{"id":29910,"date":"2026-03-09T19:03:45","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T19:03:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/avrupa-seansinda-gbp-usd-13350-civarinda-05-duserken-13250nin-altinda-daha-fazla-kayip-bekleniyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-09T19:03:45","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T19:03:45","slug":"avrupa-seansinda-gbp-usd-13350-civarinda-05-duserken-13250nin-altinda-daha-fazla-kayip-bekleniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/avrupa-seansinda-gbp-usd-13350-civarinda-05-duserken-13250nin-altinda-daha-fazla-kayip-bekleniyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Avrupa seans\u0131nda GBP\/USD, 1,3350 civar\u0131nda %0,5 d\u00fc\u015ferken 1,3250\u2019nin alt\u0131nda daha fazla kay\u0131p bekleniyor"},"content":{"rendered":"Sterlin, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa seans\u0131nda ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %0,5 d\u00fc\u015ferek 1,3350 civar\u0131na geriledi. GBP\/USD (Sterlin\/Dolar paritesi), Dolar g\u00fc\u00e7lenince a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 geldi. ABD-\u0130srail-\u0130ran\u2019\u0131 i\u00e7eren Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi nedeniyle \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d varl\u0131klara (kriz d\u00f6nemlerinde de\u011ferini daha iyi korudu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen varl\u0131klar) talep g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131.\n\nABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) (Dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki genel g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) %0,5 art\u0131\u015fla 99,35 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. Dolar, Mojtaba Hamaney\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n yeni Dini Lideri olarak ilan edilmesinin ard\u0131ndan tansiyonun daha da y\u00fckselebilece\u011fi endi\u015fesiyle destek buldu.\n\n

Jeopolitik Risk Dolar Talebini Art\u0131r\u0131yor<\/h3>\nABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump ge\u00e7en hafta bu se\u00e7imin \u201ckabul edilemez\u201d oldu\u011funu ve \u0130ran i\u00e7in yeni bir lider se\u00e7mek istedi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Bu geli\u015fmeler, Dolara talebi yeniden art\u0131rd\u0131.\n\nHafta i\u00e7inde GBP 1,3250 yak\u0131n\u0131nda \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc, ard\u0131ndan s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 toparland\u0131; ancak haftay\u0131 yine d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatt\u0131. Bu hareket, ABD-\u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019a sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 ve artan piyasa dalgalanmas\u0131 (fiyatlar\u0131n sert ini\u015f-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f yapmas\u0131) s\u0131ras\u0131nda Dolar\u0131n \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d ve \u201crezerv para\u201d (merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n geni\u015f \u00f6l\u00e7ekte tuttu\u011fu ana para birimi) olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131yd\u0131.\n\n2025\u2019teki Orta Do\u011fu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda Sterlin\u2019deki sert hareket yeniden g\u00fcndemde. Bu d\u00f6nemde ABD Dolar Endeksi 99,35\u2019e y\u00fckselmi\u015fti. G\u00fcvenli limana ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n dolara y\u00f6nelmesiyle GBP\/USD\u2019yi \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n dibi olan 1,3250\u2019ye indirdi. Bu, \u201criskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u201d (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klardan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p daha g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6rd\u00fcklerine y\u00f6nelmesi) d\u00f6nemiydi; jeopolitik kayg\u0131lar ekonomik g\u00f6stergelerin \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7ti.\n\n2025 sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n etkileri aras\u0131nda petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda belirgin bir s\u0131\u00e7rama g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc; bu durum 1990-1991 K\u00f6rfez Sava\u015f\u0131 d\u00f6nemindeki fiyat \u015foklar\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlatt\u0131. Bunun sonucunda kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon olu\u015ftu; ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) ve \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) o tarihten beri daha y\u00fcksek faizlerle enflasyonla m\u00fccadele etti. Ancak \u015fimdi piyasa oda\u011f\u0131 jeopolitikten \u201cfaiz farklar\u0131na\u201d (iki \u00fclkenin faiz oranlar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131n kur \u00fczerinde yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 etki) kaym\u0131\u015f durumda.\n\n

Piyasalar Faiz Farklar\u0131na Odaklan\u0131yor<\/h3>\n\u015eu anda odak, hangi merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n faiz indirimine \u00f6nce ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131. Son veriler, ABD\u2019de enflasyonun daha h\u0131zl\u0131 so\u011fudu\u011funu ve %2,8\u2019e geriledi\u011fini; Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019ta ise ge\u00e7en ayki rapora g\u00f6re enflasyonun %3,5 ile y\u00fcksek kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu tablo, BoE\u2019nin Fed\u2019e g\u00f6re daha uzun s\u00fcre s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131 (ekonomiyi so\u011futmak i\u00e7in y\u00fcksek faiz gibi \u00f6nlemler) s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek zorunda kalabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nBu ayr\u0131\u015fma nedeniyle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki e\u011filimin tersine d\u00f6nmesi ve Sterlinin Dolara g\u00f6re g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir. 1,3500 civar\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m hakk\u0131n\u0131 verece\u011fi kur seviyesi) GBP\/USD al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call option: belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli bir fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almak, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015ften yararlanmak i\u00e7in bir y\u00f6ntem olabilir. Bu strateji, Sterlin y\u00fckselirse kazan\u00e7 imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunarken a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riski s\u0131n\u0131rlar.\n\nFaiz vadeli i\u015flem piyasalar\u0131 (gelecekteki faiz seviyesine y\u00f6nelik fiyatlaman\u0131n yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 piyasa), Temmuz 2026\u2019ya kadar Fed faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %60\u2019tan y\u00fcksek; ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde BoE indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ise %30 olarak fiyatl\u0131yor. Bu veri, Dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Sterlinde \u201cuzun pozisyonu\u201d (fiyat y\u00fckseli\u015finden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen pozisyon) destekliyor. Bu nedenle, \u201ct\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcnlerle\u201d (de\u011feri kur, faiz gibi bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 olan ara\u00e7lar) Sterlinin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine oynayan i\u015flemler, 2025\u2019teki korku odakl\u0131 i\u015flemlerin tersine, mevcut merkez bankas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcyle uyumlu.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi dolar\u0131 \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d yapt\u0131: GBP\/USD %0,5 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcp 1,3350\u2019ye indi, DXY 99,35. Ancak faiz fark\u0131 BoE lehine; Sterlin\u2019de toparlanma\/long senaryosu g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29910","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29910","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29910"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29910\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29910"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29910"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29910"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}