{"id":29858,"date":"2026-03-09T07:58:16","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T07:58:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/usd-chf-guvenli-liman-talebi-ve-yukselen-enerji-fiyatlarinin-dolari-desteklemesiyle-07820ye-yakin-yukseldi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-09T07:58:16","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T07:58:16","slug":"usd-chf-guvenli-liman-talebi-ve-yukselen-enerji-fiyatlarinin-dolari-desteklemesiyle-07820ye-yakin-yukseldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-chf-guvenli-liman-talebi-ve-yukselen-enerji-fiyatlarinin-dolari-desteklemesiyle-07820ye-yakin-yukseldi\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/CHF, g\u00fcvenli liman talebi ve y\u00fckselen enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n dolar\u0131 desteklemesiyle 0,7820\u2019ye yak\u0131n y\u00fckseldi"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/CHF, \u00f6nceki seansta geriledikten sonra pazartesi Asya i\u015flemlerinde 0,7800\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve 0,7820 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Hareket, g\u00fcvenli liman (risk art\u0131nca yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131\u011f\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 varl\u0131k) al\u0131mlar\u0131yla ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na talebin artmas\u0131 ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesiyle geldi. \n\nABD Dolar\u0131 Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n zirvelerine y\u00f6nelerek 99,50 civar\u0131nda seyretti. Destek, West Texas Intermediate (WTI: ABD petrol fiyat\u0131 i\u00e7in referans ham petrol t\u00fcr\u00fc) ham petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn varil ba\u015f\u0131na 100,00 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcrenin en y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeylerine y\u00fckselmesinden geldi. Piyasada, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n uzamas\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel enerji arz\u0131n\u0131 (d\u00fcnya genelinde petrol ve gaz tedariki) aksatabilece\u011fi endi\u015fesi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \n\n

Jeopolitik Risk ve Petrol Fiyat\u0131 Deste\u011fi<\/h3> \nCBA ekonomistleri, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ileride sava\u015f\u0131 bitirmeye d\u00f6n\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir konum (pazarl\u0131k g\u00fcc\u00fc) elde etmek i\u00e7in kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verebilece\u011fini belirtti. Ekonomistler ayr\u0131ca ABD ve \u0130srail\u2019in, gelecekteki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde avantaj sa\u011flamak amac\u0131yla \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n sald\u0131r\u0131 kapasitesini azaltmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fabilece\u011fini ifade etti. \n\nThe Telegraph, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 yenmek ve k\u00fcresel bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in \u201c\u00f6denmesi gereken \u00e7ok k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir bedel\u201d olarak niteledi\u011fini yazd\u0131. Haberde ayr\u0131ca Trump\u2019\u0131n Truth Social\u2019da \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n tek se\u00e7ene\u011finin ko\u015fulsuz teslimiyet oldu\u011funu, bunun ard\u0131ndan bir sonraki liderinin se\u00e7ilmesine yard\u0131m edece\u011fini belirtti\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131. \n\nUSD\/CHF\u2019de y\u00fckseli\u015f, \u0130svi\u00e7re Frang\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman talebiyle g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi halinde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalabilir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar ayr\u0131ca \u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (SNB) olas\u0131 m\u00fcdahalesini izliyor. SNB Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Antoine Martin, Banka\u2019n\u0131n Frang\u2019daki a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 de\u011ferlenmeye (para biriminin h\u0131zl\u0131 ve \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcs\u00fcz g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi) kar\u015f\u0131 harekete haz\u0131r oldu\u011funu yinelerken, \u0130svi\u00e7re\u2019de enflasyon zay\u0131f kalmaya devam ediyor. \n\nGe\u00e7en y\u0131l, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma endi\u015feleri ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki s\u0131\u00e7raman\u0131n etkisiyle USD\/CHF\u2019nin 0,7800\u2019in \u00fczerine y\u00fckseldi\u011fini g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fck. Bu durum, Frang\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 dolar al\u0131m pozisyonlar\u0131 i\u00e7in net bir i\u015faretti. Bug\u00fcn ise tablo farkl\u0131: WTI, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n sonlar\u0131nda OPEC d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (Petrol \u0130hra\u00e7 Eden \u00dclkeler \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki \u00fcreticiler) \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan varil ba\u015f\u0131na 82 dolar civar\u0131nda dengelendi. \n\n

De\u011fi\u015fen SNB Politikas\u0131 ve \u0130\u015flem Etkileri<\/h3> \n\u00d6nemli de\u011fi\u015fim, SNB\u2019nin oda\u011f\u0131nda: Art\u0131k Frang\u2019\u0131n de\u011ferlenmesini s\u0131n\u0131rlamak yerine kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyonla m\u00fccadele \u00f6n planda. \u015eubat 2026 itibar\u0131yla enflasyon %2,1\u2019e ula\u015ft\u0131. Bu, ge\u00e7en y\u0131la k\u0131yasla farkl\u0131 bir ortam: O d\u00f6nemde DXY 99,50 civar\u0131ndayken bug\u00fcn 95,20\u2019ye daha yak\u0131n. Bu nedenle SNB\u2019nin Frang\u2019daki g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeye kar\u015f\u0131 m\u00fcdahale etme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck; bu da CHF i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir bask\u0131 unsurunun (yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlayan etkenin) ortadan kalkmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. \n\n\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda USD\/CHF\u2019de al\u0131m y\u00f6nl\u00fc call opsiyonlar\u0131 (fiyat y\u00fckselirse kazand\u0131ran opsiyon) almak, de\u011fi\u015fen temel ko\u015fullar nedeniyle uygun g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. Bunun yerine yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, 0,7650 seviyesine do\u011fru olas\u0131 ek d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe oynayarak sat\u0131m y\u00f6nl\u00fc put opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 (fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse kazand\u0131ran opsiyon) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. Bu strateji, SNB\u2019nin \u015fahin duru\u015fu (faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 veya s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 e\u011filimi) ve daha sakin enerji piyasalar\u0131yla g\u00fc\u00e7lenen Frang\u2019dan faydalan\u0131r. \n\nAncak 2022\u2019de Ukrayna geli\u015fmeleri sonras\u0131 dalgalanman\u0131n (fiyat oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n) ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 unutulmamal\u0131; bu da jeopolitik sakinli\u011fin k\u0131r\u0131lgan oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. USD\/CHF opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen oynakl\u0131k) \u015fu anda birka\u00e7 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesinde; bu da uzun vadeli straddle\u2019lar\u0131 (ayn\u0131 vadede hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu alarak y\u00f6n tahmini yapmadan b\u00fcy\u00fck harekete oynayan strateji) g\u00f6rece ucuz k\u0131l\u0131yor. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, belirli bir y\u00f6n se\u00e7meden piyasa geriliminin beklenmedik \u015fekilde artmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 konum almak i\u00e7in daha temkinli bir se\u00e7enek olabilir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Petrol 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcne t\u0131rman\u0131rken DXY g\u00fc\u00e7lendi, USD\/CHF 0,7820\u2019ye dayand\u0131. Ancak SNB\u2019nin \u015fahinle\u015fmesi CHF\u2019yi destekliyor: call yerine 0,7650 hedefli put veya ucuz straddle \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29858","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29858","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29858"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29858\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29858"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29858"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29858"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}