{"id":29893,"date":"2026-03-09T15:04:19","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T15:04:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/orta-dogudaki-savas-riskleri-s-ocak-zirvelerinden-bu-yana-kayiplar-asagi-yonlu-gaple-acilisin-ardindan-derinlesti\/"},"modified":"2026-03-09T15:04:19","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T15:04:19","slug":"orta-dogudaki-savas-riskleri-s-ocak-zirvelerinden-bu-yana-kayiplar-asagi-yonlu-gaple-acilisin-ardindan-derinlesti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/orta-dogudaki-savas-riskleri-s-ocak-zirvelerinden-bu-yana-kayiplar-asagi-yonlu-gaple-acilisin-ardindan-derinlesti\/","title":{"rendered":"Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki sava\u015f riskleri S&#038;P 500\u2019\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc; ocak zirvelerinden bu yana kay\u0131plar, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc gap\u2019le a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan derinle\u015fti."},"content":{"rendered":"S&#038;P 500, ocak ay\u0131ndaki zirvelerden bu yana geriliyor ve bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda. Bu haftaki \u201cgap\u201d (fiyat bo\u015flu\u011fu: a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015fta \u00f6nceki kapan\u0131\u015fa g\u00f6re arada i\u015flem g\u00f6rmeden olu\u015fan bo\u015fluk) \u00f6nceki teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc de\u011fi\u015ftirdi. Hareket art\u0131k daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir d\u00fczeltme (d\u00fczeltme: ana trend i\u00e7inde ge\u00e7ici geri \u00e7ekilme) yap\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7inde \u201cbe\u015finci dalga\u201d olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor. (Dalga: fiyat\u0131n belirli bir y\u00f6nde yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ard\u0131\u015f\u0131k hareket.)\n\nBu senaryo s\u00fcrerse, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f 6.370\u20136.500 destek b\u00f6lgesine (destek: al\u0131mlar\u0131n art\u0131p d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc durdurabildi\u011fi seviye) uzayabilir; 6.772 ise kritik seviye konumunda. 6.772\u2019nin \u00fczerine ta\u015fan ve g\u00fcn kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131 yapan bir hareket, daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u201cB dalgas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7geni\u201d (\u00fc\u00e7gen: fiyat\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u00fcst \u00fcste daralan dalga yap\u0131s\u0131) i\u00e7indeki C dalgas\u0131nda \u201cay\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc tamamlanmam\u0131\u015f itki\u201d (itki: g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve h\u0131zl\u0131 tek y\u00f6nl\u00fc ana hareket) g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131lar.\n\n<h3>Key Resistance And Gap Levels<\/h3>\nPazar g\u00fcn\u00fcnden kalan 6.700 civar\u0131ndaki gap (fiyat bo\u015flu\u011fu) da haftan\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda olas\u0131 diren\u00e7 (diren\u00e7: sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n art\u0131p y\u00fckseli\u015fi durdurabildi\u011fi seviye) olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. 6.700\u2019e do\u011fru bir toparlanma ve ard\u0131ndan yeni bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, ay\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc (bearish: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisi) senaryo ile uyumlu olur.\n\nDaha olumlu (bullish: y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisi) bir okuma i\u00e7in iki yakla\u015f\u0131m var: \u0130lki, 6.970\u2019ten ba\u015flayan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn tamamlanmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemek. \u0130kincisi, 6.772\u2019nin \u00fczerine ta\u015fma ve g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f g\u00f6rmek; bu, dip seviyenin (dip: k\u0131sa vadeli en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck nokta) olu\u015fmu\u015f olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret eder.\n\nOcak 2026 zirvelerinden gelen yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmenin (ivme: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131zlanma g\u00fcc\u00fc) bitti\u011fini ve S&#038;P 500\u2019\u00fcn daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir d\u00fczeltme s\u00fcrecine girdi\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. VIX (oynakl\u0131k endeksi: piyasan\u0131n beklenen dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren, \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d diye bilinen g\u00f6sterge) 25\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; bu, i\u015flem yapanlar\u0131n endi\u015fesinin belirgin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu nedenle, \u201cdipten al\u0131m\u201d (dipten al\u0131m: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte fiyat ucuzlad\u0131 diye al\u0131m yapmak) k\u0131sa vadede riskli olabilir.\n\nHisselerdeki bask\u0131, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki artan jeopolitik risklerle (jeopolitik risk: siyasi\/askeri geli\u015fmelerin piyasalara etkisi) b\u00fcy\u00fcyor. Ayr\u0131ca ge\u00e7en ay a\u00e7\u0131klanan beklentiden y\u00fcksek T\u00dcFE (CPI: T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi, enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) verisi, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed: Federal Reserve) yak\u0131n vadede faiz indirimi ihtimaline dair beklentileri zay\u0131flatt\u0131. Bu tablo, endekste d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn s\u00fcrmesini destekliyor. S&#038;P 500, y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndaki zirvesine g\u00f6re %8\u2019den fazla geriledi.\n\n<h3>Positioning And Confirmation Signals<\/h3>\nBu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmle, t\u00fcrev (t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn: de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 olan s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) i\u015flemi yapanlar 6.370\u20136.500 destek b\u00f6lgesine d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe y\u00f6nelik pozisyon alabilir; \u00f6rne\u011fin put opsiyonu (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon) veya bear put spread (ay\u0131 spread\u2019i: bir put al\u0131p daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put satarak maliyeti azaltan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f stratejisi) kullan\u0131labilir. CBOE put\/call oran\u0131n\u0131n (put\/call: put i\u015flem hacminin call\u2019a oran\u0131; y\u00fckseldik\u00e7e korunma\/d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisi artar) 1,15\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, 2025 sonbahar\u0131ndaki geri \u00e7ekilmeden (pullback: ana trend i\u00e7inde k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f) beri g\u00f6r\u00fclen en y\u00fcksek seviye; yani bir\u00e7ok ki\u015fi daha fazla zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011fa haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Piyasa 6.772 direncinin \u00fczerinde g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f yaparsa bu ay\u0131 stratejileri ge\u00e7ersiz kal\u0131r.\n\nK\u0131sa vadede 6.700 \u00e7evresindeki direnci izliyoruz. Bu b\u00f6lgeye toparlan\u0131p kalamayarak yeniden a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nmesi, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne dair g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sinyal olur. Bu durum, short (k\u0131sa pozisyon: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen pozisyon) a\u00e7mak veya art\u0131rmak isteyenler i\u00e7in uygun bir giri\u015f noktas\u0131 sa\u011flayabilir.\n\nYukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f arayanlar i\u00e7in daha fazla teyit (teyit: sinyalin do\u011frulanmas\u0131) beklemek daha do\u011fru g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Se\u00e7eneklerden biri, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn 6.370\u20136.500 band\u0131nda destek bulmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemek. Alternatif olarak, 6.772\u2019nin \u00fczerine net k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m (k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m: \u00f6nemli seviyenin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131) ve kapan\u0131\u015f, dip olu\u015fmu\u015f olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6sterir; ancak bu senaryo i\u00e7in zaman az gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>S&#038;P 500\u2019de ocak zirvesinden sonra d\u00fczeltme derinle\u015fiyor: gap\u2019le be\u015finci dalga senaryosu \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. 6.700 diren\u00e7, 6.772 kritik. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da 6.370\u20136.500 hedef; VIX>25 risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29893","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29893","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29893"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29893\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29893"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29893"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29893"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}