{"id":30043,"date":"2026-03-11T03:06:43","date_gmt":"2026-03-11T03:06:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/daha-genis-kapsamli-s-ancak-kapanis-fiyatlari-one-cikarken-yine-de-yeni-rekor-zirvelere-ulasabilir\/"},"modified":"2026-03-11T03:06:43","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T03:06:43","slug":"daha-genis-kapsamli-s-ancak-kapanis-fiyatlari-one-cikarken-yine-de-yeni-rekor-zirvelere-ulasabilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/daha-genis-kapsamli-s-ancak-kapanis-fiyatlari-one-cikarken-yine-de-yeni-rekor-zirvelere-ulasabilir\/","title":{"rendered":"Daha Geni\u015f Kapsaml\u0131 S&#038;P 500 D\u00fczeltmesi S\u00fcr\u00fcyor; Ancak Kapan\u0131\u015f Fiyatlar\u0131 \u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131karken Yine de Yeni Rekor Zirvelere Ula\u015fabilir"},"content":{"rendered":"\u00c7izgi grafikler kapan\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 kullan\u0131r. Kapan\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131, teknik g\u00f6stergeler (fiyat \u00fczerinden \u00fcretilen al-sat sinyalleri), hareketli ortalamalar (belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki ortalama fiyat) ve b\u00fcy\u00fck hacimli emirlerde (y\u00fcksek tutarl\u0131 al\u0131m-sat\u0131mlar) yayg\u0131n bi\u00e7imde referans al\u0131n\u0131r. Kapan\u0131\u015f verisi ayr\u0131ca g\u00fcn i\u00e7i fiyat g\u00fcr\u00fclt\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc (k\u0131sa vadeli oynakl\u0131k) azaltabilir.\n\nGe\u00e7en cuma kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131 itibar\u0131yla endeks, 27 Ocak\u2019taki 6.978 dolarl\u0131k t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131na g\u00f6re %3,5 geriledi. VIX (S&#038;P 500 i\u00e7in \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d; beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er) 30\u2019a yakla\u015ft\u0131 ve ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki \u015fubat\u2013nisan d\u00f6neminde g\u00f6r\u00fclen yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019lik d\u00fczeltmeden (geri \u00e7ekilme) bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.\n\n<h3>Key Levels And Trend Signals<\/h3>\n\u00d6nceki g\u00fcncellemede 6.780 kritik seviye olarak belirtildi; bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f, y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin bitti\u011fi ihtimalini %60\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131r denmi\u015fti. 6.780 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa, izlenecek bir sonraki seviye 6.575 olarak i\u015faretlenmi\u015fti.\n\nEndeks 3 Mart \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc 6.780\u2019in alt\u0131na indi; 5, 6 ve 9 Mart\u2019ta da ayn\u0131 durum g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. En d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviye 6.636 oldu. Daha \u00f6nceki 6.575 hedefi %0,9 farkla ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmedi.\n\n28 Ocak\u2019taki 7.002\u2019lik t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n zirvesinden ba\u015flayan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, \u201c\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc zigzag\u201d formasyonuna (dalgal\u0131 ve birbirini izleyen \u00fc\u00e7 d\u00fczeltme hareketi) d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Dipte endeks, hesaplanan 6.644 hedefini g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve ard\u0131ndan 6.636 ile taban yapt\u0131.\n\nHareket, daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u201c4. dalga\u201d d\u00fczeltmesi (Elliott Dalga teorisinde ana trend i\u00e7indeki d\u00fczeltme evresi) i\u00e7inde \u00fc\u00e7 dalgal\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f (A-B-C benzeri yap\u0131) olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor. \u00c7izilen senaryo, 6.636 \u00fczerinde kal\u0131nmas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131; olas\u0131 bir zirvenin nisan sonuna do\u011fru, zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n ise eyl\u00fcl sonuna kadar s\u00fcrmesi bekleniyor.\n\n<h3>Trade Plan And Risk Levels<\/h3>\nS&#038;P 500\u2019\u00fcn 9 Mart\u2019ta 6.636 seviyesinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir taban olu\u015fturdu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Sonras\u0131nda aylard\u0131r g\u00f6r\u00fclen en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015f geldi. Bu, ocak sonlar\u0131nda ba\u015flayan karma\u015f\u0131k d\u00fczeltmenin b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla bitti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu tepki, d\u00fczeltici bir dalgan\u0131n (W-a) bitti\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen noktadan geliyor ve bir sonraki hareket i\u00e7in zemin haz\u0131rl\u0131yor.