{"id":29930,"date":"2026-03-10T00:03:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T00:03:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/iran-geriliminin-petrol-fiyatlarini-yukseltmesi-ve-guvenli-liman-talebini-artirmasiyla-sterlin-dolar-karsisinda-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-10T00:03:00","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T00:03:00","slug":"iran-geriliminin-petrol-fiyatlarini-yukseltmesi-ve-guvenli-liman-talebini-artirmasiyla-sterlin-dolar-karsisinda-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/iran-geriliminin-petrol-fiyatlarini-yukseltmesi-ve-guvenli-liman-talebini-artirmasiyla-sterlin-dolar-karsisinda-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ran geriliminin petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltmesi ve g\u00fcvenli liman talebini art\u0131rmas\u0131yla sterlin dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"Sterlin, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 da kapsayan artan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma nedeniyle piyasalarda **riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f** (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klar\u0131 sat\u0131p daha g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6rd\u00fcklerine y\u00f6nelmesi) art\u0131nca Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda geriledi. GBP\/USD yaz\u0131n\u0131n haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131rada 1,3366 seviyesinde ve %0,28 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fteydi.\n\nGerilimin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131yla petrol fiyatlar\u0131 s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131; %11 y\u00fckseldikten sonra bir miktar geri \u00e7ekildi. Pazartesi Asya seans\u0131n\u0131n erken saatlerinde petrol neredeyse %30 y\u00fckselmi\u015fti.\n\n<h3>Riskten Ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f ve Dalgalanma Beklentisi<\/h3>\nYenilenen riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f ve ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na y\u00f6neli\u015f (g\u00fcvenli liman aray\u0131\u015f\u0131) nedeniyle \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda **dalgalanman\u0131n** artmas\u0131 beklenir. GBP\/USD **opsiyonlar\u0131nda** (kur belirli seviyeye gelirse al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) g\u00f6r\u00fclen **implied volatility \/ z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k** (piyasan\u0131n gelecekte bekledi\u011fi dalgalanma) muhtemelen y\u00fckseldi; bu art\u0131\u015f petrol \u015foku ve \u0130ran kaynakl\u0131 belirsizli\u011fi yans\u0131t\u0131yor. CME\u2019nin GBP\/USD Volatilite Endeksi (CVOL) ge\u00e7en haftaki yakla\u015f\u0131k %7,5 seviyesinden bug\u00fcn %10\u2019un \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak son d\u00f6rt ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyine ula\u015ft\u0131.\n\nY\u00f6n beklentisi i\u00e7in, daha fazla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 zararla (\u00f6nceden bilinen en y\u00fcksek kay\u0131p) pozisyon almak amac\u0131yla GBP\/USD **put opsiyonu** (kur d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan sat\u0131\u015f hakk\u0131) de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019\u0131n **net enerji ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131** olmas\u0131, petrol fiyat\u0131ndaki bu s\u0131\u00e7ramaya kar\u015f\u0131 Sterlin\u2019i daha hassas k\u0131l\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131ca \u015eubat 2026 verilerinde \u0130ngiltere **CPI \/ T\u00dcFE** (t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) %3,4 ile y\u00fcksek kalmaya devam etti. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD ekonomisi daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve enerji \u015fokuna kar\u015f\u0131 daha dayan\u0131kl\u0131.\n\nABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fc bu i\u015flemin temel unsurlar\u0131ndan biri; **g\u00fcvenli liman** alg\u0131s\u0131 ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc i\u00e7 ekonomi taraf\u0131ndan destekleniyor. Ge\u00e7en Cuma a\u00e7\u0131klanan son **Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam** raporu (ABD\u2019de tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerde yarat\u0131lan yeni i\u015f say\u0131s\u0131) 245 binlik g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret etti. Bu da ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (**Fed**) faizi sabit tutmada benzer \u00fclke merkez bankalar\u0131na g\u00f6re daha rahat hareket edebilmesi anlam\u0131na geliyor. Bu nedenle, sadece Sterlin de\u011fil, enerji ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 di\u011fer para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 da ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019nda uzun pozisyonlar (dolar\u0131n de\u011fer kazanaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle pozisyon) de\u011ferlendirilebilir.\n\n<h3>Enerji Piyasalar\u0131 ve Opsiyon Pozisyonlanmas\u0131<\/h3>\n\u0130stikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n kayna\u011f\u0131 oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in enerji piyasas\u0131na do\u011frudan bakmak gerekir. WTI ve Brent **vadeli i\u015flemlerinde** (ileride belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) oynakl\u0131k a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 y\u00fcksek. Her iki y\u00f6nde b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketlerden kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flamay\u0131 hedefleyen **straddle** (ayn\u0131 vadede hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu alma) gibi opsiyon stratejileri daha temkinli bir tercih olabilir. 2022\u2019deki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma d\u00f6neminde petrol\u00fcn varil ba\u015f\u0131na 120 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131\u011f\u0131 unutulmuyor; mevcut piyasa yap\u0131s\u0131 da benzer sert hareket ihtimaline kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyon al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130ran\u2019\u0131 da i\u00e7ine alan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma piyasalar\u0131 sarst\u0131: riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015fla Sterlin geriledi, petrol sert s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131. GBP\/USD oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 4 ay\u0131n zirvesinde; dolar g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken put\/straddle stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29930","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29930","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29930"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29930\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29930"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29930"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29930"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}