Economy

22

Jul 2026
Sterling and gilts stabilise as Healey named Chancellor, but fiscal uncertainty keeps pressure on GBP

UK gilt and sterling sell-off steadies, but fiscal uncertainty and labor slack may lower BoE hike expectations.

22

Jul 2026
US Redbook growth cools to 7.8%, fuelling Treasury rally bets and dollar softness trades

US Redbook Index slowed to 7.8% YoY, signaling cooling retail demand, lower yields, weaker dollar, strategy shifts.

21

Jul 2026
UK unemployment steady at 4.9% as payrolls rise; sterling edges higher, wage growth mixed

UK unemployment steady at 4.9%, jobs jump 147K; wages mixed, supporting stronger GBP and bullish options.

21

Jul 2026
UK employment jump to May bolsters sterling outlook and curbs Bank of England rate-cut bets

UK employment surged by 147,000 to May, boosting sterling and gilt yields, reducing near-term BoE cut odds.

21

Jul 2026
UK Regular Pay Growth Holds at 3.4% in Three Months to May, Matching Forecasts

UK regular pay, excluding bonuses, rose 3.4% to May, matching forecasts and signalling steady wage growth trends.

20

Jul 2026
Eurozone Construction Output Growth Slows in May, Bolstering Expectations of a Dovish ECB

Eurozone May construction output rose 0.4%, easing from 0.6%, signalling slowing momentum and dovish-ECB trading setups.

20

Jul 2026
Sterling Firms on Burnham Leadership Bets, but Analysts See Limited Upside as EUR/GBP Support Holds

Sterling firms on Burnham succession hopes, but upside capped; EUR/GBP support 0.8470, floor 0.8400.

20

Jul 2026
Germany PPI slips to 1.8% as easing factory-gate inflation bolsters ECB rate-cut bets

Germany’s producer price inflation slowed to 1.8% in June, easing pressures and boosting ECB rate-cut expectations.

20

Jul 2026
PBoC Holds Key Policy Rate at 3% as China Maintains Steady Monetary Stance

PBOC held its key policy rate at 3%, matching expectations, with no new guidance or measures.

20

Jul 2026
New Zealand Trade Surplus Narrows Sharply in June, Raising Pressure on Kiwi and Rate Outlook

New Zealand’s trade surplus collapsed to NZ$23m in June, sparking NZD volatility and dovish RBNZ expectations.

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