Volatility

4 July 2026
Oil slides as US–Iran talks fuel supply hopes; Commerzbank eyes EIA forecasts and OPEC+ quotas

Oil prices slide on US–Iran optimism; Commerzbank cites sentiment-driven glut fears, watching EIA forecasts and OPEC+.

4 July 2026
USD/JPY Near 1986 Highs as Stretched Positioning Heightens Yen Intervention Risks

USD/JPY near 1986 highs raises intervention risk; crowded dollar longs/yen shorts may unwind, driving volatility and reversal.

4 July 2026
USD/JPY rebounds as Japan intervention fears return amid softer US jobs data and carry trade support

USD/JPY rebounded near 161.25 as intervention fears persisted; softer US payrolls steadied dollar, carry trades supported upside.

4 July 2026
ING warns of intervention risk in USD/JPY as holiday-thinned liquidity fuels downside volatility

ING warns USD/JPY faces elevated intervention risk as holiday-thinned liquidity and falling risk reversals amplify volatility.

4 July 2026
Gold rebounds towards $4,200 as softer US jobs data tempers Fed rate hike expectations

Gold rebounds near $4,200, marking first weekly gain in five weeks as rate-hike expectations soften.

4 July 2026
Brazil Industrial Output Miss Misses Forecast, Raising Real Pressure and Rate Cut Expectations

Brazil’s May industrial output rose 0.2%, missing forecasts, signalling cooling growth, weaker BRL, rate-cut odds.

3 July 2026
Wells Fargo Sees Canada Jobs Market Stabilising as Bank of Canada Holds, Keeping USD/CAD Range-Bound

Canada’s labour market is soft but stabilising; BoC likely on hold, keeping USD/CAD range-bound, volatility low.

3 July 2026
Softer US jobs data drags dollar lower, lifts yen as Fed hike bets ease

Softer US jobs data reduced Fed hike bets, pushing dollar down, lifting yen amid intervention speculation.

3 July 2026
Yen rebounds as soft US payrolls and intervention talk curb USD/JPY upside amid thin liquidity

Yen rebounds from 40-year lows as weak US payrolls and suspected Japan intervention spark USD/JPY volatility.

3 July 2026
BoE survey shows firms’ price and wage expectations edging higher, complicating near-term rate cuts

BoE survey shows firms’ price and wage expectations rising, suggesting persistent inflation and fewer UK rate cuts.

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