi-esliginde-13-yilin-zirvesine-yaklasiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/orta-dogudaki-catismalarin-ortasinda-aud-nzd-12100-civarinda-islem-goruyor-piyasa-calkantisi-esliginde-13-yilin-zirvesine-yaklasiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ortas\u0131nda AUD\/NZD 1,2100 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; piyasa \u00e7alkant\u0131s\u0131 e\u015fli\u011finde 13 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesine yakla\u015f\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/NZD \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc 1,2100 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve \u0130srail, ABD ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 i\u00e7eren \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya ba\u011fl\u0131 piyasa dalgalanmas\u0131 (piyasada ani ve sert fiyat hareketleri) ortam\u0131nda 13 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Parite 4 saatlik grafikte 1,2091 seviyesinde g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.\n\nAvustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBA), \u015fubat toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan politika faizini (resm\u00ee faiz oran\u0131) 25 baz puan art\u0131rarak %3,85\u2019e y\u00fckseltti. Banka, enflasyonun (fiyat art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131) 2026\u2019n\u0131n 2. \u00e7eyre\u011fi (Q2) civar\u0131nda zirve yapmas\u0131n\u0131 ve 2028\u2019e kadar %2\u20133 hedef aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n orta noktas\u0131na d\u00f6nmesini bekliyor.\n\n<h3>Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ve Piyasa Fiyatlamas\u0131<\/h3>\nYeni Zelanda\u2019da piyasalar, ge\u00e7en ay \u201cOCR y\u0131l boyunca 2,25% civar\u0131nda kalabilir\u201d y\u00f6nlendirmesinden (merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n beklenti y\u00f6netimi) sonra bu y\u0131l birka\u00e7 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor. S\u0131rada 2025 4. \u00e7eyrek Yeni Zelanda \u0130malat Sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve mart ay\u0131 Avustralya T\u00fcketici Enflasyon Beklentileri verileri var.\n\nUluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 (IEA), \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 arz s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (petrol tedarikinde daralma) gidermek i\u00e7in stratejik rezervlerden 400 milyon varil petrol piyasaya s\u00fcrece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Raporda ayr\u0131ca, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n farkl\u0131 faiz yollar\u0131n\u0131n (faiz patikas\u0131n\u0131n) Kiwi\u2019yi (Yeni Zelanda dolar\u0131) etkileyen unsurlardan biri oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekildi.\n\n4 saatlik grafikte fiyat, y\u00fckselen 20 ve 100 periyotluk SMA\u2019lar\u0131n (Basit Hareketli Ortalama: belirli d\u00f6nem fiyat ortalamas\u0131) \u00fczerinde kald\u0131; RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 70\u2019in \u00fczerindeydi. 1 saatlik grafikte RSI 76\u2019ya yak\u0131nd\u0131; 1,2107 diren\u00e7, 1,2080, 1,2020 ve 1,1980 destek seviyeleri olarak izleniyor.\n\n<h3>Opsiyon Pozisyonlanmas\u0131 ve Kritik Seviyeler<\/h3>\nHareketin ana nedeni Avustralya ile Yeni Zelanda aras\u0131ndaki para politikas\u0131 fark\u0131 (faiz ve s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131). RBA, kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in ge\u00e7en ay faizini %3,85\u2019e y\u00fckselterek daha net bir ad\u0131m att\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, piyasa Yeni Zelanda Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBNZ) faiz art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 beklese de banka ge\u00e7en ay iletti\u011fi daha temkinli duru\u015ftan geri d\u00f6n\u00fcyor.\n\nBu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc destekleyen son veriler 2025\u2019in 4. \u00e7eyre\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Avustralya\u2019da T\u00dcFE (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) %4,1 ile y\u00fcksek seyrederken, Yeni Zelanda\u2019da GSYH (GDP: ekonominin toplam \u00fcretimi) %0,2 darald\u0131. Avustralya\u2019da y\u00fcksek kalan enflasyon ve Yeni Zelanda\u2019daki zay\u0131flama, AUD\u2019nin (Avustralya dolar\u0131) daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalabilece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.\n\nT\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapanlar i\u00e7in (t\u00fcrevlere dayal\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnlerle i\u015flem yapanlar) bu tablo, y\u00fckseli\u015fin s\u00fcrmesine oynayan stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Mevcut fiyat\u0131n \u00fczerinde kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun i\u015flem fiyat\u0131) al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: y\u00fckseli\u015fe oynayan opsiyon) almak, \u00f6rne\u011fin 1,2150 civar\u0131, y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalan\u0131rken riski s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 tutman\u0131n bir yolu.\n\nAncak RSI\u2019\u0131n 70\u2019in \u00fczerinde olmas\u0131, piyasan\u0131n \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\u201d b\u00f6lgesinde oldu\u011funa (k\u0131sa vadede yorulma\/geri \u00e7ekilme riski) i\u015faret ediyor. Daha temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olarak bo\u011fa call spread (iki opsiyonlu y\u00fckseli\u015f stratejisi) tercih edilebilir: 1,2100\u2019den call al\u0131p ayn\u0131 anda 1,2200 gibi daha y\u00fcksek bir kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan call satmak. Bu strateji maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcr, kazanc\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar, y\u00fckseli\u015fin duraksamas\u0131 halinde tampon olu\u015fturur.\n\n\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda mart ay\u0131 Avustralya T\u00fcketici Enflasyon Beklentileri verisi kritik olacak. Y\u00fcksek bir ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme, RBA\u2019n\u0131n daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na daha yatk\u0131n) kalaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirerek 1,2107 direncinin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in zemin olu\u015fturabilir. K\u0131sa vadede 1,2080 seviyesi \u00f6nemli destek b\u00f6lgesi olarak izleniyor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jeopolitik dalga en sert tepkiyi AUD\/NZD\u2019de yaratt\u0131: Parite 1,2100 civar\u0131nda 13 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesinde. RBA\u2019n\u0131n %3,85\u2019e \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131, RBNZ belirsizli\u011fiyle ayr\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcyor; RSI a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m, 1,2107 diren\u00e7, 1,2080 destek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30144","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30144","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30144"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30144\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30144"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30144"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30144"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}