{"id":30143,"date":"2026-03-12T03:10:58","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T03:10:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/aud-usd-yatirimcilarin-rbanin-bir-sonraki-toplantida-faizleri-artirmasini-beklemesiyle-07150nin-uzerine-yukseldi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-12T03:10:58","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T03:10:58","slug":"aud-usd-yatirimcilarin-rbanin-bir-sonraki-toplantida-faizleri-artirmasini-beklemesiyle-07150nin-uzerine-yukseldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/aud-usd-yatirimcilarin-rbanin-bir-sonraki-toplantida-faizleri-artirmasini-beklemesiyle-07150nin-uzerine-yukseldi\/","title":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n RBA\u2019n\u0131n bir sonraki toplant\u0131da faizleri art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemesiyle 0,7150\u2019nin \u00fczerine y\u00fckseldi"},"content":{"rendered":"Avustralya dolar\u0131, Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) **faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 beklentilerinin** g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fckseldi. AUD\/USD 0,7152 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; %0,47 artt\u0131.\n\nPiyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda, \u0130srail ile L\u00fcbnan\u2019daki Hizbullah aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n artmas\u0131 dahil Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki geli\u015fmeler vard\u0131. Axios\u2019a verdi\u011fi r\u00f6portajda ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, \u0130ran\u2019da hedef kalmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve \u201cne zaman istersem biter\u201d dedi.\n\n<h3>Petrol Fiyatlar\u0131 Ve Enflasyon Bask\u0131s\u0131<\/h3>\nWTI petrol varil ba\u015f\u0131na 87,57 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015ftirerek yakla\u015f\u0131k %5 y\u00fckseldi. **WTI (Bat\u0131 Teksas tipi ham petrol)**, ABD\u2019de referans kabul edilen ham petrol t\u00fcr\u00fcd\u00fcr. Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131, **400 milyon varilin** piyasaya verilmesini \u00f6nerdi. Lloyd\u2019s of London ise H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ge\u00e7en gemilerin sigortalanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.\n\nBank of America, Goldman Sachs, Westpac ve National Australia Bank, RBA\u2019n\u0131n gelecek hafta faiz art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. RBA Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Andrew Hauser, toplant\u0131da \u201cger\u00e7ek\u201d bir tart\u0131\u015fma olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve \u201cenflasyonun \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek\u201d oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. **Enflasyon**, fiyatlar\u0131n genel d\u00fczeyinin artmas\u0131d\u0131r.\n\nABD\u2019de \u015fubat enflasyonu beklentilere paralel geldi; **T\u00dcFE (CPI)** y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,4, **\u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE (core CPI)** y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,5 oldu. **\u00c7ekirdek T\u00dcFE**, enerji ve g\u0131da gibi fiyat\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 oynayan kalemler \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131larak hesaplanan enflasyondur. Yak\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanacak veriler aras\u0131nda Avustralya T\u00fcketici Enflasyon Beklentileri ile ABD\u2019de i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131, konut verileri ve d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesi bulunuyor. **D\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesi**, ihracat ile ithalat aras\u0131ndaki farkt\u0131r.\n\nAUD\/USD\u2019de destek seviyeleri 0,7120, 0,7050 ve 0,7000; diren\u00e7 seviyeleri 0,7200 ve 0,7275 olarak izleniyor. 0,7050\u2019nin alt\u0131na ini\u015f, y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimi i\u00e7in risk olarak de\u011ferlendirildi.\n\n<h3>\u0130\u015flem Stratejisi Ve Risk Y\u00f6netimi<\/h3>\nRBA\u2019n\u0131n faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 beklentilerinin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine dayanarak AUD\/USD\u2019de net bir f\u0131rsat g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. **Swap piyasas\u0131 (faiz\/kur beklentilerinin fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131 vadeli piyasa)**, Mart 2025 ba\u015f\u0131 itibar\u0131yla gelecek haftaki toplant\u0131da **25 baz puanl\u0131k** (yani 0,25 puan) art\u0131\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %80\u2019in \u00fczerinde fiyatl\u0131yor. Bu beklenti Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131 desteklemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilir.\n\nOrta Do\u011fu\u2019daki jeopolitik gerilim, \u00f6nemli bir tetikleyici. WTI ham petrol fiyat\u0131 \u015eubat 2025 ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana yakla\u015f\u0131k %15 y\u00fckseldi. Bu petrol \u015foku, Avustralya\u2019da **ithal enflasyon** (d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan al\u0131nan enerji ve mallar\u0131n pahalanmas\u0131yla i\u00e7 fiyatlar\u0131n artmas\u0131) endi\u015fesini art\u0131r\u0131yor ve RBA \u00fczerinde ad\u0131m atmas\u0131 i\u00e7in bask\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. Piyasa bunu merkez bankas\u0131 i\u00e7in **\u015fahin sinyal** olarak okuyor; yani enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131, daha y\u00fcksek faiz anlam\u0131na geliyor.\n\n\u00d6te yandan ABD\u2019nin \u015fubat T\u00dcFE verisi, enerji maliyetlerindeki son y\u00fckseli\u015fi yans\u0131tmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00fcncelli\u011fini yitirmi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. ABD enflasyonu %2,4\u2019te kalsa da ilerleyen raporlar\u0131n daha y\u00fcksek fiyatlar\u0131 g\u00f6stermesini bekliyoruz; ancak k\u0131sa vadede anlat\u0131 AUD lehine. **Ger\u00e7ek zamanl\u0131 enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131ndaki ayr\u0131\u015fma**, Avustralya dolar\u0131na ge\u00e7ici avantaj sa\u011fl\u0131yor.\n\nBu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmle, daha fazla y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisiyle 0,7200 seviyesine yak\u0131n **kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call options)** almay\u0131 planl\u0131yoruz. **Al\u0131m opsiyonu**, belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli bir fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fmedir. Bu pozisyonlar, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 0,7275 direncine do\u011fru s\u00fcrecek bir y\u00fckseli\u015ften kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flamay\u0131 hedefler. Mevcut olumlu momentum (fiyat hareketinin y\u00f6n\u00fc), grafik g\u00f6stergeleriyle de destekleniyor.\n\nRiski y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in, RBA\u2019n\u0131n s\u00fcrpriz \u015fekilde faizi sabit tutmas\u0131 halinde kayb\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamak amac\u0131yla **bull call spread** (ayn\u0131 vadede iki al\u0131m opsiyonunu birlikte kullanarak maliyeti ve riski azaltan strateji) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. G\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n 0,7120 deste\u011finin alt\u0131na inmesi, pozisyonu azaltmak i\u00e7in ilk sinyal olur. 0,7050\u2019nin alt\u0131na daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir k\u0131r\u0131lma ise k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131lar ve pozisyondan \u00e7\u0131kmam\u0131za yol a\u00e7ar.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>RBA\u2019n\u0131n faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 fiyatlamas\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenince Avustralya dolar\u0131 parlad\u0131: AUD\/USD 0,7152\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi petrol\u00fc yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131y\u0131p ithal enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131rken hedef 0,7200-0,7275, kritik destek 0,7050.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30143","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30143","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30143"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30143\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30143"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30143"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30143"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}