Volatility

13 June 2026
Commerzbank warns rupee vulnerable to oil and El Niño shocks; RBI buffers, inflow measures support

Indian rupee vulnerable to oil and El Niño shocks; RBI reserves and inflow measures offer support.

13 June 2026
Markets steady as Trump Iran peace talk lifts mood; focus shifts to $75bn SpaceX IPO debut

Markets rally on Iran peace-deal hopes as massive SpaceX IPO nears, drawing retail flows and rotation fears.

13 June 2026
Mexico Peso Steady as Banxico Turns Hawkish and USMCA Review Uncertainty Lifts Volatility

Mexico remains steady as inflation cools; Banxico turns hawkish, but USMCA review risks peso volatility.

12 June 2026
MUFG flags higher-for-longer rates as Fed guidance, Asia central banks and geopolitics buoy dollar

MUFG expects stubborn US inflation and strong jobs to keep rates higher, boosting dollar amid central bank meetings.

12 June 2026
Sterling tests 200-day average as US-Iran peace hopes temper dollar despite softer UK data

Sterling edges higher as US-Iran peace hopes weaken dollar; GBP/USD tests 200-day SMA despite soft UK data.

12 June 2026
USD/BRL eyes 200-day average at 5.25 as investors weigh breakout amid Brazil outflows

USD/BRL nears crucial 5.25 barrier; options target breakout to 5.32/5.34, hedging downside amid volatility spike.

12 June 2026
Oil slips as US-Iran MoU delays Hormuz, sets 60-day nuclear talks window

IRNA outlines US-Iran MoU terms: Hormuz unchanged, nuclear talks in 60 days; oil dips, volatility expected.

12 June 2026
ECB restarts rate hikes at 2.25% as Lagarde turns hawkish; Deutsche Bank eyes September move

ECB hikes deposit rate to 2.25% with hawkish tone; inflation forecasts rise, markets price further September tightening.

12 June 2026
BNY’s Savage flags falling institutional cash, stretched valuations and IPO issuance as policy expectations steer US equities

BNY’s Savage: iFlow shows institutional cash falling amid high valuations, issuance; policy expectations, not inflation, drive volatility.

12 June 2026
EUR/USD Range Holds as Dollar Fails to Capitalise on US Yield Advantage, Options Favoured

EUR/USD holds 1.15–1.16 as dollar underperforms fundamentals; buy September calls targeting 1.10 over 1.07.

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