{"id":30138,"date":"2026-03-12T03:03:55","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T03:03:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/abd-iran-savas-geriliminin-temkinli-havayi-canli-tutmasiyla-eur-usdde-euro-zayifliyor-saticilar-11500-hedefini-zorluyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-12T03:03:55","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T03:03:55","slug":"abd-iran-savas-geriliminin-temkinli-havayi-canli-tutmasiyla-eur-usdde-euro-zayifliyor-saticilar-11500-hedefini-zorluyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abd-iran-savas-geriliminin-temkinli-havayi-canli-tutmasiyla-eur-usdde-euro-zayifliyor-saticilar-11500-hedefini-zorluyor\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD-\u0130ran sava\u015f geriliminin temkinli havay\u0131 canl\u0131 tutmas\u0131yla EUR\/USD\u2019de euro zay\u0131fl\u0131yor, sat\u0131c\u0131lar 1,1500 hedefini zorluyor"},"content":{"rendered":"Euro, ABD-\u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 kaynakl\u0131 temkinli havan\u0131n dolar\u0131 desteklemesiyle \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda geriledi. ABD enflasyon verisi beklentilere paralel geldi. Bu durum, enflasyon Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) %2 hedefinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece Fed\u2019in temkinli (faiz indirimi konusunda acele etmeyen) kalaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.\n\nEUR\/USD 1,1569 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen yakla\u015f\u0131k d\u00f6rt ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesinin hemen \u00fczerinde kald\u0131 ve g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,36 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Parite, 27 Ocak\u2019ta 1,2082 ile Haziran 2021\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeyi g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.\n\n

Teknik G\u00f6stergelere Genel Bak\u0131\u015f<\/h3>\nFiyat, 1,1696 civar\u0131ndaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n (100 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ortalama fiyat\u0131; trend y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor. 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi; 0-100 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda al\u0131m-sat\u0131m bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er) 33\u2019e do\u011fru geriledi; bu seviye a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine (sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n \u00e7ok h\u0131zland\u0131\u011f\u0131, tepki gelme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 alan) yak\u0131n. MACD (hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n fark\u0131yla momentum \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) hem sinyal \u00e7izgisinin hem de s\u0131f\u0131r \u00e7izgisinin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rken, histogram da negatif b\u00f6lgede.\n\nADX 29 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131; bu da trendin daha belirgin oldu\u011funu (y\u00f6n\u00fcn g\u00fc\u00e7 kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131) g\u00f6sterir. Destek seviyeleri 1,1500 civar\u0131nda; sonra 1,1450 ve 1,1400 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Diren\u00e7 ise 1,1650 yak\u0131n\u0131nda ve 1,17 civar\u0131ndaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama b\u00f6lgesinde.\n\nG\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n 1,1700 \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 durumunda odak 1,1800-1,1825 band\u0131na kayabilir. Euro, 20 AB \u00fclkesi taraf\u0131ndan kullan\u0131l\u0131yor ve 2022\u2019de k\u00fcresel d\u00f6viz (FX) i\u015flemlerinin %31\u2019ini olu\u015fturdu; g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama i\u015flem hacmi 2,2 trilyon dolar\u0131n \u00fczerindeydi.\n\nABD-\u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n dolar\u0131 desteklemesi ve Fed\u2019in temkinli duru\u015fu nedeniyle EUR\/USD\u2019de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc trendin s\u00fcrmesini bekliyoruz. Son ABD enflasyon raporu, T\u00dcFE\u2019nin (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi; t\u00fcketicinin \u00f6dedi\u011fi fiyatlar\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fimi) y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda kal\u0131c\u0131 bi\u00e7imde %2,9 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi. Bu tablo, Fed\u2019e faizi indirmek i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir gerek\u00e7e vermiyor ve dolar\u0131n euro kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131n\u0131 destekliyor.\n\n

Politika Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ve Piyasadaki E\u011filim<\/h3>\nAvrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) ise daha zay\u0131f bir ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya; bu da iki merkez bankas\u0131 aras\u0131nda belirgin bir politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. Son veriler, Almanya sanayi \u00fcretiminin ge\u00e7en ay %0,5 darald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi; bu, ge\u00e7en y\u0131ldan bu yana s\u00fcren durgunlu\u011fa i\u015faret ediyor. Bu bask\u0131, ECB\u2019yi Fed\u2019den \u00f6nce para politikas\u0131n\u0131 gev\u015fetmeyi (faiz indirimi veya daha destekleyici ad\u0131mlar) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmeye itebilir ve bu da EUR\/USD \u00fczerinde ek bask\u0131 yaratabilir.\n\nBu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm yeni de\u011fil. Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde 2025\u2019in b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde benzer zay\u0131fl\u0131klar g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi, eurodaki y\u00fckseli\u015f denemelerini s\u0131n\u0131rlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Paritenin 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n belirgin \u015fekilde alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131, sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n kontrol\u00fcn\u00fc korudu\u011funu teyit ediyor. Bu ivmeyle, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn devam etmesini bekliyoruz.\n\nBu harekete pozisyon almak isteyenler i\u00e7in, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 (strike; opsiyonun al\u0131n\u0131p sat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 fiyat) 1,1500 psikolojik seviyesinde veya alt\u0131nda olan put opsiyonlar\u0131 (sat\u0131\u015f opsiyonu; fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan s\u00f6zle\u015fme) almak uygun g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu deste\u011fin net k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc h\u0131zland\u0131rabilir; 1,1450 hedefi g\u00fcndeme gelirken bu opsiyonlar k\u00e2rl\u0131 hale gelebilir. Bu, ADX\u2019in i\u015faret etti\u011fi g\u00fc\u00e7lenen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinden do\u011frudan faydalanman\u0131n bir yoludur.\n\nAlternatif olarak, call opsiyonu (al\u0131\u015f opsiyonu; fiyat y\u00fckselirse de\u011fer kazanan s\u00f6zle\u015fme) satmak veya 1,1700 diren\u00e7 seviyesine yak\u0131n \u00fcst kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 bir \u201cbear call spread\u201d (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisiyle iki call opsiyonunun birlikte kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskli strateji) uygulamak da etkili olabilir. Bu y\u00f6ntem, parite 1,1700 \u00fczerindeki kritik seviyenin \u00fcst\u00fcnde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir toparlanma g\u00f6stermezse hem fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden hem de zaman de\u011ferinin erimesinden (vade yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a opsiyon priminin azalmas\u0131) faydalan\u0131r; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimi korunurken gelir yaratma imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunar.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jeopolitik risk ve Fed\u2019in temkinli duru\u015fu dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirirken EUR\/USD 1,1569\u2019a indi. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm zay\u0131f: 100GHO alt\u0131nda, RSI 33. 1,1500 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 1,1450-1,1400 g\u00fcndemde. ECB bask\u0131da.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30138","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30138","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30138"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30138\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30138"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30138"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30138"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}