\n\nBu g\u00fc\u00e7lenme, ge\u00e7en haftaki ekonomik verilerle de destekleniyor: \u0130lk kez i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 (i\u015fsiz kalanlar\u0131n ilk ba\u015fvurular\u0131) beklenti d\u0131\u015f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015ferek 209 bine indi. B\u00f6yle dayan\u0131kl\u0131 bir i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131, piyasalar\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli endi\u015feleri ikinci plana at\u0131p yeniden y\u00fckseli\u015f trendine d\u00f6nmesine destek verebilir. Mevcut tablo, \u015fimdilik daha y\u00fcksek hisse fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyecek kadar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.\n\n\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 haftada t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar (vadeli i\u015flem ve opsiyon gibi ara\u00e7larla i\u015flem yapanlar) y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir; yeni bir t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n zirvesine do\u011fru ralli bekleniyor. Bu, vadesi nisan sonu veya may\u0131s olan al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almak ya da 6.636 ana destek seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 nakit teminatl\u0131 sat\u0131m opsiyonu satmak (cash-secured put: olas\u0131 al\u0131m i\u00e7in nakit ay\u0131rarak put satmak) \u015feklinde olabilir. 6.636 alt\u0131nda gelecek herhangi bir g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f, bu olumlu senaryoyu ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131lar ve son uyar\u0131 seviyesinin a\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir.\n\nVIX\u2019in 30\u2019a yakla\u015fmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen geri \u00e7ekilmenin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131yla g\u00f6r\u00fclen a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 k\u00f6t\u00fcmser hava h\u0131zla da\u011f\u0131ld\u0131. VIX \u015fimdi 18 civar\u0131na geriledi; bu, panik havas\u0131n\u0131n azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc trend i\u00e7in daha dengeli bir zemine d\u00f6n\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. Beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyat\u0131ndan t\u00fcretilen gelece\u011fe d\u00f6n\u00fck oynakl\u0131k beklentisi) d\u00fc\u015fmesi, opsiyon almay\u0131 da g\u00f6rece ucuzlat\u0131r.\n\nAncak nisan sonuna do\u011fru yeni zirve beklentisi, daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u201cd\u00fczensiz yatay\u201d d\u00fczeltme (irregular flat: yeni zirve yap\u0131p ard\u0131ndan daha sert zay\u0131fl\u0131k g\u00f6sterebilen d\u00fczeltme yap\u0131s\u0131) i\u00e7inde bir B dalgas\u0131 (d\u00fczeltme i\u00e7indeki ge\u00e7ici toparlanma) olabilir. Bu bo\u011fa piyasas\u0131nda (uzun s\u00fcreli y\u00fckseli\u015f d\u00f6nemi) benzer bir yap\u0131 daha \u00f6nce, \u00f6rne\u011fin 2019 y\u00fckseli\u015finde g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc: Yeni zirve sonras\u0131 daha belirgin zay\u0131fl\u0131k geldi. Bu nedenle beklenen g\u00fc\u00e7lenme kal\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fil, ge\u00e7ici bir d\u00f6nem olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmeli.\n\nYat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, nisan sonu hedef b\u00f6lgesi 7.120\u20137.190\u2019a yakla\u015f\u0131rken y\u00fckseli\u015f stratejisinden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f stratejisine ge\u00e7i\u015fe haz\u0131r olmas\u0131 gerekir. Bu, uzun pozisyonlarda k\u00e2r almay\u0131 ve \u00f6rne\u011fin yaz sonuna vadeli sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) almay\u0131 planlamak anlam\u0131na gelir. B\u00f6ylece eyl\u00fcl sonuna kadar s\u00fcrmesi beklenen C dalgas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne (d\u00fczeltmenin son ve genellikle daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 hareketi) haz\u0131rl\u0131k yap\u0131l\u0131r.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>S&#038;P 500, 6.636\u2019da tabanla g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tepki verdi; VIX 30\u2019dan 18\u2019e indi. 6.636 alt\u0131 kapan\u0131\u015f riski art\u0131r\u0131r. Nisan sonu 7.120-7.190 hedef, ard\u0131ndan C dalgas\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30043","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30043","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30043"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30043\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30043"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30043"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30043"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}