{"id":29959,"date":"2026-03-10T07:04:55","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T07:04:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/sterlin-hafif-geriledi-ancak-13400-seviyesinin-uzerinde-kaldi-yatirimcilar-abd-israil-iran-savasiyla-ilgili-gelismeleri-beklerken-dolar-talebi-destekleniyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-10T07:04:55","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T07:04:55","slug":"sterlin-hafif-geriledi-ancak-13400-seviyesinin-uzerinde-kaldi-yatirimcilar-abd-israil-iran-savasiyla-ilgili-gelismeleri-beklerken-dolar-talebi-destekleniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/sterlin-hafif-geriledi-ancak-13400-seviyesinin-uzerinde-kaldi-yatirimcilar-abd-israil-iran-savasiyla-ilgili-gelismeleri-beklerken-dolar-talebi-destekleniyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Sterlin hafif geriledi ancak 1,3400 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar ABD-\u0130srail-\u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131yla ilgili geli\u015fmeleri beklerken dolar talebi destekleniyor"},"content":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD, \u00f6nceki g\u00fcnk\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya seans\u0131nda hafif geriledi. Piyasa, ABD-\u0130srail-\u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131na ili\u015fkin yeni geli\u015fmeleri beklerken parite 1,3400 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131.\n\nABD dolar\u0131, \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131 a\u015fan zirveden gelen geri \u00e7ekilme sonras\u0131 yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lendi. \u0130ran Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131, Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n sava\u015f\u0131n bitmeye yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131 reddederek, sava\u015f\u0131n ne zaman bitece\u011fine Tahran\u2019\u0131n karar verece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.\n\nG\u00fcvenli liman talebiyle dolara y\u00f6nelim de artt\u0131. Bunun arkas\u0131nda, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019na (k\u00fcresel petrol ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131) ba\u011fl\u0131 olas\u0131 arz kesintisi endi\u015fesi var. Ham petrol, Pazartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc sert geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan yeniden y\u00fckseldi ve Haziran 2022\u2019den bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen zirveden geri \u00e7ekilmesini k\u0131smen telafi etti.\n\nEnerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f, enflasyonun (fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131) yeniden h\u0131zlanabilece\u011fi ve ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz indirimlerini daha az yapabilece\u011fi ya da daha ge\u00e7 ba\u015flatabilece\u011fi endi\u015fesini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Bu durum, ABD Hazine tahvili faizlerini yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekerek GBP\/USD \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu.\n\nSterlin, \u0130ngiltere faiz beklentilerindeki de\u011fi\u015fimden destek buldu. Piyasa fiyatlamas\u0131, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) \u00fc\u00e7 faiz indirimi beklentisinden, y\u0131l sonuna kadar faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %70\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir noktaya kayd\u0131.\n\nPiyasalar, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc BoE Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Andrew Bailey\u2019nin konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 izleyecek. Bu hafta ayr\u0131ca ABD T\u00dcFE (t\u00fcketici enflasyonu) ve PCE (Fed\u2019in yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) verileri ile ayl\u0131k \u0130ngiltere GSYH (ekonominin b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren veri) g\u00fcndemde; ancak sava\u015f, oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131n) ana kayna\u011f\u0131 olmaya devam ediyor.\n\nGBP\/USD paritesinde, 2025\u2019teki ABD-\u0130srail-\u0130ran gerilimine benzer bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm olu\u015fuyor. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da jeopolitik belirsizli\u011fin artmas\u0131yla ABD dolar\u0131 yeniden \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d olarak g\u00fc\u00e7 kazan\u0131yor. Bu da sterlin \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor; t\u0131pk\u0131 ge\u00e7en y\u0131l paritenin 1,3400 \u00e7evresinde zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemde oldu\u011fu gibi.\n\nDurum, enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki sert art\u0131\u015fla daha da belirginle\u015fti. Brent petrol vadeli i\u015flemleri (ilerideki teslimat i\u00e7in bug\u00fcnden fiyatlanan s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) ge\u00e7en hafta varil ba\u015f\u0131na 105 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; bu seviye 18 aydan uzun s\u00fcredir g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015fti. Bu tablo kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon endi\u015felerini art\u0131r\u0131rken, Dolar Endeksi\u2019ni (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri sepetine kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fc) d\u00fcn 106,50 ile alt\u0131 ay\u0131n zirvesine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar art\u0131k 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda Fed faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde fiyatlam\u0131yor.\n\nBu denge, iki merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n farkl\u0131 y\u00f6nlere \u00e7ekti\u011fi bir m\u00fccadele yarat\u0131yor. BoE de enerji kaynakl\u0131 benzer enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. Piyasa, daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d bir BoE (faizi y\u00fcksek tutma ya da art\u0131rma e\u011filimi) ihtimalini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor; gecelik swaplar (faiz beklentisini yans\u0131tan k\u0131sa vadeli t\u00fcrev i\u015flemler) A\u011fustos\u2019a kadar bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %40 civar\u0131nda g\u00f6steriyor. Ocak 2026\u2019ya ait \u0130ngiltere \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131 verisi %5,8 ile y\u00fcksek kal\u0131rken, bu BoE\u2019nin daha yumu\u015fak bir \u00e7izgiye ge\u00e7mesini zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.\n\nT\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapanlar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, g\u00fcvenli liman dolar ile \u015fahin sterlin aras\u0131ndaki bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma, en belirgin f\u0131rsat\u0131n y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131k oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. GBP\/USD\u2019de \u201cstraddle\u201d veya \u201cstrangle\u201d gibi opsiyon stratejileri (fiyat\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc tahmin etmeden, b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketlerden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen opsiyon kombinasyonlar\u0131) iki y\u00f6ne sert hareketlerden faydalanmak i\u00e7in etkili olabilir. VIX endeksi (beklenen piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) son bir ayda %20\u2019nin \u00fczerinde y\u00fckselerek bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc destekliyor.\n\n2022\u2019deki enerji krizinde de benzer bir tablo g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc: \u0130lk etapta dolar g\u00fc\u00e7lenmi\u015f, jeopolitik headlines (man\u015fet etkisi yaratan haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131) zay\u0131flad\u0131k\u00e7a bu hareket tersine d\u00f6nebilmi\u015fti. Bu nedenle bug\u00fcn dolar uzun pozisyonlar\u0131 (dolar\u0131n de\u011fer kazanaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle ta\u015f\u0131nan pozisyon) avantajl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de, ani bir ters harekete kar\u015f\u0131 riskin opsiyonlarla s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 daha sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 olabilir. Gerilimin azalmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik i\u015faretler, g\u00fcvenli liman ak\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde tersine \u00e7evirebilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Orta Do\u011fu riski t\u0131rman\u0131rken sterlin\/dolar 1,3400 \u00fcst\u00fcnde tutunuyor: petrol \u015foku g\u00fcvenli liman dolar\u0131 ve Fed\u2019i destekliyor. BoE \u015fahinle\u015fiyor. T\u00dcFE\/PCE ve Bailey, oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rabilir; opsiyonlar \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29959","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29959","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29959"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29959\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29959"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29959"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29959"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}