{"id":29796,"date":"2026-03-06T22:03:11","date_gmt":"2026-03-06T22:03:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/abd-istihdam-verilerinin-zayiflamasi-dolari-geriletirken-altin-yukseldi-orta-dogudaki-gerilim-guvenli-liman-talebini-artirdi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-06T22:03:11","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T22:03:11","slug":"abd-istihdam-verilerinin-zayiflamasi-dolari-geriletirken-altin-yukseldi-orta-dogudaki-gerilim-guvenli-liman-talebini-artirdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abd-istihdam-verilerinin-zayiflamasi-dolari-geriletirken-altin-yukseldi-orta-dogudaki-gerilim-guvenli-liman-talebini-artirdi\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD istihdam verilerinin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 dolar\u0131 geriletirken alt\u0131n y\u00fckseldi; Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilim g\u00fcvenli liman talebini art\u0131rd\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD), ABD\u2019de \u015eubat ay\u0131 tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verisinin (Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam: tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fc d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki toplam istihdam de\u011fi\u015fimi) beklentilerden zay\u0131f gelmesi ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya ba\u011fl\u0131 riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klardan g\u00fcvenli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) nedeniyle Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Kuzey Amerika seans\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi. Fiyat 5.140 dolar civar\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 1\u2019in \u00fczerinde art\u0131da seyretti.\n\nCuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fe ra\u011fmen alt\u0131n, g\u00fc\u00e7lenen ABD Dolar\u0131 ve artan ABD tahvil getirileri (Hazine tahvili faizi) nedeniyle haftay\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 2,50 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yordu. \u015eubat ay\u0131 ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisi, ekonomide 59 bin ki\u015filik art\u0131\u015f beklentisine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 92 binden fazla istihdam kayb\u0131na i\u015faret ederken, i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 4,4\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Bu seviye, Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) 2026 i\u00e7in \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc y\u00fczde 4,5\u2019in alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.\n\n<h3>Zay\u0131f Veri Sonras\u0131 Piyasa Fiyatlamas\u0131<\/h3>\nABD Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar (t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131tan g\u00f6sterge) Ocak\u2019ta ayl\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 0,2 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte, k\u0131\u015f ko\u015fullar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 aksakl\u0131klar\u0131n (hava ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n lojistik ve talebi bozmas\u0131) otomobil sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flatmas\u0131 etkili oldu. Piyasa beklentisi y\u00fczde 0,3 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi. Verinin ard\u0131ndan piyasalar y\u0131l sonuna kadar Fed\u2019den toplam 43 baz puan faiz indirimi (baz puan: y\u00fczde 0,01) fiyatlad\u0131; bir \u00f6nceki g\u00fcn bu beklenti 35 baz puand\u0131.\n\nDikkatler Fed\u2019in 17\u201318 Mart toplant\u0131s\u0131na ve SEP\u2019te (Ekonomik Projeksiyonlar \u00d6zeti: Fed\u2019in b\u00fcy\u00fcme, enflasyon, i\u015fsizlik ve faiz tahminlerini i\u00e7eren dok\u00fcman) yer alan dot-plot\u2019ta (nokta grafi\u011fi: Fed yetkililerinin gelece\u011fe d\u00f6n\u00fck faiz tahminlerini nokta olarak g\u00f6steren grafik) olas\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fikliklere \u00e7evrildi. Gelecek haftan\u0131n takviminde t\u00fcketici enflasyonu, konut verileri, GSYH (Gayrisafi Yurti\u00e7i Has\u0131la), Dayan\u0131kl\u0131 Mal Sipari\u015fleri (uzun \u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc \u00fcr\u00fcnlere talep), Haftal\u0131k \u0130\u015fsizlik Maa\u015f\u0131 Ba\u015fvurular\u0131 ve \u00c7ekirdek PCE (ki\u015fisel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonu; g\u0131da ve enerji hari\u00e7 enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) yer al\u0131yor.\n\nTeknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde alt\u0131n 5.100\u20135.150 dolar band\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Diren\u00e7 seviyeleri 5.194, 5.206, 5.249 ve 5.300 dolar olarak izleniyor. Destekler 5.100 dolar, 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA (Basit Hareketli Ortalama: belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n fiyat ortalamas\u0131) 5.091 dolar, 5.000 dolar, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki 4.855 dolar ve 4.841 dolar seviyesinde bulunuyor.\n\n<h3>Jeopolitik ve Merkez Bankalar\u0131ndan Alt\u0131na Destek<\/h3>\nDolar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olsa da alt\u0131n 5.450 dolar civar\u0131nda, ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki zay\u0131f veri sonras\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclen 5.140 dolar seviyesinin belirgin \u015fekilde \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu tablo, jeopolitik riskin ve merkez bankas\u0131 al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n (rezerv \u00e7e\u015fitlendirme ama\u00e7l\u0131 alt\u0131n al\u0131m\u0131) metale g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek vermeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. Bu nedenle alt\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman \u00f6zelli\u011fi (belirsizlikte talep g\u00f6ren varl\u0131k) \u015fimdilik dolar ile geleneksel ters y\u00f6nl\u00fc ili\u015fkisinin (dolar y\u00fckselince alt\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi e\u011filimi) \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7mi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.\n\n18 Mart\u2019taki Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131 ve kritik enflasyon verileri \u00f6ncesinde oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) artmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, enflasyon verisi beklentiden y\u00fcksek gelirse (daha s\u0131cak enflasyon: daha y\u00fcksek fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketten yararlanmak i\u00e7in 5.500 dolar \u00fczerinden kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonda i\u015flem fiyat\u0131) al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir. Bu, s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 zarar (tan\u0131ml\u0131 risk: \u00f6denen primle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131) ile olas\u0131 bir yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmaya (breakout: \u00f6nemli direncin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131) pozisyon alma y\u00f6ntemi sunar.\n\nDi\u011fer yandan Fed\u2019in \u015fahin (faizleri daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutma e\u011filimi) bir s\u00fcrpriz yapma riski alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131nda sert geri \u00e7ekilme yaratabilir. Mevcut uzun pozisyonlar\u0131 (fiyat y\u00fckseli\u015fine oynayan pozisyon) korumak i\u00e7in 5.300 dolar destek seviyesinin alt\u0131ndan sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) almak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m fiilen taban fiyat (price floor: fiyat\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmesi halinde koruma sa\u011flayan seviye) olu\u015fturarak ani bir ters harekete kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta i\u015flevi g\u00f6r\u00fcr.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u015eok NFP sonras\u0131 alt\u0131n g\u00fcvenli limanla 5.140$\u2019a t\u0131rmand\u0131! Ancak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar ve y\u00fckselen tahvil getirileri haftay\u0131 %2,5 ekside b\u0131rakabilir. G\u00f6zler 17-18 Mart Fed, enflasyonda.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29796","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29796","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29796"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29796\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29796"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29796"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29796"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}