{"id":30104,"date":"2026-03-11T17:04:06","date_gmt":"2026-03-11T17:04:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/rabobank-petrol-ve-gida-fiyatlarindaki-artisin-enflasyon-endiselerini-ve-dolara-talebi-artirmasiyla-eur-usdnin-dalgali-seyretmesini-bekliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-11T17:04:06","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T17:04:06","slug":"rabobank-petrol-ve-gida-fiyatlarindaki-artisin-enflasyon-endiselerini-ve-dolara-talebi-artirmasiyla-eur-usdnin-dalgali-seyretmesini-bekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/rabobank-petrol-ve-gida-fiyatlarindaki-artisin-enflasyon-endiselerini-ve-dolara-talebi-artirmasiyla-eur-usdnin-dalgali-seyretmesini-bekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Rabobank, petrol ve g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n enflasyon endi\u015felerini ve dolara talebi art\u0131rmas\u0131yla EUR\/USD\u2019nin dalgal\u0131 seyretmesini bekliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"Rabobank, EUR\/USD\u2019nin dalgal\u0131 kalmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Petrol ve g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f enflasyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131) endi\u015fesini b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcrken, ABD dolar\u0131na \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (risk art\u0131nca yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131\u011f\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 varl\u0131k) talebini destekliyor. Banka, 2026\u2019ya kadar ana senaryosunun \u201cdalgal\u0131 bant hareketi\u201d (kurun belirli bir aral\u0131kta gidip gelmesi) oldu\u011funu vurguluyor.\n\nBanka, gelecek hafta Fed (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) ve ECB\u2019nin (Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131) da aralar\u0131nda oldu\u011fu sekiz G10 (10 b\u00fcy\u00fck geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclke) merkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131 bulundu\u011funu, bunun k\u0131sa vadeli sert hareketleri art\u0131rabilece\u011fini belirtiyor. 1\u20133 ayl\u0131k EUR\/USD tahminini 1,16\u2019da tutuyor; ancak H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (petrol sevkiyat\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011fi kritik ge\u00e7it) uzun s\u00fcre fiilen kapal\u0131 kalmas\u0131 halinde kurda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risk olu\u015fabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.\n\n<h3>Key Technical Levels<\/h3>\nYukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalamada (fiyatlar\u0131n 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalamas\u0131; trendi g\u00f6rmek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r) 1,1676 seviyesini diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fi zorla\u015ft\u0131ran seviye) olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Bu hafta EUR\/USD yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,1507\u2019ye kadar geriledi; piyasalar sakinle\u015fmezse bu seviyenin yeniden test edilmesi (yeniden g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi) m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.\n\nRabobank, petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fin ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekledi\u011fini, Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin net enerji ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 (ihracat\u0131ndan fazla enerji alan) olmas\u0131 nedeniyle euronun bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalabilece\u011fini belirtiyor. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda uzun s\u00fcrecek art\u0131\u015f\u0131n EUR\/USD\u2019yi ge\u00e7en yaz g\u00f6r\u00fclen 1,14 b\u00f6lgesine ve daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131s\u0131na itebilece\u011fini ifade ediyor.\n\nH\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n fiilen kapal\u0131 kalmas\u0131n\u0131n k\u00f6r\u00fckledi\u011fi enerji \u015foku, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcvenli liman olarak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tutuyor. Brent ham petrol vadeli i\u015flemleri (ilerideki tarihte teslim i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) varil ba\u015f\u0131na 115 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin net enerji ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 olmas\u0131 euroyu daha k\u0131r\u0131lgan hale getiriyor. Bu tablo, EUR\/USD\u2019de s\u00fcregelen tedirgin ve dalgal\u0131 fiyatlamaya dair g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc destekliyor.\n\nGelecek haftaki merkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131lar\u0131, \u00f6zellikle Fed ve ECB, enflasyon endi\u015feleri artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in kritik olacak. \u015eubat ay\u0131na ait Euro B\u00f6lgesi \u00f6nc\u00fc enflasyon tahmini (resmi veri \u00f6ncesi h\u0131zl\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm) olan %4,2, ECB\u2019nin hareket alan\u0131n\u0131 daralt\u0131yor. ABD\u2019de enflasyonun kal\u0131c\u0131 seyri ise Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015funu (faizleri y\u00fcksek tutma e\u011filimi) destekliyor. Bu \u201cpolitika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131\u201d (merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n farkl\u0131 y\u00f6nde hareket etmesi) euro i\u00e7in olumsuz, dolar i\u00e7in destekleyici bir unsur.\n\n<h3>Options Strategies For Volatility<\/h3>\nBu ortamda, EUR\/USD\u2019de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ihtimale y\u00f6nelik pozisyon (piyasa beklentisine g\u00f6re i\u015flem) f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Son 1,1507 dip seviyesinin alt\u0131ndaki kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike; opsiyonun i\u015flem hakk\u0131 verdi\u011fi fiyat) sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 almak, 1,14 b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru olas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften faydalanman\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskli bir yolu olabilir. Son haftalarda euroda artan net k\u0131sa pozisyonlanma (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde toplam bahis) bunun piyasada yayg\u0131n bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fe d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nY\u00fcksek belirsizlik, \u201coynakl\u0131ktan\u201d (fiyatlar\u0131n sert dalgalanmas\u0131) kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan stratejileri de \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Straddle veya strangle almak (ayn\u0131 vadede farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131nda al\u0131m-sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131yla b\u00fcy\u00fck harekete oynama), merkez bankas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 etraf\u0131nda beklenen sert dalgalanmalar\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmede etkili olabilir. Bu y\u00f6ntem, k\u0131sa vadede y\u00f6n\u00fc tam tahmin etmeden b\u00fcy\u00fck bir harekette kazan\u00e7 f\u0131rsat\u0131 sunar.\n\nYukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler i\u00e7in, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama olan 1,1676\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde al\u0131m (call) opsiyonu satmak ya da ay\u0131 call spread\u2019i uygulamak (\u00fcst seviyelerde call sat\u0131p daha yukar\u0131dan call alarak riski s\u0131n\u0131rlamak) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan bir strateji. Bu seviye y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir diren\u00e7 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi. B\u00f6ylece euro lehine temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm zay\u0131f kal\u0131rken prim (opsiyon sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 geliri) toplanabilir.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>\u00a0. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dikkat: EUR\/USD\u2019de f\u0131rt\u0131na dinmiyor! Rabobank, petrol-g\u0131da kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon ve g\u00fcvenli liman dolarla paritenin 2026\u2019ya dek dalgal\u0131 bantta kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131; 1,16 hedef, 1,1676 diren\u00e7, 1,14 risk vurguluyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30104","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30104","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30104"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30104\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30104"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30104"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30104"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}