{"id":29795,"date":"2026-03-06T22:02:23","date_gmt":"2026-03-06T22:02:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/artan-jeopolitik-ve-ekonomik-belirsizlik-ortaminda-isvicre-frangi-gucleniyor-usd-chf-07780-civarina-geriliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-03-06T22:02:23","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T22:02:23","slug":"artan-jeopolitik-ve-ekonomik-belirsizlik-ortaminda-isvicre-frangi-gucleniyor-usd-chf-07780-civarina-geriliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/artan-jeopolitik-ve-ekonomik-belirsizlik-ortaminda-isvicre-frangi-gucleniyor-usd-chf-07780-civarina-geriliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Artan jeopolitik ve ekonomik belirsizlik ortam\u0131nda \u0130svi\u00e7re Frang\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor; USD\/CHF 0,7780 civar\u0131na geriliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/CHF cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 0,7780 civar\u0131na gerileyerek g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %0,44 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Piyasalar ekonomik ve jeopolitik belirsizli\u011fe tepki verirken \u0130svi\u00e7re Frang\u0131\u2019na (CHF) talep artt\u0131.\n\nABD istihdam verileri zay\u0131flad\u0131. \u015eubat ay\u0131 Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (Nonfarm Payrolls: tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fc hari\u00e7 i\u015fe al\u0131m say\u0131s\u0131) 92 bin azald\u0131. Piyasa beklentisi 59 bin art\u0131\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi. \u00d6nceki ay verisi de 126 bine revize edildi.\n\n<h3>\u0130\u015f G\u00fcc\u00fcndeki Zay\u0131fl\u0131k, Faiz \u0130ndirimi Beklentilerini Art\u0131rd\u0131<\/h3>\n\u0130\u015fsizlik Oran\u0131 %4,3\u2019ten %4,4\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. \u0130\u015f G\u00fcc\u00fcne Kat\u0131l\u0131m Oran\u0131 (\u00e7al\u0131\u015fan veya i\u015f arayanlar\u0131n toplam n\u00fcfusa oran\u0131) %62\u2019ye geriledi.\n\n\u0130\u015fe al\u0131mlar zay\u0131flasa da \u00fccretler artt\u0131. Ortalama Saatlik Kazan\u00e7lar (\u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren veri) ayl\u0131k %0,4, y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,8 y\u00fckseldi.\n\nDi\u011fer ABD verileri de zay\u0131flad\u0131. Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar (hane halk\u0131 harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131tan g\u00f6sterge) ocak ay\u0131nda ayl\u0131k %0,2 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.\n\nJeopolitik tansiyon, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019la \u201ckay\u0131ts\u0131z \u015farts\u0131z teslimiyet d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda anla\u015fma olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d s\u00f6ylemesinin ard\u0131ndan artt\u0131. Dolar Endeksi (DXY: ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) 99,00 seviyesine yak\u0131n ve g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde yatay seyretti.\n\n<h3>SNB M\u00fcdahale Riski, Franktaki Kazan\u00e7lar\u0131 S\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir<\/h3>\n\u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131 (SNB) Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Antoine Martin, SNB\u2019nin d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131na m\u00fcdahaleye haz\u0131r oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. Ama\u00e7, \u0130svi\u00e7re Frang\u0131\u2019n\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131n\u0131 engellemek.\n\nABD\u2019de istihdamdaki sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f piyasalar\u0131 \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtt\u0131. Bu durum faiz beklentilerini do\u011frudan etkiledi. CME FedWatch Tool\u2019a g\u00f6re Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) nisan toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k (0,25 y\u00fczde puan) faiz indirimi yapma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %70\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu tablo, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (kriz d\u00f6nemlerinde talep g\u00f6ren varl\u0131k\/para) para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc zay\u0131flat\u0131yor.\n\n\u0130ran\u2019la artan gerilim \u201cg\u00fcvenli limana ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u0131\u201d g\u00fc\u00e7lendirerek \u0130svi\u00e7re Frang\u0131\u2019na destek veriyor. ABD dolar\u0131 di\u011fer para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 zaman zaman g\u00fcvenli liman al\u0131m\u0131 g\u00f6rse de bu belirsizlik ortam\u0131nda \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan para birimi Frank oluyor. Zay\u0131f ABD verileri ve jeopolitik risk birlikte USD\/CHF\u2019yi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekerek pariteyi 2025 diplerine yakla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.\n\nBununla birlikte, 0,7700 seviyesine yakla\u015f\u0131l\u0131rken temkinli olmak gerekiyor. SNB\u2019nin uyar\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6nemli; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc parite bu dipleri en son test etti\u011finde 2025\u2019in \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde SNB\u2019nin beklenmedik m\u00fcdahalesi g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu durum, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilecek bir \u201ctaban\u201d olu\u015fturabilir ve do\u011frudan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon almay\u0131 (short: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen i\u015flem) daha riskli hale getirebilir.\n\nABD verilerinin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 ile SNB m\u00fcdahale ihtimali aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7eki\u015fme, oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (volatilite: fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131) y\u00fckselmesine i\u015faret ediyor. USD\/CHF\u2019de 1 ay vadeli opsiyonlarda (belirli tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (piyasan\u0131n fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 beklenen dalgalanma) ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fc t\u00fcrb\u00fclans\u0131ndan bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu nedenle riski \u00f6nceden s\u0131n\u0131rlayan opsiyon stratejileri, \u00f6rne\u011fin USD\/CHF\u2019de \u201cput\u201d almak (fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon), do\u011frudan short pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131maya g\u00f6re daha temkinli bir se\u00e7enek olabilir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u015eok istihdam verisi ve \u0130ran gerilimi USD\/CHF\u2019yi 0,7780\u2019e \u00e7ekti: NFP -92 bin, Fed indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %70+. G\u00fcvenli liman CHF g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor; ancak SNB m\u00fcdahale riski d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29795","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29795","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29795"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29795\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29795"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29795"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29795"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}