{"id":29804,"date":"2026-03-06T23:57:52","date_gmt":"2026-03-06T23:57:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/hurmuz-gerilimi-nedeniyle-wti-ham-petrol-yuzde-11-yukselerek-87-dolarin-uzerine-cikti-ekim-2023ten-bu-yana-en-yuksek-seviyesine-ulasti\/"},"modified":"2026-03-06T23:57:52","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T23:57:52","slug":"hurmuz-gerilimi-nedeniyle-wti-ham-petrol-yuzde-11-yukselerek-87-dolarin-uzerine-cikti-ekim-2023ten-bu-yana-en-yuksek-seviyesine-ulasti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/hurmuz-gerilimi-nedeniyle-wti-ham-petrol-yuzde-11-yukselerek-87-dolarin-uzerine-cikti-ekim-2023ten-bu-yana-en-yuksek-seviyesine-ulasti\/","title":{"rendered":"H\u00fcrm\u00fcz gerilimi nedeniyle WTI ham petrol y\u00fczde 11 y\u00fckselerek 87 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; Ekim 2023\u2019ten bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"WTI tipi ham petrol, cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %11 y\u00fckselerek 87,00 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu seviye, Ekim 2023\u2019ten bu yana en y\u00fcksek d\u00fczey oldu. Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc %5\u2019lik y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan \u00fcst \u00fcste d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcnde de art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Fiyat, yakla\u015f\u0131k 65,00 dolardan %30\u2019dan fazla y\u00fckseldi.\n\nHareketin arkas\u0131nda ABD-\u0130ran gerilimindeki t\u0131rman\u0131\u015f yer ald\u0131. 28 \u015eubat\u2019ta ba\u015flayan ve \u201cOperation Epic Fury\u201d olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lan ABD-\u0130srail hava sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131nda Ali Hamaney\u2019in \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc belirtildi. \u0130ran Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 Ordusu (IRGC), H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.\n\n<h3>Jeopolitik \u015eok ve Arz Kesintisi<\/h3>\n\u00c7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bu yana dokuz gemiye sald\u0131r\u0131 d\u00fczenlendi. Bunlar aras\u0131nda Irak\u2019taki Khor al Zubair Liman\u0131 yak\u0131n\u0131nda bir ham petrol tankeri ile per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Kuveyt a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131nda su alan ve petrol s\u0131z\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131na yol a\u00e7an bir ba\u015fka tanker de bulunuyor. Bo\u011faz, normalde k\u00fcresel g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n (pazara ula\u015fan petrol miktar\u0131) yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019sini ta\u015f\u0131r. Tanker trafi\u011fi ise neredeyse s\u0131f\u0131ra indi.\n\n\u00c7in, en b\u00fcy\u00fck rafinerisine (ham petrol\u00fc benzin, motorin gibi \u00fcr\u00fcnlere \u00e7eviren tesis) motorin ve benzin ihracat s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerini ask\u0131ya alma talimat\u0131 verdi. Katar, altyap\u0131ya y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan iki ana tesisinde LNG (s\u0131v\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f do\u011fal gaz; do\u011fal gaz\u0131n so\u011futulup s\u0131v\u0131 hale getirilmi\u015f bi\u00e7imi) \u00fcretimini durdurdu. Bu durum, k\u00fcresel LNG arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019sinin devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131 kalmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor.\n\nIrak, K\u00f6rfez\u2019den tanker \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in depolama alan\u0131 yetersizli\u011fi nedeniyle Rumaila petrol sahas\u0131n\u0131 kademeli kapatmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Teknik analize g\u00f6re (fiyat grafiklerinden destek\/diren\u00e7 seviyesi \u00e7\u0131karma y\u00f6ntemi) WTI 88,06 dolardayd\u0131. Destek (fiyat\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunabilece\u011fi seviye) 65,20 ve 63,20 dolar; diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fte zorlanabilece\u011fi seviye) 90,00 dolar civar\u0131nda g\u00f6sterildi.\n\nIn the days following the initial shock in early March 2025, we saw the smartest plays were in the options market, not just in outright futures. Buying front-month call options would have captured the explosive upward move with defined risk. Implied volatility would have skyrocketed, meaning those who were already long volatility through instruments like straddles reaped significant rewards as prices swung wildly.\n\n<h3>Pozisyonlanma ve Oynakl\u0131k Dersleri<\/h3>\nAncak bu t\u00fcr ani s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131n ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 geri d\u00f6nebilece\u011fi de g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Buna benzer \u015fekilde, 2022\u2019de Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Brent petrol k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine 139 dolar\u0131 g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f, bir ay i\u00e7inde 100 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na gerilemi\u015fti. Bu durum, 2025\u2019te fiyat\u0131n \u201cparabolik\u201d (\u00e7ok k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 dik y\u00fckseli\u015f) hale geldi\u011fi noktada, \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d (OTM; mevcut fiyata g\u00f6re k\u00e2ra ge\u00e7mesi i\u00e7in daha \u00e7ok hareket gerektiren) call spread satman\u0131n daha temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Call spread (al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131nda iki farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131yla olu\u015fturulan kombinasyon) stratejisi, hem fiyat\u0131n bir tavan yapmas\u0131ndan hem de panik azald\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesinden (volatility crush; opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 \u015fi\u015firen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n h\u0131zla gerilemesi) fayda sa\u011flayabilir.\n\nCBOE Ham Petrol Oynakl\u0131k Endeksi (OVX; opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan t\u00fcretilen \u201cbeklenen oynakl\u0131k\u201d g\u00f6stergesi) bu d\u00f6nemde sert y\u00fckselmi\u015f olabilir. Tarihsel olarak OVX, 2022\u2019deki Ukrayna i\u015fgalini izleyen haftalarda %150\u2019nin \u00fczerinde artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Mart 2025\u2019te bunun da \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 muhtemel. Bu ortam, sadece y\u00fckseli\u015fi de\u011fil, iki y\u00f6ndeki sert fiyat hareketlerini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcp \u201cuzun oynakl\u0131k\u201d (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131\u015f\u0131na pozisyon alma) ta\u015f\u0131yanlar i\u00e7in kazan\u00e7l\u0131 olabilir.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>\u00a0. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Petrolde alarm: WTI %11 s\u0131\u00e7ray\u0131p 87 dolar \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131, 4 g\u00fcnd\u00fcr y\u00fckseliyor. ABD-\u0130ran gerilimi, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019\u00fcn kapanmas\u0131 ve tanker sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 arz\u0131 vurdu; LNG kesintileri oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 patlatt\u0131. OVX t\u0131rman\u0131rken opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29804","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29804","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29804"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29804\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29804"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29804"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29804"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}