Looking Ahead
A slight pullback in the 4th wave to around 6785-6825 is expected before rising further to 6930-7010. Pullbacks in upward trends are usually small, which may lead to higher fifth wave targets and getting closer to the 7120 goal. From there, a longer move down to around 5800+/-400 becomes more likely. Short-term warning levels are at 6827, 6800, 6738, 6660, and 6597, with each break reducing the uptrend’s chance by 20%. Dr. Arnout Ter Schure, with extensive experience in energy and environment sectors, provides these insights. Given the market’s strength since late November, we see the current rise to 6895 as a nearly complete wave. A minor pullback to the 6785-6825 zone is expected, which should be viewed as a buying opportunity. The recent strong jobs report, showing unemployment steady at a low 3.8%, supports this short-term positive outlook. For derivative traders, this expected dip offers an entry point for short-term call options or bull call spreads. The goal is to capture the next wave up towards the 6930-7010 area. We will use a break below 6827 as an initial signal to begin reducing bullish exposure.Long Standing Target
This next move is likely part of the final push toward our target of 7120. As the index approaches this level, the risk of a significant peak forming increases. We expect this to be the top of the rally that began back in April 2025. Therefore, as we near the 7120 target, the strategy should pivot toward accumulating longer-dated put options, perhaps targeting the March or June 2026 expiries. This prepares for the potential prolonged correction down toward the 5800 zone. Recent inflation data, which has ticked up to 3.5% annually, adds credibility to the idea that a market-cooling event is approaching. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.
เริ่มซื้อขายทันที – คลิกที่นี่ เพื่อสร้างบัญชีจริงของ VT Markets
