{"id":29843,"date":"2026-03-09T03:59:39","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T03:59:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/eur-usd-dusuk-acildi-asya-islemlerinde-11515e-dogru-gerileyerek-kasim-2025ten-bu-yana-en-zayif-seviyesini-gordu\/"},"modified":"2026-03-09T03:59:39","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T03:59:39","slug":"eur-usd-dusuk-acildi-asya-islemlerinde-11515e-dogru-gerileyerek-kasim-2025ten-bu-yana-en-zayif-seviyesini-gordu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/eur-usd-dusuk-acildi-asya-islemlerinde-11515e-dogru-gerileyerek-kasim-2025ten-bu-yana-en-zayif-seviyesini-gordu\/","title":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131, Asya i\u015flemlerinde 1,1515\u2019e do\u011fru gerileyerek Kas\u0131m 2025\u2019ten bu yana en zay\u0131f seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD haftaya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir bo\u015flukla (gap: fiyat\u0131n bir \u00f6nceki kapan\u0131\u015fa g\u00f6re arada i\u015flem g\u00f6rmeden daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131dan a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131) ba\u015flad\u0131 ve 1,1520\u20131,1515 b\u00f6lgesine gerileyerek Kas\u0131m 2025\u2019ten bu yana yeni dip seviyeyi g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Piyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risklerin h\u00e2l\u00e2 a\u011f\u0131r bast\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.\n\nABD dolar\u0131 talebi g\u00fc\u00e7lendi. Piyasalar zay\u0131f ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (Nonfarm Payrolls: tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerde ayl\u0131k istihdam de\u011fi\u015fimini g\u00f6steren veri) raporunu ikinci plana itip Ortado\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya yeniden odakland\u0131. ABD-\u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik kampanyas\u0131 pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc 10. g\u00fcn\u00fcne girerken, k\u00fcresel hisse senetleri \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 artt\u0131.\n\n

Petrol \u015eoku Dolara Talebi Art\u0131rd\u0131<\/h3>\nHam petrol, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019na (Strait of Hormuz: K\u00f6rfez petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011fi kritik deniz ge\u00e7idi) ba\u011fl\u0131 arz kesintisi endi\u015feleriyle 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fma ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan bu yana petrol %25\u2019ten fazla y\u00fckselerek enflasyon (enflasyon: genel fiyat seviyesindeki art\u0131\u015f) kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.\n\nBu enflasyon endi\u015feleri, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed: ABD\u2019nin merkez bankas\u0131) para politikas\u0131nda (para politikas\u0131: faiz ve likidite kararlar\u0131) bir sonraki anlaml\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fimin daha ileri tarihe \u00f6telenmesi beklentisini art\u0131rd\u0131. Buna paralel olarak ABD Hazine tahvili getirileri (tahvil getirisi: tahvil faizi) y\u00fckseldi ve dolara destek verdi.\n\nAvrupa\u2019n\u0131n ithal enerjiye ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, ham petrol ve do\u011fal gaz fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fckselmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrse euroyu daha k\u0131r\u0131lgan h\u00e2le getiriyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar bir yandan bu haftaki ABD enflasyon verilerini Fed\u2019in faiz indirim patikas\u0131 (faiz indirimi patikas\u0131: faizlerin ne zaman ve ne h\u0131zla d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fine dair beklenti) i\u00e7in izlerken, di\u011fer yandan jeopolitik haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 takip ediyor.\n\nG\u00fcvenli limana (flight to safety: riskli varl\u0131klardan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p dolar gibi daha g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6r\u00fclen varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme) y\u00f6nelim ve jeopolitik bask\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fck\u00e7e, dolar g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda da devam etmesi olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Cboe Volatilite Endeksi\u2019nin (VIX: piyasadaki beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d) 25\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, 2025\u2019teki bankac\u0131l\u0131k dalgalanmas\u0131ndan bu yana s\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fclmeyen d\u00fczeyde bir tedirginli\u011fe i\u015faret ediyor; bu da y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131kla birlikte daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar beklentisini destekliyor.\n\n

Eurusd \u0130\u00e7in T\u00fcrev Piyasas\u0131 G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\nT\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcnlerle (t\u00fcrev: de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) EUR\/USD\u2019de ek d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe pozisyon almak, bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc yans\u0131tman\u0131n en net yolu olmaya devam ediyor. ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getirilerinin %4,5\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, piyasalar\u0131n yak\u0131n vadede beklenen Fed faiz indirimlerini daha az olas\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor; bu da 1,1400 veya 1,1350 hedefli EUR\/USD sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 (put opsiyonu: belirli bir fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) daha makul k\u0131l\u0131yor.\n\nAvrupa\u2019n\u0131n enerji ithalat\u0131na y\u00fcksek ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 (t\u00fcketimin yakla\u015f\u0131k %60\u2019\u0131), petrol\u00fcn varil ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolar \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131 h\u00e2linde \u00f6nemli bir zay\u0131fl\u0131k yarat\u0131yor. Bu durum b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve g\u00fcven \u00fczerinde belirgin bir \u015fok anlam\u0131na gelebilir ve eurodaki zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 derinle\u015ftirebilir; Almanya sanayi \u00fcretimi gibi yakla\u015fan veriler (sanayi \u00fcretimi: fabrikalar\u0131n \u00fcretim miktar\u0131) bu bask\u0131y\u0131 yans\u0131tabilir.\n\nPetroldeki sert s\u0131\u00e7rama, 2022 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki ve k\u00fcresel enflasyon dalgas\u0131n\u0131 tetikleyen \u015foku hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Bu senaryoda enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 Fed\u2019in daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (\u015fahin: faizleri y\u00fcksek tutma e\u011filiminde) bir duru\u015funu desteklerken, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB: Euro B\u00f6lgesi merkez bankas\u0131) daha zay\u0131f b\u00fcy\u00fcme riskleriyle u\u011fra\u015f\u0131r. Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, EUR\/USD\u2019nin daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 gitmesi i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir itici g\u00fc\u00e7 olabilir.\n\nZ\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen oynakl\u0131k) y\u00fckselirken, \u201cdebit put spread\u201d (debit put spread: ayn\u0131 vadede bir put al\u0131p daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 bir put satarak maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren strateji) stratejisi; riski s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131p, EUR\/USD\u2019nin 2025 sonundaki diplerine do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilmesi durumunda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyeli koruyarak, tek ba\u015f\u0131na put almaya k\u0131yasla sermayeyi daha verimli kullanabilir. Bu hafta ABD enflasyon verisi en \u00f6nemli riskli g\u00fcndem; yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir s\u00fcrpriz, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc h\u0131zland\u0131rabilir.\n

\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Petrol 100 dolar\u0131 a\u015f\u0131nca g\u00fcvenli liman dolara ak\u0131m h\u0131zland\u0131: EUR\/USD 1,1520\u2019ye gap\u2019li d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcp Kas\u0131m 2025\u2019ten beri dip yapt\u0131. Fed\u2019in \u015fahinle\u015fmesi, enerji k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve opsiyonlar a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 hedefi destekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29843","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29843","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29843"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29843\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29843"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29843"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29843"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}