Inflation

10 July 2026
IMF Cuts 2026 Global Growth View as Inflation Re-accelerates, Raising Stagflation Risks for Equities

IMF cuts 2026 growth to 3.0% as inflation rises, raising stagflation risks, prompting defensive equity positioning.

10 July 2026
DBS Flags Tactical Duration Opportunity in Indian Gilts as Geopolitics Lifts Asia Yields

Geopolitical jitters lifted Asian yields; DBS sees India’s sell-off as macro overreaction, favoring 10-year duration entry.

10 July 2026
Koruna weakens as CNB tracks ECB, fuelling calls for domestic stimulus and policy divergence

Koruna weakens despite CNB tracking ECB; falling inflation may enable divergence, stimulus hopes fueling bullish EUR/CZK trades.

9 July 2026
ECB accounts flag upside inflation risks, keeping rate expectations elevated amid energy price uncertainty

ECB minutes highlight upside inflation risks, energy uncertainty, and potentially higher Eurozone rates, boosting volatility and hawkish surprises.

9 July 2026
Fed minutes underscore hawkish hold as committee split keeps markets braced for data-driven volatility

Fed minutes show hawkish hold, split on hikes; inflation stubborn, jobs steady; expect volatility, positioning with options straddles.

9 July 2026
Mexico inflation undershoots forecasts, bolstering Banxico rate-cut bets and weighing on peso carry trades

Mexico inflation cooled to 3.37% in June, boosting Banxico cut bets, favoring swaps, pressuring peso.

9 July 2026
Mexico June core inflation undershoots, fuelling Banxico rate-cut bets and weighing on the peso

June core inflation undershot forecasts, boosting Banxico rate-cut bets and weakening peso prospects amid higher volatility.

9 July 2026
Middle East tensions rattle CEE markets as NBP stays neutral and forint leads sell-off

Middle East tensions jolted CEE markets; NBP stayed neutral, while Hungary’s forint plunged on dovish cuts.

9 July 2026
Energy Shock Spurs Hawkish ECB Repricing as Bund and OAT Yields Jump, Euro Edges Higher

Energy shock drives hawkish ECB repricing; gas surge lifts inflation fears, yields jump, euro rises, equities risk.

9 July 2026
Oil and Gulf tensions lift US rate expectations, keeping dollar firm and unwinding EM carry trades

Oil spikes and Gulf tensions boost US rates and bolster hawkish Fed, firming dollar and unwinding carry trades.

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