{"id":30001,"date":"2026-03-10T16:04:32","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T16:04:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/gbp-usd-trumpin-iran-catismasinin-yakinda-sona-erebilecegini-one-surmesinin-ardindan-sterlindeki-degerlenmeyle-13479a-toparlandi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-10T16:04:32","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T16:04:32","slug":"gbp-usd-trumpin-iran-catismasinin-yakinda-sona-erebilecegini-one-surmesinin-ardindan-sterlindeki-degerlenmeyle-13479a-toparlandi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/gbp-usd-trumpin-iran-catismasinin-yakinda-sona-erebilecegini-one-surmesinin-ardindan-sterlindeki-degerlenmeyle-13479a-toparlandi\/","title":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD, Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131nda sona erebilece\u011fini \u00f6ne s\u00fcrmesinin ard\u0131ndan Sterlin\u2019deki de\u011ferlenmeyle 1,3479\u2019a toparland\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD, ABD dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flay\u0131nca 1,3479\u2019a do\u011fru y\u00fckseldi. Zay\u0131flaman\u0131n nedeni, Ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n \u201c\u00e7ok yak\u0131nda\u201d bitebilece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemesi oldu. Trump daha sonra, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki (Basra K\u00f6rfezi \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki kritik petrol ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131) tanker trafi\u011fine m\u00fcdahale etmesi halinde daha sert kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131 yapt\u0131.\n\nParite, Ocak 2025\u2019ten gelen bir destek trend \u00e7izgisine yak\u0131n kald\u0131 ve ard\u0131ndan Ocak zirvesinden gelen k\u0131sa vadeli d\u00fc\u015fen trend \u00e7izgisinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu hareket k\u0131sa vadeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azaltt\u0131 ancak yeni bir y\u00fckseli\u015f trendini (kal\u0131c\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimini) teyit etmedi.\n\n2025 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki durumu hat\u0131rl\u0131yoruz: Jeopolitik man\u015fetlerle k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli bir y\u00fckseli\u015f gelmi\u015fti. Bu ge\u00e7ici rahatlama, ana e\u011filimlerin (faiz, b\u00fcy\u00fcme, para politikas\u0131 gibi temel fakt\u00f6rlerin) k\u0131sa vadeli haberlere \u00e7o\u011fu zaman bask\u0131n geldi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. O d\u00f6nemde beklenen yeni y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u00fcreci ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmemi\u015f, parite y\u0131l boyunca genel dolar g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine yenik d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.\n\nBug\u00fcn, 10 Mart 2026 itibar\u0131yla sterlin 1,2550\u2019nin alt\u0131nda zorlan\u0131yor ve farkl\u0131 bask\u0131lar \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Son \u0130ngiltere enflasyon verisi beklentiden s\u0131cak (y\u00fcksek) gelerek %3,8 oldu. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (Non-Farm Payrolls: tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki sekt\u00f6rlerde ayl\u0131k istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131) raporu 275 bin ile g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. Bu tablo, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 (BoE) s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131rken, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019na (Fed) tutumunu yumu\u015fatmas\u0131 i\u00e7in fazla neden b\u0131rakm\u0131yor.\n\nOpsiyon piyasas\u0131 (kurda belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) bu belirsizli\u011fi yans\u0131t\u0131yor. GBP\/USD\u2019de 3 ayl\u0131k risk reversal -0,8 seviyesinde ve sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: kur d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n riskine kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flayan opsiyon) taraf\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 bir e\u011fim var. Bu, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc koruma i\u00e7in daha fazla prim \u00f6dedi\u011fini g\u00f6sterir. \u0130ma edilen oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015faret etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanma) da y\u00fckseliyor ve 9,5 civar\u0131nda; bu da daha b\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat hareketi beklentisine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu ortamda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, uzun pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 korumak i\u00e7in put almay\u0131 veya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcne s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 sermayeyle pozisyon almay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir.\n\nDaha net risk isteyenler i\u00e7in ay\u0131 put spread (bear put spread: daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put al\u0131p daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put satarak maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren, maksimum k\u00e2r\/zarar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayan strateji) uygun olabilir. Bu, parite d\u00fc\u015ferse getiriden yararlanmay\u0131 sa\u011flarken, sterlin beklenmedik \u015fekilde y\u00fckselirse azami zarar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar. Ama\u00e7, son d\u00f6nemde \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan dalgal\u0131 ve man\u015fet odakl\u0131 fiyatlamaya kar\u015f\u0131 korunmakt\u0131r.\n\n1,2600 seviyesi, bu y\u0131l bir\u00e7ok kez y\u00fckseli\u015fleri durduran kritik bir diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesi olarak izleniyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda bu seviyenin a\u015f\u0131lamamas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosunu g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 1,2480 civar\u0131ndaki y\u0131l i\u00e7i dip, izlenecek ana destek seviyesi olmaya devam ediyor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dolar zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla GBP\/USD 1,3479\u2019u test etti; Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran mesajlar\u0131 fiyatlad\u0131. Ancak trend teyidi yok. Enflasyon\/NFP bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Opsiyonlar a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 riskli. 1,2600 diren\u00e7, 1,2480 destek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30001","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30001","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30001"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30001\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30001"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30001"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30001"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}