{"id":30105,"date":"2026-03-11T17:05:03","date_gmt":"2026-03-11T17:05:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/gbp-usd-13450ye-tirmandi-ortadoguda-gerilimlerin-azalacagi-beklentisi-ve-petrol-kaynakli-enflasyon-baskisinin-hafiflemesi-sterline-destek-verdi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-11T17:05:03","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T17:05:03","slug":"gbp-usd-13450ye-tirmandi-ortadoguda-gerilimlerin-azalacagi-beklentisi-ve-petrol-kaynakli-enflasyon-baskisinin-hafiflemesi-sterline-destek-verdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/gbp-usd-13450ye-tirmandi-ortadoguda-gerilimlerin-azalacagi-beklentisi-ve-petrol-kaynakli-enflasyon-baskisinin-hafiflemesi-sterline-destek-verdi\/","title":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD 1,3450\u2019ye t\u0131rmand\u0131; Ortado\u011fu\u2019da gerilimlerin azalaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi ve petrol kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n hafiflemesi sterline destek verdi"},"content":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc 1,3450\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da gerilimin azalabilece\u011fine dair beklentiler sterlini destekledi; petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi, enerji ithalat\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olan Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k i\u00e7in enflasyon riskini azaltt\u0131.\n\nPiyasan\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda ABD, \u0130srail ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n dahil oldu\u011fu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma vard\u0131. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, sava\u015f\u0131n yak\u0131nda bitebilece\u011fini s\u00f6ylerken, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u0130slam Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 Ordusu (\u00fclkenin askeri g\u00fcc\u00fc i\u00e7inde etkili bir yap\u0131), ABD ve \u0130srail sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fck\u00e7e H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan (k\u00fcresel petrol ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131) petrol sevkiyat\u0131n\u0131n yeniden ba\u015flamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.\n\n

Orta Do\u011fu Gerilimi Ve Sterlin<\/h3>\nParite (iki para biriminin birbirine kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011feri) \u00f6nceki seansta g\u00f6r\u00fclen s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kay\u0131plar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan y\u00fckseldi ve Asya saatlerinde 1,3450 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Piyasa, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n enflasyon \u00fczerindeki etkisinin ilk d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olabilece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne y\u00f6nelince sterlin de\u011fer kazand\u0131.\n\nPetrol fiyatlar\u0131, Wall Street Journal\u2019\u0131n Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (IEA) piyasalar\u0131 dengelemek i\u00e7in \u015fimdiye kadarki en b\u00fcy\u00fck stratejik petrol rezervi sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fini yazmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geriledi. Planlanan sat\u0131\u015f, 2022\u2019de Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 i\u015fgalinin ard\u0131ndan piyasaya s\u00fcr\u00fclen 182 milyon varili a\u015facak.\n\n2025\u2019e d\u00f6n\u00fcp bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi azal\u0131yor alg\u0131s\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011finde sterlin 1,3450\u2019ye do\u011fru toparlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Mant\u0131k netti: petrol ucuzlay\u0131nca Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019ta enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 azal\u0131yor, bu da para birimini destekliyordu. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131 ile sterlin aras\u0131ndaki bu ba\u011f bug\u00fcn de \u00f6nemli.\n\n\u015eu an tablo farkl\u0131; K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz\u2019de (k\u00fcresel deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u00f6nemli rota) sevkiyat\u0131n yeniden aksamas\u0131 belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131rd\u0131. Brent petrol (k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte referans al\u0131nan ham petrol fiyat\u0131) varil ba\u015f\u0131na 95 dolar civar\u0131nda. Bu, ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki \u201cgerilim d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor\u201d beklentilerinden belirgin bir sapma ve Britanya ekonomisi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc do\u011frudan etkiliyor.\n\n

Enflasyon Ve Politika G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\nBu durum, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019ta enflasyonun beklenenden daha yava\u015f gerilemesine yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Ulusal \u0130statistik Ofisi\u2019nin (ONS) son verileri y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonun %3,5 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi. Bu, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) %2 hedefe daha h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f beklentilerini bo\u015fa \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Buradaki \u201cpara politikas\u0131\u201d (faiz ve likidite gibi ara\u00e7larla enflasyonu ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi y\u00f6netme) kararlar\u0131n\u0131 \u015fu anda en \u00e7ok bu kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon etkiliyor.\n\nBunun sonucu olarak piyasa, bu y\u0131l BoE\u2019den beklenen sert faiz indirimlerini b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde geri \u00e7ekti. \u201cDaha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek faiz\u201d beklentisi, zay\u0131f ekonomik ko\u015fullara ra\u011fmen sterline taban destek sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Around 1.2780 seviyesindeki mevcut GBP\/USD kuru, \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faiz indirimi konusunda isteksiz\/s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015flu) merkez bankas\u0131 ile b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye d\u00f6n\u00fck bask\u0131lar aras\u0131ndaki gerilimi yans\u0131t\u0131yor.\n\n\u201cT\u00fcrev\u201d (de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 finansal s\u00f6zle\u015fme) i\u015flemi yapanlar i\u00e7in bu ortam, GBP\/USD \u201copsiyonlar\u0131nda\u201d (belirli bir fiyattan alma-satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) \u201c\u00f6rt\u00fck oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u201d (piyasan\u0131n gelecekte bekledi\u011fi fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) artabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. 1,2850 \u00fczeri \u201ckullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131\u201d (strike: opsiyonun hak fiyat\u0131) \u201cal\u0131m opsiyonu\u201d (call: y\u00fckseli\u015ften yararlan\u0131r) almak, BoE s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015funu korursa sterlinin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine pozisyon almak i\u00e7in bir se\u00e7enek olabilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, hem spot fiyattaki (anl\u0131k kur) y\u00fckseli\u015ften hem de opsiyonlar\u0131n pahalanmas\u0131ndan fayda sa\u011flamay\u0131 hedefler.\n\n\u00d6te yandan y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel yava\u015flamay\u0131 tetikleme riski, sterlin kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir. Bu nedenle \u201csat\u0131m opsiyonu\u201d (put: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften yararlan\u0131r) ile \u201chedge\u201d (korunma) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek mant\u0131kl\u0131 olabilir. 1,2650\u2019deki \u00f6nemli \u201cdestek\u201d (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n devreye girdi\u011fi seviye) alt\u0131na sarkma, h\u0131zl\u0131 bir gerilemeyi tetikleyebilir. Bu y\u00fczden \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda iki y\u00f6nde de g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc harekete kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan yap\u0131lar, \u00f6rne\u011fin \u201cuzun strangle\u201d (daha yukar\u0131 ve daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 iki farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131nda call ve put alarak b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketi hedefleyen strateji) daha temkinli bir tercih olabilir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sterlin s\u00fcrpriz atak: GBP\/USD 1,3450\u2019ye t\u0131rmand\u0131. Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi ve d\u00fc\u015fen petrol enflasyon riskini azaltt\u0131. Ancak y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131, BoE\u2019nin \u201cuzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek faiz\u201d \u00e7izgisini ve oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcndemde tutuyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30105","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30105","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30105"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30105\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30105"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30105"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30105"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}