{"id":33848,"date":"2025-12-09T18:28:52","date_gmt":"2025-12-09T18:28:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/th\/uncategorized\/33848\/"},"modified":"2025-12-09T18:28:52","modified_gmt":"2025-12-09T18:28:52","slug":"%e0%b8%94%e0%b8%b1%e0%b8%8a%e0%b8%99%e0%b8%b5-redbook-%e0%b8%9b%e0%b8%a3%e0%b8%b0%e0%b8%88%e0%b8%b3%e0%b8%9b%e0%b8%b5%e0%b9%83%e0%b8%99%e0%b8%aa%e0%b8%ab%e0%b8%a3%e0%b8%b1%e0%b8%90%e0%b8%af-%e0%b8%a5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/th-asia\/live-updates\/33848\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0e14\u0e31\u0e0a\u0e19\u0e35 Redbook \u0e1b\u0e23\u0e30\u0e08\u0e33\u0e1b\u0e35\u0e43\u0e19\u0e2a\u0e2b\u0e23\u0e31\u0e10\u0e2f \u0e25\u0e14\u0e25\u0e07\u0e08\u0e32\u0e01 7.6% \u0e40\u0e1b\u0e47\u0e19 5.7%"},"content":{"rendered":"The United States Redbook Index, which measures the year-on-year change in general merchandise sales, fell from 7.6% to 5.7% as of December 5. This decrease suggests a slowing growth rate in retail sales performance.\n\nCurrency markets saw movements as the US Dollar strengthened based on robust labour data, impacting pairs like GBP\/USD and EUR\/USD. The anticipation of a Federal Reserve decision on interest rates has influenced various currencies and commodities, keeping gold within a specific range and affecting market expectations.\n\n<h3>Crypto Market Trading<\/h3>\n\nIn the crypto market, Bitcoin traded above $90,000, while altcoins like Ethereum and Ripple maintained levels above key supports despite the prevailing risk-off sentiment. Global economic risks have increased, indicating potential challenges for recovery amidst a negative economic outlook.\n\nInvestment guidance, broker comparisons, and trading platform recommendations are highlighted in the context of 2025, offering insights into trading currencies, CFDs, and commodities. Readers are advised to conduct their research before making financial decisions due to inherent market risks and uncertainties.\n\nThis recent drop in the Redbook Index is a clear warning sign that consumer spending is slowing down. This is the sharpest decline in retail sales momentum in several months, suggesting growing weakness in the economy that hasn&#8217;t yet affected the market fully.\n\nThis consumer data creates a major conflict with other reports, creating uncertainty. The November jobs report showed a healthy gain of over 215,000 jobs and an unemployment rate holding firm at 3.8%. This strength in the labor market has kept the US Dollar strong against currencies like the Euro and Pound.\n\n<h3>Market Volatility and Federal Reserve Decision<\/h3>\n\nThis divergence means we should expect a significant spike in volatility around the upcoming Federal Reserve decision. With the market anticipating a rate cut from the current 4.75% level, any hesitation from the Fed due to strong jobs data could cause a dramatic market reaction. This makes buying straddles or strangles on major indices like the S&#038;P 500 a compelling strategy to play a large move in either direction.\n\nGiven the direct hit to retail sentiment, we should look at bearish options on the consumer discretionary sector. Buying put options on retail-focused ETFs could be a way to directly profit from the trend indicated by the Redbook data. We saw a similar dynamic where early signs of a consumer slowdown preceded a broader market correction.\n\nThe US Dollar is the critical factor, positioned for a sharp move. A dovish Fed that prioritizes the slowing consumer could easily push the EUR\/USD back above 1.1700. Traders can position for this by using call options on the Euro or bearish options on the dollar index itself.\n\nGold&#8217;s position near $4,200 per ounce makes it highly sensitive to the Fed&#8217;s next move. A rate cut would likely send it to new highs, while a pause could trigger a swift sell-off. Using options to define risk, such as a bull call spread or buying protective puts, is a sensible way to trade the precious metal in this environment.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\u0e40\u0e23\u0e34\u0e48\u0e21\u0e0b\u0e37\u0e49\u0e2d\u0e02\u0e32\u0e22\u0e17\u0e31\u0e19\u0e17\u0e35 &#8211; \u0e04\u0e25\u0e34\u0e01<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/th\/trade-now\/\">\u0e17\u0e35\u0e48\u0e19\u0e35\u0e48<\/a> \u0e40\u0e1e\u0e37\u0e48\u0e2d\u0e2a\u0e23\u0e49\u0e32\u0e07\u0e1a\u0e31\u0e0d\u0e0a\u0e35\u0e08\u0e23\u0e34\u0e07\u0e02\u0e2d\u0e07 VT Markets <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0e41\u0e19\u0e27\u0e42\u0e19\u0e49\u0e21\u0e01\u0e32\u0e23\u0e43\u0e0a\u0e49\u0e08\u0e48\u0e32\u0e22\u0e1c\u0e39\u0e49\u0e1a\u0e23\u0e34\u0e42\u0e20\u0e04\u0e0a\u0e30\u0e25\u0e2d\u0e15\u0e31\u0e27\u0e25\u0e07\u0e08\u0e32\u0e01\u0e02\u0e49\u0e2d\u0e21\u0e39\u0e25 Redbook Index \u0e17\u0e33\u0e43\u0e2b\u0e49\u0e15\u0e25\u0e32\u0e14\u0e0b\u0e1a\u0e40\u0e0b\u0e32 \u0e02\u0e13\u0e30\u0e17\u0e35\u0e48\u0e2d\u0e31\u0e15\u0e23\u0e32\u0e14\u0e2d\u0e01\u0e40\u0e1a\u0e35\u0e49\u0e22\u0e41\u0e25\u0e30\u0e01\u0e32\u0e23\u0e27\u0e34\u0e40\u0e04\u0e23\u0e32\u0e30\u0e2b\u0e4c\u0e15\u0e25\u0e32\u0e14\u0e40\u0e07\u0e34\u0e19\u0e17\u0e38\u0e19\u0e2a\u0e23\u0e49\u0e32\u0e07\u0e04\u0e27\u0e32\u0e21\u0e1c\u0e31\u0e19\u0e1c\u0e27\u0e19\u0e17\u0e35\u0e48\u0e04\u0e27\u0e23\u0e15\u0e34\u0e14\u0e15\u0e32\u0e21\u0e43\u0e19\u0e1b\u0e35 2025.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33848","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/th-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33848","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/th-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/th-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/th-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/th-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33848"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/th-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33848\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/th-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33848"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/th-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33848"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/th-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33848"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}