{"id":30052,"date":"2026-03-11T05:02:56","date_gmt":"2026-03-11T05:02:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/riskten-kacis-egilimi-trumpin-gerilimi-dusurmeye-isaret-etmesine-ragmen-usd-jpyyi-yaklasik-025-yukselterek-158-civarinda-tutuyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-11T05:02:56","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T05:02:56","slug":"riskten-kacis-egilimi-trumpin-gerilimi-dusurmeye-isaret-etmesine-ragmen-usd-jpyyi-yaklasik-025-yukselterek-158-civarinda-tutuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/riskten-kacis-egilimi-trumpin-gerilimi-dusurmeye-isaret-etmesine-ragmen-usd-jpyyi-yaklasik-025-yukselterek-158-civarinda-tutuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f e\u011filimi, Trump\u2019\u0131n gerilimi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeye i\u015faret etmesine ra\u011fmen USD\/JPY\u2019yi yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,25 y\u00fckselterek 158 civar\u0131nda tutuyor"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,25 y\u00fckseldi ve 158,07 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. A\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131na g\u00f6re yakla\u015f\u0131k 80 pip yukar\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. New York seans\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7 saatlerinde risk i\u015ftah\u0131 zay\u0131flarken, gerilimin d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fine i\u015faret eden a\u00e7\u0131klamalara ra\u011fmen parite 157,27\u2019deki \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00fcnl\u00fck dip seviyeden toparland\u0131.\n\nPazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc \u201cshooting star\u201d mumu (zirvede olu\u015fan, yukar\u0131 denemenin ard\u0131ndan sat\u0131\u015fla kapanan ve geri \u00e7ekilme riski g\u00f6steren mum) g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc i\u00e7in teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm hafif negatif. Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f mumu olu\u015fsa da sat\u0131\u015flar pariteyi 157,27\u2019ye kadar itti.\n\n<h3>Teknik Seviyeler Ve Momentum<\/h3>\nG\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) al\u0131m momentumunun g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fini ve \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\u201d b\u00f6lgesine (fiyat\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede fazla y\u00fckselmi\u015f olabilece\u011fi alan) yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi yeniden h\u0131zlan\u0131rsa, ilk izlenecek seviye 9 Mart zirvesi olan 158,90. Ard\u0131ndan 159,00\u2013160,00 band\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\n\nParite 158,00\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkarsa, bir sonraki destek 5 Mart\u2019taki dip olan 156,46. Sonraki seviyeler 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalama (SMA: belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki kapan\u0131\u015flar\u0131n ortalamas\u0131) 156,20 ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 155,68.\n\nHaftal\u0131k performans tablosu ve \u0131s\u0131 haritas\u0131, ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri aras\u0131ndaki y\u00fczde de\u011fi\u015fimleri g\u00f6steriyor. Japon Yeni bu hafta ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na kar\u015f\u0131 en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc para birimi oldu.\n\n\u015eu an tablo daha da belirginle\u015fti; parite 162,20 civar\u0131nda, \u00e7ok daha y\u00fcksek seviyelerde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Ana etken faiz fark\u0131n\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 olmas\u0131. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) \u00e7ekirdek PCE enflasyonu (g\u0131da ve enerji hari\u00e7 fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131; Fed\u2019in yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi enflasyon \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm\u00fc) %3,1\u2019de seyretti\u011fi i\u00e7in politika faizini sabit tutuyor. Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ) ise Japonya\u2019da \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon hedefin \u00fczerinde %2,5 olsa da temkinli kal\u0131yor.\n\n<h3>T\u00fcrev Piyasada Konumlanma Ve M\u00fcdahale Riski<\/h3>\nT\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapanlar i\u00e7in bu ortam, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda ima edilen volatilitenin (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi beklenen oynakl\u0131k) belirgin \u015fekilde artabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. 2025\u2019te m\u00fcdahale konu\u015fulan b\u00f6lgenin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lm\u0131\u015f durumda ve Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019ndan s\u00f6zl\u00fc uyar\u0131lar daha s\u0131k geliyor. Opsiyon fiyatlamas\u0131, \u00f6zellikle 1 ayl\u0131k JPY al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131nda (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) ani ve sert hareket riskinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131yor.\n\nPiyasada olas\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 USD\/JPY sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) almak ya da \u201cput spread\u201d (maliyeti s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131ml\u0131 iki sat\u0131m opsiyonunu birlikte kullanma) kurmak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Ama\u00e7, yetkililerin yeni g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek i\u00e7in ad\u0131m atma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak. Kritik nokta, oynakl\u0131k daha da y\u00fckselmeden pozisyona girmek; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu t\u00fcr koruma i\u015flemleri daha pahal\u0131 hale gelebilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/JPY 158,07\u2019ye t\u0131rman\u0131p dipten toparland\u0131; ancak \u201cshooting star\u201d uyar\u0131yor. RSI a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131ma yakla\u015f\u0131yor: 158,90-160 hedef, 158 alt\u0131 156,46. Faiz fark\u0131 s\u00fcrerken m\u00fcdahale\/volatilite riskiyle opsiyonla korunma \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30052","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30052","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30052"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30052\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30052"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30052"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30052"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}