{"id":29941,"date":"2026-03-10T03:06:19","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T03:06:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/trump-nbcye-iran-petrolune-el-koymayi-konusmayacagini-bunun-icin-erken-oldugunu-ve-savasin-yakinda-bitecegini-bekledigini-soyledi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-10T03:06:19","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T03:06:19","slug":"trump-nbcye-iran-petrolune-el-koymayi-konusmayacagini-bunun-icin-erken-oldugunu-ve-savasin-yakinda-bitecegini-bekledigini-soyledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/trump-nbcye-iran-petrolune-el-koymayi-konusmayacagini-bunun-icin-erken-oldugunu-ve-savasin-yakinda-bitecegini-bekledigini-soyledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump, NBC\u2019ye \u0130ran petrol\u00fcne el koymay\u0131 konu\u015fmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bunun i\u00e7in erken oldu\u011funu ve sava\u015f\u0131n yak\u0131nda bitece\u011fini bekledi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi"},"content":{"rendered":"ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc NBC News\u2019e yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran petrol\u00fcne el koyup koymamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini konu\u015fmak istemedi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Bunu konu\u015fmak i\u00e7in erken oldu\u011funu belirtti, ancak \u201celbette bu konu konu\u015fuldu\u201d dedi.\n\nKongre\u2019nin bir tasar\u0131y\u0131 (yasa teklifi) onaylay\u0131p onaylamayaca\u011f\u0131 sorulunca Trump \u201cBilmiyorum\u201d yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 verdi. Se\u00e7im \u015fartlar\u0131n\u0131 (oy verme kurallar\u0131) s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131ran bir tasar\u0131ya da de\u011finerek \u201cKimse pek bir \u015fey yapm\u0131yor\u201d ve \u201cYapana kadar ben de bir \u015fey yapm\u0131yorum\u201d dedi.\n\n

Market Risk Primi Y\u00fcksek Seyrediyor<\/h3>\nTrump, CBS ile yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ayr\u0131 bir telefon g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesinde \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131nda bitebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. \u201cBence sava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bitti, neredeyse tamamen,\u201d dedi; ayr\u0131ca \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u201cdonanmas\u0131 yok, ileti\u015fimi yok\u201d ve \u201chava kuvvetleri yok\u201d oldu\u011funu iddia etti.\n\n\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n yeni dini lideri Mojtaba Hamaney hakk\u0131nda Trump, CBS News\u2019e \u201cOna verece\u011fim bir mesaj yok\u201d dedi. Trump, Al Arabiya\u2019ya da \u0130ran petrol\u00fcn\u00fc kontrol etmenin ABD-\u00c7in ili\u015fkilerini zorlayabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.\n\n2025\u2019teki a\u00e7\u0131klamalara d\u00f6n\u00fcp bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, \u0130ran petrol\u00fcne el koyma fikri sadece s\u00f6zde kalsa bile piyasada yeni bir jeopolitik risk (\u00fclkeler aras\u0131 gerilimin piyasaya etkisi) e\u015fi\u011fi olu\u015fturdu. Bu temel tehdit, son bir y\u0131lda ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda bir taban (a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlayan seviye) olu\u015fmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu. Mart 2026 itibar\u0131yla Brent petrol varil ba\u015f\u0131na 95 dolar civar\u0131nda seyrederken, bu risk primi (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ek risk i\u00e7in talep etti\u011fi ekstra fiyat) g\u00fcnl\u00fck i\u015flemlerde h\u00e2l\u00e2 belirleyici.\n\nBizim a\u00e7\u0131m\u0131zdan en do\u011frudan etki, petrol piyasalar\u0131nda \u00f6rt\u00fck oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131. CBOE Ham Petrol Oynakl\u0131k Endeksi (OVX), haftalard\u0131r 45 civar\u0131nda inat\u00e7\u0131 \u015fekilde y\u00fcksek seyrediyor; bu da be\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalamas\u0131 olan 35\u2019in belirgin \u00fczerinde. Bu durum korunma ya da k\u0131sa vadeli bahis i\u00e7in opsiyon almay\u0131 pahal\u0131 hale getiriyor. Ancak k\u0131sa vadede ortam\u0131n sakin kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnen ve oynakl\u0131k satmaya (opsiyon satarak prim toplamaya) raz\u0131 olanlar i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat da yarat\u0131yor.\n\n

\u00c7in Kaynakl\u0131 Arz \u015eoku Takibi<\/h3>\n\u00c7in vurgusunu da yak\u0131ndan izlemek gerekiyor; bu ba\u015fl\u0131k bug\u00fcn daha da \u00f6nemli. 2026\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda \u00c7in, yapt\u0131r\u0131m alt\u0131ndaki ham petrol\u00fc rekor d\u00fczeylerde ithal ediyor. ABD\u2019nin bu ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 bozacak herhangi bir ad\u0131m\u0131, k\u00fcresel arz\u0131 (piyasadaki toplam petrol miktar\u0131) an\u0131nda ve sert bi\u00e7imde etkiler. Son uydu verileri, \u00c7in\u2019in stratejik petrol stoklar\u0131n\u0131n (devletin acil durum i\u00e7in tuttu\u011fu rezerv) son \u00e7eyrekte %5 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor; bu da b\u00f6yle bir riske kar\u015f\u0131 \u00f6nlem ald\u0131klar\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.\n\n2025\u2019te sava\u015f\u0131n \u201ctamamland\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesi, enerji ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda g\u00fcvene d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmedi. En g\u00fcncel denizcilik verilerine g\u00f6re H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ge\u00e7en ticari tanker trafi\u011fi \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma \u00f6ncesine k\u0131yasla yakla\u015f\u0131k %15 daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. Bu kal\u0131c\u0131 aksama, beklenmedik bir t\u0131rman\u0131\u015f\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 h\u0131zla 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131yabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor; ham petrol vadeli kontratlar\u0131nda uzun pozisyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen pozisyon) ta\u015f\u0131yanlar\u0131 da \u00f6d\u00fcllendirebilir.\n\n\u201cErken\u201d ifadesi ve Kongre\u2019nin tasar\u0131larda hareketsiz kalmas\u0131, art\u0131k kas\u0131tl\u0131 belirsizlik (net politika s\u00f6ylememek) stratejisinin par\u00e7as\u0131 gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Net bir politika y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fcn olmamas\u0131, belirsizli\u011fi beslemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n belirgin \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015fmesini engelliyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda Washington\u2019dan \u0130ran\u2019la ilgili gelecek a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 g\u00fcr\u00fclt\u00fc de\u011fil, piyasadaki bir sonraki b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketin ana tetikleyicisi olarak g\u00f6rmek gerekiyor.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Petrolde tansiyon dinmiyor: Trump \u0130ran petrol\u00fcne el koymay\u0131 erken bulsa da g\u00fcndemde. Belirsizlik Brent\u2019i 95 dolarda tutuyor, OVX 45\u2019te. \u00c7in ithalat\u0131\/H\u00fcrm\u00fcz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc 100+ riski.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29941","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29941","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29941"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29941\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29941"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29941"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29941"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}