{"id":29932,"date":"2026-03-10T01:01:27","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T01:01:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/orta-dogudaki-gerilim-surerken-wti-ham-petrol-yaklasik-5-yukseldi-bu-artis-volatil-bir-islem-seansini-golgede-birakti\/"},"modified":"2026-03-10T01:01:27","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T01:01:27","slug":"orta-dogudaki-gerilim-surerken-wti-ham-petrol-yaklasik-5-yukseldi-bu-artis-volatil-bir-islem-seansini-golgede-birakti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/orta-dogudaki-gerilim-surerken-wti-ham-petrol-yaklasik-5-yukseldi-bu-artis-volatil-bir-islem-seansini-golgede-birakti\/","title":{"rendered":"Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilim s\u00fcrerken WTI ham petrol yakla\u015f\u0131k %5 y\u00fckseldi; bu art\u0131\u015f, volatil bir i\u015flem seans\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6lgede b\u0131rakt\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"WTI (ABD tipi ham petrol) Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %5 y\u00fckseldi. Asya i\u015flemlerinde 110,00 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve 113,00 dolar\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6rerek 2022\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeye ula\u015ft\u0131. Ard\u0131ndan h\u0131zla geri \u00e7ekilerek 93,00 dolara do\u011fru indi ve 95,00 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131. Buna ra\u011fmen haftay\u0131, WTI vadeli i\u015flemlerinde (gelecekte teslimat i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan standart s\u00f6zle\u015fme) yakla\u015f\u0131k %36\u2019l\u0131k haftal\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, ge\u00e7en haftaki kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n \u00fczerinde tamamlad\u0131.\n\nH\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131, 28 \u015eubat\u2019ta \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik ABD-\u0130srail ortak sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, \u0130ran Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (IRGC) teyidiyle 2 Mart\u2019tan bu yana kapal\u0131. Bu kesinti, k\u00fcresel g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019sinin ge\u00e7i\u015fini durdurdu.\n\n

Arz \u015eoku Ham Petrol\u00fc Dalgaland\u0131r\u0131yor<\/h3>\nIrak, depolar doldu\u011fu i\u00e7in \u00fcretimi g\u00fcnde yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,5 milyon varil k\u0131st\u0131. Kuveyt \u00fcretimi azaltt\u0131, Suudi Arabistan ise Pazartesi kesintilere ba\u015flad\u0131. Goldman Sachs, kesintinin 30 g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u015fmas\u0131 halinde petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 140,00\u2013150,00 dolara \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini belirtti.\n\nABD\u2019de \u015eubat T\u00dcFE (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi: perakende fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren en \u00f6nemli enflasyon verisi) \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Ocak\u2019ta man\u015fet enflasyon (genel oran) y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,4 olmu\u015ftu; artan enerji maliyetleri \u015eubat verisinde etkili olabilir. EIA (ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi) ham petrol stoklar\u0131 da \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak; \u00f6nceki raporda 3,5 milyon varil stok art\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.\n\nWTI 93,15 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenebilece\u011fi seviye) 88,50 dolar civar\u0131nda, diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fte sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n artabilece\u011fi seviye) 95,00 dolar \u00e7evresinde; ard\u0131ndan 98,00 ve 100,00 dolar olarak izleniyor. 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama: son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren trend g\u00f6stergesi) yakla\u015f\u0131k 66,35 dolar, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA ise 63,55 dolar civar\u0131ndayd\u0131.\n\nTek seansta 113 dolar \u00fcst\u00fcnden 93 dolara sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, piyasada a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (fiyat\u0131n \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 ve geni\u015f aral\u0131kta hareket etmesi) ana tema haline geldi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Ham petrol opsiyonlar\u0131nda (belirli tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131) \u201c\u00f6rt\u00fck oynakl\u0131k\u201d (opsiyon fiyat\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanma) h\u0131zla y\u00fckseldi. OVX (CBOE Ham Petrol Oynakl\u0131k Endeksi: piyasadaki beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er) 70\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak 2022\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeye geldi. Bu durum, do\u011frudan al\u0131m (call) veya sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu sat\u0131n almay\u0131 \u00e7ok pahal\u0131 hale getiriyor ve risk y\u00f6netimi i\u00e7in daha karma\u015f\u0131k y\u00f6ntemleri gerekli k\u0131l\u0131yor.\n\n

Y\u00fcksek Oynakl\u0131kta Opsiyon Stratejisi<\/h3>\nH\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapal\u0131 kalmas\u0131, g\u00fcnl\u00fck yakla\u015f\u0131k 20 milyon varillik ge\u00e7i\u015fi bo\u011fdu\u011fu i\u00e7in temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. OPEC+ delegelerinden gelen son bilgiler, kartelin (\u00fcretici \u00fclkeler grubu) ger\u00e7ek \u201cyedek kapasitesinin\u201d (h\u0131zla devreye al\u0131nabilecek ek \u00fcretim) g\u00fcnde 2 milyon varilin alt\u0131nda olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor; bu da mevcut kesintiyi telafi etmeyi zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu arz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir tahmin de\u011fil, mevcut durum; bu nedenle fiyatlarda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn daha olas\u0131 oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc destekliyor.\n\nOpsiyonlar\u0131n pahal\u0131 olmas\u0131 nedeniyle, y\u00fckseli\u015fe oynarken riski s\u0131n\u0131rlayan ve maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren \u201cbull call spread\u201d gibi stratejiler (ayn\u0131 vadede daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyattan al\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek fiyattan al\u0131m opsiyonu satmak) g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. 88,50 dolar civar\u0131ndaki teknik destek b\u00f6lgesine olas\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilme, bu t\u00fcr pozisyonlar i\u00e7in daha uygun bir giri\u015f sa\u011flayabilir. \u201c\u00c7\u0131plak put sat\u0131\u015f\u0131\u201d (teminat\/koruma olmadan sat\u0131m opsiyonu satmak) bu ortamda \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek risklidir ve uzak durulmal\u0131d\u0131r.\n\nABD\u2019de \u00c7ar\u015famba a\u00e7\u0131klanacak T\u00dcFE verisi \u00f6nemli bir risk unsuru; enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki s\u0131\u00e7rama enflasyonu yukar\u0131 itebilir. Cleveland Fed\u2019in \u201cInflation Nowcasting\u201d modeli (mevcut verilerle enflasyonu anl\u0131k tahmin eden model) \u015eubat man\u015fet rakam\u0131n\u0131n %3,0\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor; bu da Fed\u2019i daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faiz art\u0131rmaya veya s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015fa daha yatk\u0131n) bir \u00e7izgiye itebilir. Bu durum, ileride petrol i\u00e7in olumsuz bir r\u00fczg\u00e2r yaratabilir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc y\u00fcksek fiyatlar veya y\u00fcksek faizler talebin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 endi\u015fesini art\u0131r\u0131r.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapanmas\u0131 WTI\u2019yi co\u015fturdu: fiyat 113 dolar\u0131 a\u015f\u0131p 93\u2019e sert d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Arz kesintileri, OVX\u2019te 2022 zirvesi ve \u00c7ar\u015famba T\u00dcFE\/stok verileri g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29932","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29932","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29932"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29932\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29932"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29932"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29932"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}