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ดัชนี PMI การผลิตของญี่ปุ่นต่ำกว่าคาดการณ์ อยู่ที่ 48.8 แทนที่จะเป็น 50.2

by VT Markets
/
Jul 24, 2025
The Japan Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI was expected to reach 50.2 in July but came in at 48.8, reflecting a contraction in the manufacturing sector. In foreign exchange markets, the EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.1775, responding to optimism over a potential EU-US trade agreement. Meanwhile, GBP/USD remains near two-week highs at 1.3580 amid positive sentiment and ahead of UK PMI data.

Gold And Crypto Market Developments

The gold price is under pressure below $3,400 due to trade optimism following reports of a potential US-EU tariff agreement. In the crypto market, a sharp sell-off led to the liquidation of over $737 million in leveraged positions, with 85.3% of these being long positions. Given the unexpected contraction in the manufacturing sector, we see potential weakness for the Japanese Yen. We are looking at strategies like buying USD/JPY call options to profit from a potential currency decline. The Bank of Japan’s current interest rate is just 0.1%, making the currency very sensitive to economic surprises. The optimism surrounding a potential EU-US trade deal supports a stronger Euro. We believe traders can ride this momentum by purchasing EUR/USD call spreads, which can manage costs while capturing further upside near the 1.1775 level. A similar approach can be taken for the pound, which is reacting positively ahead of its own economic data releases. With the gold price retreating on trade deal hopes, we see an opportunity to position for further declines if this risk-on sentiment holds. Buying put options on gold below the $3,400 level offers a defined-risk way to speculate on this trend. The massive liquidation of leveraged long positions in the crypto market suggests that the recent sell-off may be overextended. With over $630 million in long positions flushed out, we view this as a potential entry point for cash-secured puts or conservative call options. The policy unpredictability noted under his administration demands a focus on volatility management. We recommend using derivatives to hedge, such as buying VIX call options, which typically increase in value when market fear spikes. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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