{"id":29970,"date":"2026-03-10T10:09:07","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T10:09:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/orta-dogudaki-catisma-endiseleri-arasinda-dolar-guclenirken-eur-usd-erken-avrupa-islemlerinde-11615e-dogru-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-10T10:09:07","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T10:09:07","slug":"orta-dogudaki-catisma-endiseleri-arasinda-dolar-guclenirken-eur-usd-erken-avrupa-islemlerinde-11615e-dogru-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/orta-dogudaki-catisma-endiseleri-arasinda-dolar-guclenirken-eur-usd-erken-avrupa-islemlerinde-11615e-dogru-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma endi\u015feleri aras\u0131nda dolar g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken, EUR\/USD erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde 1,1615\u2019e do\u011fru geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD, sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa seans\u0131n\u0131n erken saatlerinde yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,1615\u2019e geriledi ve 1,1600 seviyesine yakla\u015ft\u0131. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan petrol ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n kesilebilece\u011fi endi\u015fesi, \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (kriz d\u00f6nemlerinde yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha az riskli g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc varl\u0131k) olarak ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na talebi art\u0131rd\u0131.\n\n\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u0130slam Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131, sava\u015f\u0131n ne zaman bitece\u011fine ABD\u2019nin de\u011fil Tahran\u2019\u0131n karar verece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. A\u00e7\u0131klamada, ABD ve \u0130srail sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesi halinde \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n b\u00f6lgesel petrol ihracat\u0131n\u0131 engelleyebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131 yap\u0131ld\u0131.\n\n

Strait Of Hormuz Risk Drives Safe Haven Demand<\/h3>\nABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, pazartesi ge\u00e7 saatlerde, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinden petrol ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 durdurmas\u0131 halinde ABD\u2019nin sald\u0131r\u0131larla kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f, enflasyon (fiyatlar\u0131n genel d\u00fczeyindeki art\u0131\u015f) ve politika faizi (merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n piyasay\u0131 y\u00f6nlendirmek i\u00e7in kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 temel faiz) endi\u015felerini art\u0131rd\u0131.\n\nABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz indirimi beklentilerinin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 da ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekledi. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, y\u00f6n bulmak i\u00e7in ABD\u2019nin \u015fubat ay\u0131 T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE\/CPI: enflasyonu \u00f6l\u00e7en ana g\u00f6sterge) verisini bekliyor.\n\nMan\u015fet T\u00dcFE\u2019nin \u015fubatta y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %2,4, \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE\u2019nin (enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7) %2,5 gelmesi bekleniyor. Haber, 10 Mart\u2019ta 06:40 GMT\u2019de d\u00fczeltilerek T\u00dcFE oda\u011f\u0131n\u0131n sal\u0131 de\u011fil \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc oldu\u011fu belirtildi.\n\n

Oil Inflation And Fed Cut Expectations<\/h3>\nBu tablo, Fed a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan s\u00fcreci zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Artan petrol fiyatlar\u0131 enflasyonu besliyor, bu da k\u0131sa vadede faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131yor. 2022\u2019de Ukrayna\u2019daki sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan benzer bir durum g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; Brent petrol\u00fc varil ba\u015f\u0131na 120 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak enflasyonu art\u0131rm\u0131\u015f, Fed de enflasyonu s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in faizleri h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde y\u00fckseltmi\u015fti.\n\nEuro burada daha k\u0131r\u0131lgan, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc Euro B\u00f6lgesi net enerji ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131. Bu durum, Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ni petrol fiyat \u015foklar\u0131na ABD\u2019den daha duyarl\u0131 hale getiriyor. 2022\u2019deki ilk \u015fok s\u0131ras\u0131nda EUR\/USD birka\u00e7 hafta i\u00e7inde 1,13\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinden 1,10\u2019un alt\u0131na h\u0131zl\u0131 gerilemi\u015fti. 2025\u2019te g\u00f6r\u00fclen 1,1600 seviyesine d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f de kriz d\u00f6nemlerinde benzer temel zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nT\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (dayanak varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n fiyat\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler; \u00f6r. opsiyon, vadeli i\u015flemler) i\u015flemi yapanlar i\u00e7in bu ortam, daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar ve daha y\u00fcksek kur oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131na (fiyatlar\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede sert de\u011fi\u015fmesi) i\u015faret ediyor. EUR\/USD\u2019de \u201cput\u201d opsiyonu (parite d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) almak, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften faydalanman\u0131n do\u011frudan bir yoludur; risk, \u00f6denen primle (opsiyon maliyeti) s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131d\u0131r. Jeopolitik stresin y\u00fckseldi\u011fi d\u00f6nemlerde Euro i\u00e7in CBOE EVZ gibi oynakl\u0131k endeksleri (beklenen dalgalanmay\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6stergeler) s\u0131\u00e7rayabilir; bu da oynakl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131na y\u00f6nelen stratejileri daha cazip hale getirir.\n\nMevcut Euro uzun (Euro y\u00fckseli\u015fine oynayan) pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 put opsiyonlar\u0131yla korumak (hedge: olumsuz fiyat hareketine kar\u015f\u0131 risk azaltma) savunmac\u0131 bir y\u00f6ntemdir. Daha az sermaye gerektiren dolar y\u00fckseli\u015fi i\u015flemi arayanlar i\u00e7in ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019nde (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren endeks) \u201cbull call spread\u201d (ayn\u0131 vadede bir al\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek seviyeden ba\u015fka bir al\u0131m opsiyonu satma; maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcr, k\u00e2r\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar) etkili olabilir. Bu y\u00f6ntem, dolar\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fine oynarken azami riski \u00f6nceden belirler ve tek ba\u015f\u0131na al\u0131m opsiyonuna g\u00f6re ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 maliyetini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcr.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

H\u00fcrm\u00fcz riski masada: EUR\/USD 1,1615\u2019e gerileyip 1,1600\u2019e yakla\u015ft\u0131. Petrol ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 endi\u015fesi dolar\u0131 \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d yapt\u0131. Artan petrol, enflasyon ve Fed indirimi beklentilerini bask\u0131larken g\u00f6zler T\u00dcFE\u2019de.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29970","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29970","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29970"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29970\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29970"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29970"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29970"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}