{"id":29839,"date":"2026-03-09T01:59:13","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T01:59:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/trump-irani-yenilgiye-ugratmanin-ve-kuresel-barisi-korumanin-bedeli-olarak-artan-petrol-fiyatlarinin-kucuk-bir-maliyet-oldugunu-soyledi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-09T01:59:13","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T01:59:13","slug":"trump-irani-yenilgiye-ugratmanin-ve-kuresel-barisi-korumanin-bedeli-olarak-artan-petrol-fiyatlarinin-kucuk-bir-maliyet-oldugunu-soyledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/trump-irani-yenilgiye-ugratmanin-ve-kuresel-barisi-korumanin-bedeli-olarak-artan-petrol-fiyatlarinin-kucuk-bir-maliyet-oldugunu-soyledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 yenilgiye u\u011fratman\u0131n ve k\u00fcresel bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 koruman\u0131n bedeli olarak artan petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir maliyet oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi."},"content":{"rendered":"ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, Telegraph\u2019\u0131n pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fin \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 yenmek ve d\u00fcnya g\u00fcvenli\u011fi ile bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 desteklemek i\u00e7in \u201c\u00f6denmesi gereken \u00e7ok k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir bedel\u201d oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. Truth Social\u2019da, \u201c\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer tehdidinin yok edilmesi\u201d olarak tan\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7 biter bitmez fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zla d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini yazd\u0131.\n\nPayla\u015f\u0131m\u0131nda ayr\u0131ca \u015funlar\u0131 yazd\u0131: \u201cSADECE APTALLAR AKS\u0130N\u0130 D\u00dc\u015e\u00dcN\u00dcR! Ba\u015fkan DJT.\u201d Petroldeki hareketi, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya ba\u011fl\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli bir etki olarak niteledi.\n\n<h3>Petrol Fiyat\u0131 Tepkisi Ve Piyasa Ba\u011flam\u0131<\/h3>\nYaz\u0131n\u0131n kaleme al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131rada West Texas Intermediate (WTI) ham petrol, g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %16,42 y\u00fckseli\u015fle 103,07 dolardayd\u0131. WTI, ABD\u2019de referans kabul edilen bir ham petrol t\u00fcr\u00fcd\u00fcr.\n\nMart 2025\u2019te varil ba\u015f\u0131na 103 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kan s\u0131\u00e7ramaya d\u00f6n\u00fcp bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ilk piyasa \u015fokunu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Sonras\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 olmad\u0131; WTI h\u00e2l\u00e2 inat\u00e7\u0131 bi\u00e7imde 95 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu durum, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki kal\u0131c\u0131 jeopolitik riskleri (\u00fclkeler aras\u0131 gerilim ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma kaynakl\u0131 risk) yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Bu b\u00f6lgede zaman zaman ya\u015fanan sevkiyat aksakl\u0131klar\u0131, k\u00fcresel petrol t\u00fcketiminin yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019sini etkiliyor.\n\n\u015eimdi, uzun s\u00fcren bu enerji fiyat bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z. \u015eubat ay\u0131 T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE\/CPI) raporu, enflasyonun %4,5 seviyesinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. T\u00dcFE, t\u00fcketicinin sat\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcn ve hizmetlerin fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en temel enflasyon g\u00f6stergesidir. Bu oran, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Federal Reserve\/Fed) hedefinin belirgin \u015fekilde \u00fczerinde.\n\nBuna paralel olarak, Fed\u2019in politika faizi (Fed funds rate; bankalar\u0131n birbirine gecelik bor\u00e7 verme faizine dayanan temel faiz) 20 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesi olan %6,0\u2019da kal\u0131yor; bu y\u0131l faiz indirimi sinyali zay\u0131f.\n\nBu nedenle, piyasada beklenen oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility; opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) \u00f6zellikle enerji taraf\u0131nda ana odak olmaya devam ediyor. CBOE Ham Petrol Oynakl\u0131k Endeksi (OVX; ham petrol opsiyonlar\u0131ndan t\u00fcretilen oynakl\u0131k g\u00f6stergesi) 40\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde seyrediyor; bu tarihsel olarak y\u00fcksek bir seviye. Bu da, ham petrol vadeli i\u015flemlerinde (futures; belirli bir tarihte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) fiyat\u0131n belli bir bantta kalaca\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131m\u0131yla kullan\u0131lan \u201ciron condor\u201d gibi stratejilerle (opsiyonlarda belirli aral\u0131kta kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen yap\u0131) prim satmay\u0131 (opsiyon primini tahsil ederek i\u015flem a\u00e7may\u0131) cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor. \u00d6te yandan, daha uzun vadeli al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call option; fiyat y\u00fckselirse kazand\u0131ran opsiyon) olas\u0131 yeni arz \u015foklar\u0131na (\u00fcretim\/tedarik kesintisi) kar\u015f\u0131 korunma (hedge) amac\u0131yla tercih ediliyor.\n\n<h3>Makro G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Ve \u0130\u015flem Oda\u011f\u0131<\/h3>\nY\u00fcksek faiz ortam\u0131 ekonomiyi belirgin bi\u00e7imde yava\u015flat\u0131yor; 2025\u2019in 4. \u00e7eyre\u011finde GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi (GDP; ekonominin toplam \u00fcretimi) sadece %0,2 oldu. Talep zay\u0131flamas\u0131 (demand destruction; y\u00fcksek fiyatlar ve zay\u0131f ekonomi nedeniyle t\u00fcketimin d\u00fc\u015fmesi) i\u015faretleri izleniyor. Bu durum, arz kaynakl\u0131 riskler s\u00fcrse bile ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda temel gerilim, jeopolitik tehdidin s\u00fcrmesi ile durgunluk riskinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ekonomik zemin aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7eki\u015fme olacak.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Petrolde jeopolitik prim alarm veriyor: Trump, \u0130ran\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fi \u201ck\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bedel\u201d sayd\u0131. WTI 103$\u2019\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc; H\u00fcrm\u00fcz riski, %4,5 enflasyon ve %6 faiz oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek tutuyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29839","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29839","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29839"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29839\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29839"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29839"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29839"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}