{"id":29950,"date":"2026-03-10T05:02:37","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T05:02:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/gbp-usd-13400-seviyesini-yeniden-kazandi-13280den-toparlanarak-03-yukseldi-13450-hedefini-kil-payi-kacirdi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-10T05:02:37","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T05:02:37","slug":"gbp-usd-13400-seviyesini-yeniden-kazandi-13280den-toparlanarak-03-yukseldi-13450-hedefini-kil-payi-kacirdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/gbp-usd-13400-seviyesini-yeniden-kazandi-13280den-toparlanarak-03-yukseldi-13450-hedefini-kil-payi-kacirdi\/","title":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD 1,3400 seviyesini yeniden kazand\u0131; 1,3280\u2019den toparlanarak %0,3 y\u00fckseldi, 1,3450 hedefini k\u0131l pay\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131rd\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,3 y\u00fckseldi ve 1,3280 civar\u0131ndan toparland\u0131ktan sonra yeniden 1,3400\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ancak 1,3450\u2019yi a\u015famad\u0131 ve \u015fimdi 1,3400 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA (\u00fcssel hareketli ortalama: son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren trend g\u00f6stergesi) etraf\u0131nda \u00fcst \u00fcste alt\u0131 seansta yatay seyrediyor.\n\nPiyasalar bu ay \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) faiz indirimi yapma ihtimalini %20\u2019nin alt\u0131nda fiyatl\u0131yor; bu oran H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 krizinden \u00f6nce %80\u2019in \u00fczerindeydi. \u0130ngiltere faiz vadeli i\u015flemleri (gelecekteki faiz seviyesine ili\u015fkin fiyatlama yapan s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) 2026\u2019n\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda toplamda 25 baz puandan (1 baz puan = %0,01) daha az indirim ihtimaline i\u015faret ediyor. Daha y\u00fcksek enerji maliyetleri, enflasyon endi\u015felerini g\u00fcndemde tutuyor.\n\n<h3>Key Data And Central Bank Catalysts<\/h3>\n\u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD \u015eubat T\u00dcFE (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi\/enflasyon) verisi a\u00e7\u0131klanacak; beklenti ayl\u0131k %0,3 ve y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,4. Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130ngiltere Ocak sanayi \u00fcretimi ve BoE Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Andrew Bailey\u2019nin konu\u015fmas\u0131 takip edilecek.\n\nCuma g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130ngiltere Ocak GSYH (GDP: ekonomi b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc\/b\u00fcy\u00fcme) i\u00e7in beklenti ayl\u0131k %0,2; imalat \u00fcretimi i\u00e7in de ayl\u0131k %0,2. ABD\u2019de Ocak \u00e7ekirdek PCE enflasyonu (PCE: Fed\u2019in tercih etti\u011fi enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi; \u201c\u00e7ekirdek\u201d enerji ve g\u0131da hari\u00e7) ayl\u0131k %0,4 ve y\u0131ll\u0131k %3, 4. \u00e7eyrek GSYH y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f %1,4 ve Michigan \u00dcniversitesi (UoM) Mart t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni 55 bekleniyor.\n\nGBP\/USD 1,3431 seviyesinde; 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcssel hareketli ortalama) alt\u0131nda ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde. Diren\u00e7 1,3490 civar\u0131nda; destekler 1,3400 ve 1,3360. \u00d6ne \u00e7\u0131kan di\u011fer seviyeler: 1,3550, 1,3680, 1,3375 ve 1,3300.\n\nGBP\/USD \u015fu anda bir konsolidasyon (yatay s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma) i\u00e7inde, 1,3400 seviyesi ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama etraf\u0131nda oyalan\u0131yor. Bu karars\u0131z fiyat hareketi ve haftan\u0131n yo\u011fun veri takvimi, oynakl\u0131kta (volatilite: fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131) sert bir s\u0131\u00e7rama riskini art\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu ortamda y\u00f6n tahmininden \u00e7ok, dar banttan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015fa (breakout: fiyat\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u015fekilde k\u0131rmas\u0131) haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\n\nH\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 krizi, BoE faiz indirimi beklentilerini zay\u0131flat\u0131nca \u0130ngiltere taraf\u0131ndaki temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm belirgin bi\u00e7imde de\u011fi\u015fti. 2022\u2019deki enerji fiyat \u015fokunda da benzeri g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc: Merkez bankalar\u0131 enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faizleri daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutmak zorunda kalm\u0131\u015f, bu da para birimlerini desteklemi\u015fti. Piyasan\u0131n bu ay indirim ihtimalini %20\u2019nin alt\u0131nda g\u00f6rmesi, \u015fimdilik sterlin i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u201ctemel taban\u201d yarat\u0131yor.\n\n<h3>Options Positioning For A Breakout<\/h3>\nParitenin di\u011fer taraf\u0131nda, \u00e7ar\u015famba ABD T\u00dcFE ve cuma PCE verileri dolar\u0131 belirleyecek kritik ba\u015fl\u0131klar. Enflasyon inat\u00e7\u0131 kald\u0131; Ocak 2024\u2019te ABD T\u00dcFE\u2019nin beklentinin \u00fczerinde %3,1 gelmesi, veri s\u00fcrprizlerinin piyasay\u0131 nas\u0131l sarsabildi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Bu hafta enflasyonun y\u00fcksek gelmesi, Fed\u2019in \u201cfaizler daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek\u201d yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir ve GBP\/USD\u2019yi \u00f6nemli destek seviyelerini test etmeye itebilir.\n\nBu tabloda, her iki y\u00f6nde sert harekete kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan stratejiler d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. GBP\/USD\u2019de 1 ayl\u0131k ima edilen volatilite (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015faret etti\u011fi beklenen oynakl\u0131k) yakla\u015f\u0131k %7,5 ile \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131; bu da opsiyonlar\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 pahal\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. 1,3400 seviyesi baz al\u0131narak bir straddle (ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonunu birlikte almak) veya biraz daha geni\u015f bir strangle (farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonunu birlikte almak) almak; ister BoE\u2019nin g\u00fcvercin (faiz indirimi yanl\u0131s\u0131) mesaj\u0131yla y\u00fckseli\u015f, ister ABD enflasyonunun y\u00fcksek gelmesiyle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olsun, sert k\u0131r\u0131lmada f\u0131rsat sunabilir.\n\n\u0130zlenecek kritik teknik seviyeler 1,3490 direnci ve 1,3360 deste\u011fi; bunlar strangle i\u00e7in mant\u0131kl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131 olabilir. Bu e\u015fiklerin \u00fczerinde\/alt\u0131nda net bir g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f, daha kal\u0131c\u0131 bir hareketin tetikleyicisi olabilir. Parite bu haftaki verilerden sonra da bantta kal\u0131rsa, zaman de\u011feri kayb\u0131 (time decay: opsiyonun vadesi yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a de\u011ferinin erimesi) bu \u201cuzun opsiyon\u201d pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferini azalt\u0131r.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sterlin\/dolar 1,3400\u2019daki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA \u00e7evresinde s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131; as\u0131l hareket veri sonras\u0131 gelebilir! BoE indirim beklentisi %20 alt\u0131na inerken, ABD T\u00dcFE\/PCE k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 tetikleyebilir; izlenecek e\u015fikler 1,3490-1,3360.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29950","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29950","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29950"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29950\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29950"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29950"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29950"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}