{"id":29861,"date":"2026-03-09T08:00:35","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T08:00:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/eur-usd-asyada-11520-civarinda-islem-goruyor-dusus-kanali-icinde-asagi-yonlu-seyrini-surdurerek-11500e-dogru-geriliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-09T08:00:35","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T08:00:35","slug":"eur-usd-asyada-11520-civarinda-islem-goruyor-dusus-kanali-icinde-asagi-yonlu-seyrini-surdurerek-11500e-dogru-geriliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/eur-usd-asyada-11520-civarinda-islem-goruyor-dusus-kanali-icinde-asagi-yonlu-seyrini-surdurerek-11500e-dogru-geriliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD Asya\u2019da 1,1520 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kanal\u0131 i\u00e7inde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek 1,1500\u2019e do\u011fru geriliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD, pazartesi Asya i\u015flemlerinde \u00f6nceki seansta g\u00f6r\u00fclen s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan 1,1520 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte parite h\u00e2l\u00e2 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir kanal i\u00e7inde hareket ediyor; bu da g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.\n\nParite, dokuz g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n (EMA: son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren hareketli ortalama) alt\u0131na indi. Bu EMA da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015f durumda ve fiyat 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n da alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, hem k\u0131sa vadede sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131na hem de genel trendde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc seyre i\u015faret ediyor.\n\n<h3>A\u015f\u0131r\u0131 Sat\u0131m \u0130\u015faretleri ve Momentum<\/h3>\n14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI: fiyat\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015f\/d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) 30\u2019un alt\u0131na geriledi; bu, \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m\u201d (fiyat\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede sert d\u00fc\u015fmesi) ko\u015fullar\u0131na i\u015faret eder. RSI\u2019\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 inmeye devam etmesi, sat\u0131\u015f ivmesinin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn net bi\u00e7imde bitti\u011fine dair g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir sinyal olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.\n\nDestek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte fiyat\u0131n tutunabilece\u011fi seviye) ilk olarak 1,1468\u2019deki yedi ay\u0131n dibinde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bunun alt\u0131nda izlenecek seviyeler, kanal\u0131n alt band\u0131 olan 1,1430 civar\u0131 ve 1,1391\u2019deki dokuz ay\u0131n dibi.\n\nDiren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fte fiyat\u0131n zorlanabilece\u011fi seviye) dokuz g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n bulundu\u011fu 1,1650 civar\u0131nda. Daha yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir hareket i\u00e7in 1,1742\u2019deki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA \u00fczerinde g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f gerekir; ard\u0131ndan kanal\u0131n \u00fcst band\u0131 1,1790 civar\u0131 ve Haziran 2021\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviye olan 1,2082 g\u00fcndeme gelir.\n\n<h3>Makro Etkenler ve Politika Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131<\/h3>\n\u015eu anda ana belirleyici, iki ekonomik b\u00f6lge aras\u0131ndaki enflasyon verilerindeki belirgin ayr\u0131\u015fma. Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin \u015eubat 2026 \u201c\u00f6nc\u00fc\u201d T\u00dcFE (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi; enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) tahmini beklentilerin \u00fczerinde %2,8 geldi ve fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterdi. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, ABD\u2019de son enflasyon verileri %2,5\u2019e geriledi; bu da Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) faiz indirim s\u00fcrecine ba\u015flayabilece\u011fi beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.\n\nBu veriler, piyasan\u0131n merkez bankas\u0131 beklentilerini de\u011fi\u015ftirdi. Bu de\u011fi\u015fimin pariteyi 1,1600 seviyesine do\u011fru toparlanmada destekledi\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Piyasada Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) faiz indiriminin gecikebilece\u011fi, hatta 2026\u2019n\u0131n 3. \u00e7eyre\u011fine kalabilece\u011fi fiyatlan\u0131yor. \u00d6te yandan vadeli i\u015flem piyasalar\u0131 (futures: ileri tarihte al\u0131m-sat\u0131m i\u00e7in standart s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) Fed\u2019in Haziran toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %70\u2019in \u00fczerinde g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.\n\nT\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (derivative: de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fme) yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in bu tablo, kademeli bir y\u00fckseli\u015ften yararlanan stratejileri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcrken, oynakl\u0131\u011fa (volatility: fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131) kar\u015f\u0131 korunmay\u0131 da g\u00fcndeme getiriyor. Fed\u2019den gelebilecek \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (hawkish: faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131\/ s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015fa yak\u0131n) bir s\u00fcrpriz ya da ani d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun al\u0131m-sat\u0131m hakk\u0131 verdi\u011fi fiyat) 1,1450 civar\u0131nda \u201cput\u201d opsiyonu (fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan opsiyon) almay\u0131 bir koruma (hedge) arac\u0131 olarak de\u011ferli buluyoruz. Cboe EuroCurrency Volatility Index (EVZ: EUR\u2019a dair opsiyonlardan t\u00fcretilen beklenen oynakl\u0131k g\u00f6stergesi) 8,5\u2019e y\u00fckseldi; bu da piyasada \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda daha b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketler beklendi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nYukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde ise, s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle ek kazan\u00e7 hedeflemek i\u00e7in \u201cbull call spread\u201d (y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisiyle bir al\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 bir al\u0131m opsiyonu satma stratejisi) etkili olabilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin Nisan vadeli 1,1650 \u201ccall\u201d (al\u0131m opsiyonu) al\u0131p ayn\u0131 anda Nisan vadeli 1,1750 call satmak, fiyat\u0131n \u00f6nceki dokuz g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA direncinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131ndan fayda sa\u011flayabilir. Bu yap\u0131, politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n destekledi\u011fi mevcut yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmeden yararlan\u0131r.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/USD\u2019de kritik viraj: Parite 1,1520\u2019de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kanal\u0131nda, RSI a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131mda. 1,1468-1,1430 destek; 1,1650-1,1742 diren\u00e7. Enflasyon ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 Fed indirimi\/ECB gecikmesiyle volatiliteyi y\u00fckseltiyor. Put hedge, bull call spread \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29861","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29861","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29861"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29861\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29861"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29861"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29861"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}