{"id":29931,"date":"2026-03-10T00:03:38","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T00:03:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/nbc-ekonomistleri-subatta-istihdamin-10-bin-artmasini-bekliyor-isgucune-katilimin-%652ye-yukselmesiyle-issizlik-orani-67ye-tirmaniyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-10T00:03:38","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T00:03:38","slug":"nbc-ekonomistleri-subatta-istihdamin-10-bin-artmasini-bekliyor-isgucune-katilimin-%652ye-yukselmesiyle-issizlik-orani-67ye-tirmaniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/nbc-ekonomistleri-subatta-istihdamin-10-bin-artmasini-bekliyor-isgucune-katilimin-%652ye-yukselmesiyle-issizlik-orani-67ye-tirmaniyor\/","title":{"rendered":"NBC ekonomistleri \u015fubatta istihdam\u0131n 10 bin artmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor; i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcne kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n %65,2\u2019ye y\u00fckselmesiyle i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 %6,7\u2019ye t\u0131rman\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"National Bank of Canada ekonomistleri, Kanada\u2019n\u0131n \u015eubat ay\u0131 \u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc Anketi\u2019nin (istihdam verisi) Ocak\u2019taki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan istihdamda 10 bin ki\u015filik art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fini bekliyor. \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131 %6,7 ile, 0,2 puan daha y\u00fcksek \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyorlar.\n\n\u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcne kat\u0131l\u0131m oran\u0131n\u0131n (\u00e7al\u0131\u015fan ya da i\u015f arayanlar\u0131n toplam n\u00fcfusa oran\u0131) %65,0\u2019ten %65,2\u2019ye hafif y\u00fckselmesi bekleniyor. Bu, Ocak\u2019ta g\u00f6r\u00fclen 0,4 puanl\u0131k gerilemenin ard\u0131ndan geliyor.\n\n<h3>\u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc Piyasas\u0131 Beklentileri<\/h3>\nOcak ay\u0131 d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesi, ihracat art\u0131p ithalat azalaca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in iyile\u015febilir. D\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n 0,25 milyar Kanada dolar\u0131na gerilemesi bekleniyor.\n\n\u0130hracat\u0131n, alt\u0131n dahil baz\u0131 ham madde fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015ften destek bulaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ayr\u0131 olarak, imalat sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n (fabrikalar\u0131n sat\u0131\u015f geliri) Ocak\u2019ta ayl\u0131k bazda %3,3 d\u00fc\u015fmesi bekleniyor.\n\n\u0130malat sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn, ula\u015f\u0131m ekipmanlar\u0131 ve makine kalemlerindeki gerilemeyle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor. Yaz\u0131da, i\u00e7eri\u011fin bir yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131yla \u00fcretildi\u011fi ve bir edit\u00f6r taraf\u0131ndan kontrol edildi\u011fi ifade ediliyor.\n\n<h3>Faizler A\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan Piyasa Etkileri<\/h3>\n\u015eubat 2026\u2019ya ait son \u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc Anketi verisi, k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir art\u0131\u015f beklentisine kar\u015f\u0131n 5 bin ki\u015filik net istihdam kayb\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. Bu s\u00fcrpriz, i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131 %6,9\u2019a ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131; bu seviye son iki y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fckse\u011fi. Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcne kat\u0131l\u0131m oran\u0131 %65,4\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Bu da ge\u00e7en y\u0131l bu d\u00f6nemde belirginle\u015fen zay\u0131flama e\u011filimini do\u011fruluyor.\n\n\u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131ndaki bu kal\u0131c\u0131 yava\u015flama, Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoC) \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki \u00e7eyrekte faiz indirimi yapma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. Piyasa, Temmuz toplant\u0131s\u0131na kadar 25 baz puanl\u0131k (faizin %0,25 puan d\u00fc\u015fmesi) indirim ihtimalini %70\u2019in \u00fczerine fiyatlamaya ba\u015flad\u0131; bu oran bir ay \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re belirgin bi\u00e7imde daha y\u00fcksek. Bu nedenle k\u0131sa vadeli faizler d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde de\u011fer kazanan i\u015flem fikirleri g\u00fcndeme gelebilir; \u00f6rne\u011fin BAX vadeli kontratlar\u0131nda (k\u0131sa vadeli faiz beklentisini yans\u0131tan Kanada para piyasas\u0131 vadeli i\u015flemi) al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almak.\n\nBuna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak Kanada dolar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc zay\u0131flad\u0131; iki \u00fclke faiz fark\u0131n\u0131n ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 desteklemesi bekleniyor. USD\/CAD kuru 1,37\u2019nin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve veriler zay\u0131f gelmeye devam ederse 1,39\u2019a do\u011fru hareket olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, riski s\u0131n\u0131rlamak ya da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe oynayabilmek i\u00e7in Kanada dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) de\u011ferlendirebilir.\n\nOcak 2025\u2019teki sert imalat sat\u0131\u015f d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc, hisse piyasalar\u0131 i\u00e7in de uyar\u0131 niteli\u011finde. \u00d6nc\u00fc Ocak 2026 imalat sat\u0131\u015f verileri, otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki zay\u0131fl\u0131kla %2,8 daralmaya i\u015faret ediyor. \u015eirket k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda olas\u0131 yava\u015flamaya kar\u015f\u0131 geni\u015f piyasa riskini azaltmak i\u00e7in S&#038;P\/TSX 60 endeksi \u00fczerinde put opsiyonu almak (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta) daha temkinli bir strateji olabilir.\n\nBuna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, 2025 tahminlerinde vurgulanan alt\u0131n ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 ihracat g\u00fcc\u00fc bir f\u0131rsat alan\u0131 olabilir. K\u00fcresel belirsizlik ve daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz ihtimaliyle alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrini korudu; son d\u00f6nemde ons ba\u015f\u0131na 2.150 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, genel piyasa zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 korunma amac\u0131yla alt\u0131n madencili\u011fi hisselerinde call opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 inceleyebilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kanada\u2019da istihdamda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 art\u0131\u015f beklentisine kar\u015f\u0131n s\u00fcrpriz kay\u0131p ve %6,9 i\u015fsizlik, BoC faiz indirimi fiyatlamas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi; USD\/CAD 1,39 hedefleniyor; opsiyonla korunma \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29931","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29931","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29931"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29931\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29931"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29931"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29931"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}