{"id":29864,"date":"2026-03-09T08:02:48","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T08:02:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/riskten-kacis-arttikca-guvenli-liman-talebi-abd-dolarini-destekliyor-gbp-usd-13300-seviyesine-yakin-geriliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-09T08:02:48","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T08:02:48","slug":"riskten-kacis-arttikca-guvenli-liman-talebi-abd-dolarini-destekliyor-gbp-usd-13300-seviyesine-yakin-geriliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/riskten-kacis-arttikca-guvenli-liman-talebi-abd-dolarini-destekliyor-gbp-usd-13300-seviyesine-yakin-geriliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f artt\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00fcvenli liman talebi ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekliyor, GBP\/USD 1,3300 seviyesine yak\u0131n geriliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD, \u00f6nceki seansta g\u00f6r\u00fclen s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde 1,3300 civar\u0131na geriledi. Hareket, \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 g\u00fcvenli liman talebiyle ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle geldi.\n\nMojtaba Hamaney, Ayetullah Ali Hamaney\u2019in ABD-\u0130srail sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131nda \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fclmesinden bir haftadan biraz fazla s\u00fcre sonra \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n yeni dini lideri olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump bu atamay\u0131 \u201ckabul edilemez\u201d olarak niteledi ve Washington\u2019un \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bir sonraki liderinin se\u00e7ilmesinde s\u00f6z sahibi olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.\n\n

Petrol Fiyatlar\u0131 ve G\u00fcvenli Liman Ak\u0131mlar\u0131<\/h3>\nABD Dolar\u0131, sava\u015f\u0131n enerji arz\u0131n\u0131 aksatabilece\u011fi endi\u015fesiyle y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndan da destek buldu. WTI (ABD ham petrol\u00fc) yaz\u0131m s\u0131ras\u0131nda varil ba\u015f\u0131na 111,00 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.\n\nPiyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ge\u00e7en hafta ba\u015flamas\u0131yla birlikte enflasyon beklentilerini de yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekti. Bu durum, Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) faiz indirimlerini erteleyebilece\u011fi beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.\n\n\u0130ngiltere\u2019de enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f enflasyon endi\u015felerini art\u0131rd\u0131 ve bu ay BoE\u2019nin (\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131) faiz indirimi yapaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini zay\u0131flatt\u0131. Vadeli piyasa fiyatlamalar\u0131, y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda ek bir politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6rmedi.\n\n\u0130ngiltere Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Keir Starmer, ilk ABD-\u0130srail sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na kat\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yineledi ve diplomasiye i\u015faret etti. Trump, \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin HMS Prince of Wales\u2019i Orta Do\u011fu\u2019ya g\u00f6ndermeyi planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki haberleri reddetti ve Britanya\u2019y\u0131 \u201cbir zamanlar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck m\u00fcttefiki\u201d olarak niteledi.\n\n

Faiz Fark\u0131 ve Piyasa Pozisyonlanmas\u0131<\/h3>\nPiyasan\u0131n ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 hat\u0131rlamas\u0131 nedeniyle ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7lenmenin kal\u0131c\u0131 bir tema oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. 2025\u2019teki ilk \u201cg\u00fcvenli limana ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u201d (risk art\u0131nca daha g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6r\u00fclen varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme) zamanla \u201cgetiri odakl\u0131\u201d bir i\u015fleme d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bunun arkas\u0131nda, Fed\u2019in faizi beklenenden daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutmas\u0131 var. Fed fon vadeli i\u015flemleri (piyasan\u0131n Fed faizine y\u00f6nelik beklentisini g\u00f6steren s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) \u015fu anda bu y\u0131l\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fine kadar tek bir faiz indirimi ihtimalini yaln\u0131zca %60 olarak fiyatl\u0131yor; bunun nedeni petrol \u015fokunun ard\u0131ndan kal\u0131c\u0131 hale gelen y\u00fcksek enflasyon.\n\nYat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u015funu da dikkate almas\u0131 gerekiyor: WTI ge\u00e7en y\u0131l 111 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerindeki zirvesinden gerilemi\u015f olsa da h\u00e2l\u00e2 y\u00fcksek seviyede ve bu sabah varil ba\u015f\u0131na 85 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu kal\u0131c\u0131 fiyat bask\u0131s\u0131, enerji t\u00fcrevlerinde \u201cz\u0131mni oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) y\u00fcksek tutuyor ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da k\u0131r\u0131lgan bir bar\u0131\u015f ya da ani bir t\u0131rmanma senaryosuna g\u00f6re pozisyon alanlar i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat yarat\u0131yor. Gerilimin yeniden artmas\u0131, fiyatlar\u0131 h\u0131zla yeniden 100 dolar seviyesine yakla\u015ft\u0131rabilir.\n\nFaiz t\u00fcrevleriyle i\u015flem yapanlar i\u00e7in Fed ile BoE aras\u0131ndaki ayr\u0131\u015fma kritik. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l iki merkez bankas\u0131 da faiz indirimi beklentilerinden uzakla\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ancak \u0130ngiltere\u2019de enflasyon Ocak 2026 i\u00e7in %3,8 olarak izlenirken (ABD\u2019de son T\u00dcFE\/CPI, yani t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi %3,5), BoE Fed\u2019den bile daha uzun s\u00fcre \u201cgev\u015femeyi\u201d (faiz indirimiyle para politikas\u0131n\u0131 daha destekleyici hale getirmeyi) ertelemek zorunda kalabilir. Bu da \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda ABD-\u0130ngiltere faiz fark\u0131n\u0131n daha da a\u00e7\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle kurulan i\u015flemlerin kazan\u00e7l\u0131 olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nD\u00f6viz taraf\u0131nda GBP\/USD, 2025\u2019te ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan diplomatik gerilimin etkisini h\u00e2l\u00e2 hissediyor ve 1,2900 alt\u0131nda tutunmakta zorlan\u0131yor. Opsiyon piyasas\u0131nda i\u015flem yapanlar, spot fiyat sakin g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de paritede 1 ayl\u0131k oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n tarihsel ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 not etmeli; bu, piyasan\u0131n siyasi ve ekonomik belirsizli\u011fi h\u00e2l\u00e2 fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. \u201cRisk reversal\u201d gibi opsiyon yap\u0131lar\u0131 (al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 birlikte kullanarak y\u00f6nl\u00fc beklenti kurma y\u00f6ntemi), a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riski s\u0131n\u0131rlarken sterlinde olas\u0131 toparlanmaya pozisyon almak i\u00e7in etkili olabilir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Orta Do\u011fu sava\u015f\u0131 petrol\u00fc 111 dolara iterken g\u00fcvenli liman talebi Dolar\u2019\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi; GBP\/USD 1,3300\u2019e geriledi. Enflasyon-endi\u015fesi Fed\/BoE faiz ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 derinle\u015ftiriyor, oynakl\u0131k y\u00fcksek kal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29864","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29864","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29864"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29864\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29864"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29864"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29864"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}