{"id":29936,"date":"2026-03-10T02:01:27","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T02:01:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/altin-5-090-dolar-seviyesine-yakin-islem-goruyor-hurmuzdeki-aksamalarin-petrol-fiyatlarini-yukseltmesiyle-dolar-guclenirken-yuzde-15in-uzerinde-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-10T02:01:27","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T02:01:27","slug":"altin-5-090-dolar-seviyesine-yakin-islem-goruyor-hurmuzdeki-aksamalarin-petrol-fiyatlarini-yukseltmesiyle-dolar-guclenirken-yuzde-15in-uzerinde-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/altin-5-090-dolar-seviyesine-yakin-islem-goruyor-hurmuzdeki-aksamalarin-petrol-fiyatlarini-yukseltmesiyle-dolar-guclenirken-yuzde-15in-uzerinde-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n 5.090 dolar seviyesine yak\u0131n i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019deki aksamalar\u0131n petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltmesiyle dolar g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken y\u00fczde 1,5\u2019in \u00fczerinde geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n, pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fcn i\u00e7indeki kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 bir miktar azaltt\u0131 ancak a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131na g\u00f6re %1,50\u2019den fazla ekside kald\u0131 ve 5.090 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki sevkiyat\u0131n (petrol ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n) aksamas\u0131, WTI\u2019\u0131 (ABD ham petrol\u00fc g\u00f6stergesi West Texas Intermediate) %30\u2019dan fazla y\u00fckselterek varil ba\u015f\u0131na 113 dolar civar\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131; baz\u0131 haberler ham petrol\u00fcn 120 dolara yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da belirtti.\n\nY\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekledi ve alt\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131lad\u0131; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc petrol dolar \u00fczerinden fiyatlan\u0131r. Dolar, Kas\u0131m 2025 sonundan bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen seviyelere yakla\u015farak yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n zirvesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) 0,26 art\u0131\u015fla 99,11\u2019e y\u00fckseldi.\n\n<h3>Jeopolitik Gerilim ve Piyasa Etkisi<\/h3>\n\u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n merkezine ve Beyrut\u2019a sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131yla \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar s\u00fcrd\u00fc. K\u00fcresel petrol sevkiyat\u0131n\u0131n (ta\u015f\u0131nan petrol\u00fcn) yakla\u015f\u0131k be\u015fte birinin ge\u00e7ti\u011fi H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 kapal\u0131 kalmaya devam etti.\n\nTahran, pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc Mojtaba Hamaney\u2019i \u201cY\u00fcce Lider Ayetullah\u201d olarak atad\u0131. Financial Times, G7 (yedi b\u00fcy\u00fck geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomi) maliye bakanlar\u0131n\u0131n petrol rezervlerinden piyasaya petrol verme konusunu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeyi planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yazd\u0131.\n\nPrime Market Terminal verilerine g\u00f6re swap piyasalar\u0131 (faiz beklentilerinin fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131 t\u00fcrev piyasa), 2026 sonuna kadar ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) toplam 36 baz puan (0,36 y\u00fczde puan) faiz indirimi yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlad\u0131. New York Fed\u2019in SCE anketi (t\u00fcketici beklentileri anketi), \u015fubat ay\u0131nda 1 y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon beklentisini %3\u2019e g\u00f6sterdi; ocakta %3,1\u2019di. 3 ve 5 y\u0131ll\u0131k beklentiler %3\u2019te sabit kald\u0131.\n\nYakla\u015fan ABD verileri aras\u0131nda istihdam, konut, t\u00fcketici enflasyonu ve \u00e7ekirdek PCE (g\u0131da ve enerjiyi d\u0131\u015flayan ki\u015fisel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 enflasyonu; Fed\u2019in yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) yer al\u0131yor. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde alt\u0131n 5.000\u20135.194 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; 5.200 dolar civar\u0131 diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fin zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, 5.050 ve 5.000 dolar destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte al\u0131mlar\u0131n geldi\u011fi seviye) konumunda. Ayr\u0131ca 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalama (SMA: son 50 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ortalama fiyat\u0131) 4.868 dolar civar\u0131nda, bir di\u011fer destek de 4.841 dolar seviyesinde.\n\nMerkez bankalar\u0131 2022\u2019de 1.136 ton alt\u0131n ekledi; bu yakla\u015f\u0131k 70 milyar dolar de\u011ferinde ve y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda rekor.