{"id":29918,"date":"2026-03-09T21:02:51","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T21:02:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/amazon-208-dolarlik-piyasa-oncesi-gap-kapanisini-test-ettikten-sonra-tepki-yukselisi-ihtimali-azaliyor-daha-dusuk-destek-seviyeleri-gundeme-gelebilir\/"},"modified":"2026-03-09T21:02:51","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T21:02:51","slug":"amazon-208-dolarlik-piyasa-oncesi-gap-kapanisini-test-ettikten-sonra-tepki-yukselisi-ihtimali-azaliyor-daha-dusuk-destek-seviyeleri-gundeme-gelebilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/amazon-208-dolarlik-piyasa-oncesi-gap-kapanisini-test-ettikten-sonra-tepki-yukselisi-ihtimali-azaliyor-daha-dusuk-destek-seviyeleri-gundeme-gelebilir\/","title":{"rendered":"Amazon 208 dolarl\u0131k piyasa \u00f6ncesi gap kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 test ettikten sonra tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fi ihtimali azal\u0131yor; daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck destek seviyeleri g\u00fcndeme gelebilir"},"content":{"rendered":"Amazon, piyasa \u00f6ncesi i\u015flemlerde (seans ba\u015flamadan \u00f6nce yap\u0131lan i\u015flemler) 208 dolar civar\u0131ndaki \u201cgap fill\u201d seviyesine (fiyat grafi\u011finde daha \u00f6nce olu\u015fan bo\u015flu\u011fun kapanmas\u0131; fiyat\u0131n bo\u015flu\u011fun ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6lgeye geri d\u00f6nmesi) ula\u015ft\u0131 ve bu seviye zaten g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Seviye test edildi\u011fi i\u00e7in buradan tepki (bounce; k\u0131sa vadeli yukar\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f) gelme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u00f6nceye g\u00f6re daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olarak de\u011ferlendiriliyor.\n\nMetin, gap fill seviyelerinin, fiyat bu seviyeye ula\u015f\u0131p hemen yukar\u0131 d\u00f6nmezse etkisinin zay\u0131flayabilece\u011fini belirtiyor. Hareket piyasa \u00f6ncesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fi i\u00e7in normal seans saatlerinde y\u00fckseli\u015f h\u00e2l\u00e2 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; ayr\u0131ca DCA (dollar-cost averaging; ayn\u0131 hisseyi belirli aral\u0131klarla k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck al\u0131mlar yaparak ortalama maliyetle toplama) se\u00e7ene\u011finden bahsediliyor.\n\nSeans i\u00e7inde sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcrer ve fiyat 208 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na inerse, odak yakla\u015f\u0131k 201 dolara kay\u0131yor. Bu seviye de ba\u015fka bir gap fill ile ili\u015fkilendiriliyor ve bir sonraki destek b\u00f6lgesi (support; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n gelme e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi alan) olarak sunuluyor.\n\nBir di\u011fer gap fill ise 193 dolar civar\u0131nda; 201 dolar\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 9 dolar alt\u0131nda. Bu, 201 dolara g\u00f6re yakla\u015f\u0131k %4 daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ve fiyat 201\u2019in alt\u0131na sark\u0131p d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f devam ederse daha derin bir destek olarak \u00e7er\u00e7eveleniyor.\n\nPiyasa \u00f6ncesinde 208 dolardaki gap fill\u2019in test edilmesi, bu seviyedeki ilk al\u0131m ilgisinin (ilk al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n) \u00f6nemli k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 muhtemelen t\u00fcketti. \u015eubat enflasyon verisinin beklentiden biraz s\u0131cak gelmesiyle (%2,9; beklentinin \u00fcst\u00fc) piyasada dalgal\u0131 ve karars\u0131z seyrin (chop; net y\u00f6n\u00fcn olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 sert ini\u015f-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar) ard\u0131ndan, tam burada bir tepki i\u00e7in \u201ccall\u201d al\u0131m\u0131nda (al\u0131m opsiyonu; fiyat y\u00fckselirse kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan s\u00f6zle\u015fme) temkinliyiz. Bu zaten test edilmi\u015f b\u00f6lgeden gelebilecek bir y\u00fckseli\u015f, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f (reversal; trendin belirgin \u015fekilde y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015ftirmesi) i\u00e7in yeterli ivmeyi ta\u015f\u0131mayabilir.\n\nHisse g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde sat\u0131\u015f yemeye devam eder ve 201 dolardaki gap fill\u2019e yakla\u015f\u0131rsa, bunu mart sonu veya nisan ba\u015f\u0131 vadeli \u201ccash-secured put\u201d sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 (nakit teminatl\u0131 sat\u0131m opsiyonu sat\u0131\u015f\u0131; olas\u0131 hisse al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131layacak nakit ayr\u0131larak prim geliri elde etme) i\u00e7in daha iyi bir f\u0131rsat olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu geri \u00e7ekilmede implied volatility (z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k; opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) %35\u2019e y\u00fckseldi; bu da opsiyon primlerini (premium; opsiyon i\u00e7in \u00f6denen\/elde edilen bedel) daha cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor. Bu strateji, hisse destek bulursa gelir toplamay\u0131; ya da daha sa\u011flam bir teknik seviyeden (grafik temelli \u00f6nemli fiyat b\u00f6lgesi) hisseyi edinmeyi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn k\u0131lar.\n\nDaha fazla zay\u0131fl\u0131k bekleyenler i\u00e7in, 201\u2019in alt\u0131na net bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m (clean break; belirgin ve kal\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 ge\u00e7i\u015f) \u201cput\u201d al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 (sat\u0131m opsiyonu; fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan s\u00f6zle\u015fme) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek i\u00e7in sinyal olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Teknoloji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn 2025\u2019in ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc performans\u0131 sonras\u0131 daha derin bir d\u00fczeltme (correction; y\u00fckseli\u015f sonras\u0131 anlaml\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilme) m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. 195 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 (strike; opsiyonun al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m hakk\u0131 verdi\u011fi fiyat) civar\u0131nda put hedeflemek, bir sonraki ana deste\u011fe do\u011fru hareketi de\u011ferlendirmede etkili olabilir.\n\n193 dolar civar\u0131ndaki gap fill, y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc stratejilerde daha agresif olunacak y\u00fcksek g\u00fcvenli (high-conviction; olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 daha y\u00fcksek g\u00f6r\u00fclen) seviye olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor. Fiyat bu b\u00f6lgeye gelirse \u201cbull put spread\u201d (y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentili put spread\u2019i; daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put sat\u0131p daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put alarak prim toplama) kurmay\u0131 planl\u0131yorlar; \u00f6rne\u011fin 195 put sat\u0131p korunma i\u00e7in (protection; riski s\u0131n\u0131rlamak) 190 put almak gibi. Bu \u201cdefined-risk\u201d i\u015flem (riski ba\u015ftan s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 i\u015flem), tarihsel al\u0131m talebinin daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir b\u00f6lgeden gelebilecek tepkiyi yakalamaya uygun.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Amazon seans \u00f6ncesi 208$ gap fill\u2019i test etti; tepki ihtimali zay\u0131flad\u0131. 208 alt\u0131 201$ ve 193$ destekleri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. IV %35\u2019te: 201\u2019de cash-secured put, k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131mda put; 193\u2019te bull put spread.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29918","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29918","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29918"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29918\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29918"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29918"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29918"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}