Economy

23

Oct 2026
German PMI Growth Cools in October as Services Weaken, EUR/USD Slips After Data

Germany’s October PMI signaled slower private-sector growth: services weakened, manufacturing improved, and EUR/USD slipped.

23

Oct 2026
UK GfK consumer confidence plunges in October, denting sterling and stoking rate-cut bets

UK GfK consumer confidence plunged to -24 in October, missing -15 forecast, pressuring sterling and rates.

22

Oct 2026
CEE data mixed as Slovenia PPI rises; OECD flags pension strain amid higher yields and tighter budgets

Slovenia producer prices rose 3.9%; Croatia wages grew and jobless fell; OECD warns CEE pension gaps, markets.

22

Oct 2026
Taiwan export orders hit record as AI-led demand persists, central bank keeps rates on hold

Taiwan export orders hit record $114.2bn in September, driven by AI-tech demand; central bank lifts GDP outlook.

22

Oct 2026
Deutsche Bank flags Autumn Budget tax rises and spending curbs to raise £4.3bn by 2031/32

Deutsche Bank forecasts 25–30 Autumn Budget measures, with delayed tax rises and modest spending consolidation through 2031/32.

21

Oct 2026
IMF upgrades US outlook, widening growth gap with Canada and keeping USD/CAD underpinned

IMF boosts US growth, widening Canada gap; USD/CAD anchored by yields, likely rangebound near 1.30–1.45.

21

Oct 2026
Markets Price Low Odds of Fed October Rate Rise as December Seen as Final Hike

Futures markets price low odds of an October Fed hike; tightening expectations cool, with December seen last.

21

Oct 2026
UK jobs market cools as pay edges up, bolstering sterling and BoE hike expectations

UK unemployment hits 13-month low, pay edges up; BoE rate hike expectations support sterling ahead of CPI.

20

Oct 2026
Sterling rises above 1.3350 as UK unemployment rate falls to 4.7%

Pound rose as UK unemployment unexpectedly fell to 4.7%, boosting GBP/USD above 1.3350, despite broader cautions.

20

Oct 2026
Sterling gains as UK August jobs data lifts Bank rate rise odds and swap curve pricing

Sterling gained as UK jobs and wages strengthened, boosting expectations for a November BoE rate rise.

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