\n\n<h3>\u0130\u015flem Sinyalleri ve \u0130leriye D\u00f6n\u00fck G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\nPiyasa \u015fu anda klasik \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d al\u0131mlar\u0131ndan \u00e7ok, b\u00fcy\u00fck bir petrol \u015foku ile y\u00f6n buluyor. Petrol dolar ile fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in ABD Dolar\u0131 belirgin \u015fekilde g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor; bu g\u00fc\u00e7lenme, jeopolitik krize ra\u011fmen alt\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekiyor. K\u0131sa vadede, dolar\u0131n petrole verdi\u011fi tepki alt\u0131n\u0131n geleneksel rol\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7mi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.\n\n\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda ana g\u00fcndem ham petrol taraf\u0131ndaki sert dalgalanma. WTI %30\u2019dan fazla s\u0131\u00e7rarken, opsiyon fiyatlamas\u0131 \u00f6rt\u00fcl\u00fc oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lan beklenen dalgalanma) 2022\u2019de \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ilk t\u0131rmand\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemden bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyelere ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. G7 \u00fclkelerinin stratejik petrol rezervlerinden piyasaya sat\u0131\u015f ihtimali iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc risk yarat\u0131yor. Bu nedenle tek y\u00f6ne bahis yerine, b\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat hareketlerinden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen stratejiler daha anlaml\u0131 olabilir; \u00f6rne\u011fin straddle (ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonu birlikte al\u0131n\u0131r; fiyat sert hareket ederse y\u00f6n fark etmeksizin kazan\u00e7 hedeflenir).\n\nAlt\u0131n, bir yanda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar\u0131n bask\u0131s\u0131, di\u011fer yanda jeopolitik endi\u015fenin deste\u011fi aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. Grafik 5.000 ile 5.200 diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesi aras\u0131nda net bir bant (range) g\u00f6steriyor; bu da t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcnlerde (vadeli ve opsiyon gibi) bant i\u00e7i stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karabilir. A\u00e7\u0131k pozisyon (open interest: piyasada kapanmam\u0131\u015f s\u00f6zle\u015fme say\u0131s\u0131) verileri, bu kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131nda opsiyon birikimi oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor; bu da piyasada bir\u00e7ok yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n bu yatay seyrin s\u00fcrmesine oynad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ima ediyor.\n\nABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n, \u00f6zellikle Japonya ve Euro B\u00f6lgesi gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerin para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Dolar Endeksi bu ay zaten %2\u2019nin \u00fczerinde y\u00fckseldi. 1970\u2019lerdeki petrol \u015foklar\u0131 gibi ge\u00e7mi\u015f \u00f6rnekler, ilk a\u015famada dolar\u0131n \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Yen veya euro kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda dolar uzun pozisyonlar\u0131 (USD\/JPY veya EUR\/USD\u2019de dolar lehine pozisyon) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan bir makro i\u015flem olabilir.\n\nFed\u2019in izleyece\u011fi yol daha belirsiz hale geldi; swap piyasalar\u0131 2026 i\u00e7in beklenen faiz indirimlerinin \u00f6nemli k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 geri ald\u0131. Yakla\u015fan \u00e7ekirdek PCE verisi \u015fimdi en kritik g\u00f6sterge; y\u00fcksek bir veri, piyasay\u0131 \u201chi\u00e7 indirim olmayabilir\u201d beklentisine itebilir. Bu tablo, 2023\u2019teki kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyona benziyor; Fed\u2019in \u201cgeri ad\u0131m\u201d ataca\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentiler s\u0131k s\u0131k bo\u015fa \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131.\n\nGenel piyasa korkusu y\u00fcksek ve VIX endeksiyle (S&#038;P 500 i\u00e7in \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d; beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er) izlenmeli. Endeks 25\u2019in \u00fczerine s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131; bu seviye en son 2025 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki bankac\u0131l\u0131k sistemi stresinde g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc ve yayg\u0131n belirsizli\u011fe i\u015faret ediyor. VIX opsiyonlar\u0131 veya vadeli i\u015flemleri, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine ya da y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ekonomide daha b\u00fcy\u00fck hasar yaratmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 do\u011frudan korunma (hedge) sa\u011flayabilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz krizi petrol\u00fc %30 s\u0131\u00e7ratt\u0131, dolar \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n zirvesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131: Alt\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman rol\u00fcn\u00fc kaybedip %1,5 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 5.090 dolara indi. G\u00f6zler Fed, PCE ve oynakl\u0131kta.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29936","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29936","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29936"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29936\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29936"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29936"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29936"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}