{"id":30048,"date":"2026-03-11T04:02:39","date_gmt":"2026-03-11T04:02:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/usd-chf-dolarin-istikrar-kazanmasiyla-07800-civarinda-toparlanirken-wall-streette-risk-istahi-zayifliyor-ve-endekslerin-cogu-geriliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-11T04:02:39","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T04:02:39","slug":"usd-chf-dolarin-istikrar-kazanmasiyla-07800-civarinda-toparlanirken-wall-streette-risk-istahi-zayifliyor-ve-endekslerin-cogu-geriliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-chf-dolarin-istikrar-kazanmasiyla-07800-civarinda-toparlanirken-wall-streette-risk-istahi-zayifliyor-ve-endekslerin-cogu-geriliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/CHF, dolar\u0131n istikrar kazanmas\u0131yla 0,7800 civar\u0131nda toparlan\u0131rken, Wall Street\u2019te risk i\u015ftah\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131yor ve endekslerin \u00e7o\u011fu geriliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/CHF Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,20 y\u00fckseldi. ABD Dolar\u0131 g\u00fcn i\u00e7indeki kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 telafi ederken parite, g\u00fcn\u00fcn en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi 0,7748\u2019i g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra 0,7786\u2019dan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD\u2019de d\u00f6rt ana endeksten \u00fc\u00e7\u00fc g\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatt\u0131.\n\nFiyat hareketi yatay seyre i\u015faret etti. USD\/CHF d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc derinle\u015ftiremedi. Parite 0,7810\u2019daki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n (son 50 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ortalama fiyat\u0131) \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.\n\n

K\u0131sa Vadeli Momentum<\/h3>\nG\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en, 0-100 aras\u0131 momentum g\u00f6stergesi) n\u00f6tr seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve y\u00fckselmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Bu, k\u0131sa vadede yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmenin g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nParite 0,7810\u2019un \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karsa s\u0131radaki seviyeler 3 Mart zirvesi 0,7878, ard\u0131ndan 0,7900 ve 0,8000. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da destek 6 Mart dip seviyesi 0,7750\u2019de.\n\nEk destek, y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi civar\u0131ndaki 0,7601\u2019den ge\u00e7en trend \u00e7izgisi (dibin ard\u0131ndan olu\u015fan y\u00fckselen destek hatt\u0131) \u00fczerinde; 0,7670-0,7700 band\u0131ndan ge\u00e7iyor. Bu b\u00f6lge a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 28 Ocak\u2019taki sal\u0131n\u0131m dibi (k\u0131sa vadeli \u00f6nemli dip) 0,7601 s\u0131radaki seviye.\n\nHaftal\u0131k performans tablosu, CHF\u2019nin ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc para birimi oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi. B\u00fcy\u00fck pariteler aras\u0131ndaki y\u00fczde de\u011fi\u015fimler \u0131s\u0131 haritas\u0131 (fiyat de\u011fi\u015fimini renklerle g\u00f6steren tablo) format\u0131nda verildi.\n\n

Makro G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde De\u011fi\u015fim<\/h3>\nMart 2025 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki analizde, USD\/CHF\u2019nin 0,7780 seviyesinden olas\u0131 bir toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu yatay d\u00f6nem kritik bir d\u00f6n\u00fcm noktas\u0131yd\u0131 ve bug\u00fcn g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolara zemin haz\u0131rlad\u0131. \u015eimdi parite 0,8950 civar\u0131nda belirgin \u015fekilde daha y\u00fcksek seviyelerde; tablo tamamen de\u011fi\u015fti.\n\nBu kal\u0131c\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fin ana nedeni, merkez bankas\u0131 politikalar\u0131n\u0131n ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131. \u015eubat 2026 ABD enflasyonu %2,8 ile y\u00fcksek kal\u0131nca, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz indirimine daha ge\u00e7 gidece\u011fi beklentisi g\u00fc\u00e7lendi. \u0130svi\u00e7re\u2019de ise enflasyon %1,5\u2019in rahat bi\u00e7imde alt\u0131nda; bu da \u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (SNB) olas\u0131 faiz indirimlerini g\u00fcndeme almas\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131.\n\nBu faiz fark\u0131 (iki \u00fclke faizleri aras\u0131ndaki fark), ABD Dolar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131may\u0131 \u0130svi\u00e7re Frang\u0131\u2019na g\u00f6re daha cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor ve bunun s\u00fcrmesi olas\u0131. T\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 (opsiyon gibi, de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 finansal \u00fcr\u00fcnler) i\u00e7in bu, dolar lehine pozisyonlar\u0131n \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. USD\/CHF\u2019de 0,9000\u2019in \u00fczerindeki kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na (opsiyonun al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n yap\u0131labildi\u011fi fiyat) sahip al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almak, yukar\u0131 hareketten yararlanma stratejisi olabilir.\n\nG\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimi nedeniyle, maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in bo\u011fa al\u0131m spread\u2019i (bull call spread: bir al\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 ba\u015fka bir al\u0131m opsiyonu satarak maliyeti azaltan yap\u0131) de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Bu yap\u0131, USD\/CHF\u2019de s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015ften kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flar; hem olas\u0131 k\u00e2r\u0131 hem de ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 maliyetini s\u0131n\u0131rlar.\n\n2025\u2019te \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan 0,7900 ve 0,8000 gibi destekler art\u0131k \u00e7ok a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da kald\u0131. Mevcut dalgalanma (volatilite: fiyatlar\u0131n ne kadar sert oynad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir) geri \u00e7ekilmelerin 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama yak\u0131n\u0131nda destek bulabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor; bu ortalama art\u0131k 0,8820\u2019ye daha yak\u0131n. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar 0,9000 \u00fczerindeki k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131, bir sonraki diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesi olan 2024 sonundaki zirveler yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki 0,9150 hedefi i\u00e7in sinyal olarak izleyebilir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USD\/CHF %0,20 y\u00fckseldi; 0,7810\u2019daki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama kritik. RSI yukar\u0131 ivmeyi g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. Fed\u2019in ge\u00e7 indirim beklentisi, SNB\u2019nin olas\u0131 indirimleriyle faiz fark\u0131 dolar\u0131 destekliyor; 0,9000 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 0,9150 hedef.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30048","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30048","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30048"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30048\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30048"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30048"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30048"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}