{"id":29887,"date":"2026-03-09T13:59:25","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T13:59:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/turner-pahali-petrolun-iea-rallisindeki-yukari-yonu-sinirlamasiyla-eur-usdde-115-desteginin-kirilabilecegi-uyarisinda-bulundu\/"},"modified":"2026-03-09T13:59:25","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T13:59:25","slug":"turner-pahali-petrolun-iea-rallisindeki-yukari-yonu-sinirlamasiyla-eur-usdde-115-desteginin-kirilabilecegi-uyarisinda-bulundu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/turner-pahali-petrolun-iea-rallisindeki-yukari-yonu-sinirlamasiyla-eur-usdde-115-desteginin-kirilabilecegi-uyarisinda-bulundu\/","title":{"rendered":"Turner, pahal\u0131 petrol\u00fcn IEA rallisindeki yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlamas\u0131yla EUR\/USD\u2019de 1,15 deste\u011finin k\u0131r\u0131labilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD paritesinde 1,1500 seviyesinin hemen alt\u0131ndaki destek, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fin Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesini (ithalat ve ihracat fiyatlar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki denge) bozmas\u0131yla bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda. ABD\u2013Euro B\u00f6lgesi faiz fark\u0131 (iki b\u00f6lgenin politika faizleri aras\u0131ndaki fark) euro lehine daralsa bile, enerji \u015foku (enerji maliyetlerindeki ani y\u00fckseli\u015f) parite \u00fczerinde daha a\u011f\u0131r bir y\u00fck olu\u015fturuyor.\n\n2022\u2019de Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 (IEA), Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 i\u015fgalinin ard\u0131ndan mart ba\u015f\u0131nda 62 milyon varil ve nisan ba\u015f\u0131nda 120 milyon varil petrol\u00fc acil stoklardan piyasaya s\u00fcrd\u00fc. Financial Times\u2019a g\u00f6re ABD, IEA\u2019n\u0131n 300\u2013400 milyon varillik bir sat\u0131\u015fa y\u00f6nelmesini istiyor; bu miktar IEA stoklar\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %25\u201330\u2019una denk geliyor.\n\n

Olas\u0131 IEA Sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n Etkileri<\/h3>\nIEA 300\u2013400 milyon varillik bir sat\u0131\u015fa y\u00f6nelirse, EUR\/USD k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli bir y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6rebilir; ancak y\u00fckseli\u015fin 1,1600 civar\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rlanmas\u0131 olas\u0131. Mevcut piyasa pozisyonlar\u0131na (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n al\u0131m-sat\u0131m y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki birikmi\u015f i\u015flemlerine) g\u00f6re bu b\u00f6lgenin kal\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ihtimal olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.\n\n1,1475\/1,1500 seviyelerinin alt\u0131na inilmesi i\u015flem oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert hareket etmesini) art\u0131rabilir. Bu durumda EUR\/USD h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde 1,1400\u2019e do\u011fru gerileyebilir.\n\n

Piyasa Fiyatlamas\u0131 ve \u0130\u015flem Stratejisi<\/h3>\nG\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz 300\u2013400 milyon varillik b\u00fcy\u00fck IEA sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmedi. Ekim 2025\u2019te yap\u0131lan daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck, 60 milyon varillik koordineli sat\u0131\u015f petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ve EUR\/USD\u2019de ge\u00e7ici bir y\u00fckseli\u015fe yol a\u00e7t\u0131; ancak parite 1,1600\u2019e yakla\u015famadan geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Piyasa bunun arz-talep dengesizli\u011fine (\u00fcretim ve t\u00fcketim aras\u0131ndaki uyumsuzlu\u011fa) kal\u0131c\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede fiyatlad\u0131.\n\nAvrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) Kas\u0131m 2025\u2019te son bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131yla faiz fark\u0131n\u0131 daraltsa da, artan resesyon (ekonomik daralma) endi\u015feleri bu etkiyi g\u00f6lgede b\u0131rakt\u0131. \u015eimdi piyasalar y\u0131l sonuna kadar ECB\u2019nin faiz indirimi ihtimalini fiyatl\u0131yor; bu da euroya daha \u00f6nce destek veren etkiyi zay\u0131flat\u0131yor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed), g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD b\u00fcy\u00fcme verileri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda politikas\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde sabit tutuyor.\n\nBu tabloya g\u00f6re EUR\/USD\u2019deki y\u00fckseli\u015fler, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n i\u00e7in pozisyon almak ad\u0131na f\u0131rsat olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar 1,1250 veya 1,1200 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (belirlenen fiyattan sat\u0131\u015f hakk\u0131 veren) put opsiyonlar\u0131 (belirli tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir; enerji fiyatlar\u0131 belirgin \u015fekilde gerilemezse k\u0131\u015f dip seviyelerinin yeniden test edilmesi olas\u0131. 1,1475\/1,1500 b\u00f6lgesine yakla\u015fan y\u00fckseli\u015flerde sat\u0131\u015f yapmak, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in net bir strateji olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD\u2019de 1,1500 alt\u0131 destek, y\u00fckselen petrol\u00fcn Avrupa d\u0131\u015f ticaretini bozmas\u0131yla k\u0131r\u0131lgan. IEA sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 pariteyi 1,1600\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131yam\u0131yor; ECB indirimi fiyatlan\u0131yor. Strateji: y\u00fckseli\u015flerde sat\u0131\u015f, 1,1400 riski.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29887","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29887","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29887"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29887\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29887"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29887"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29887"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}