{"id":69778,"date":"2026-10-20T02:52:16","date_gmt":"2026-10-20T02:52:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/uncategorized\/eurusd-holds-steady-amid-political-unrest-across-europe\/"},"modified":"2026-10-20T02:52:16","modified_gmt":"2026-10-20T02:52:16","slug":"eurusd-holds-steady-amid-political-unrest-across-europe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/analysis\/eurusd-holds-steady-amid-political-unrest-across-europe\/","title":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD ligger stabilt trots politisk oro i Europa"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad6d3bd722b1.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Viktiga punkter<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>EURUSD handlas n\u00e4ra 1,12181, upp 0,06%, n\u00e4r USA-dollarn har sv\u00e5rt att hitta en tydlig riktning under tisdagens Asienhandel.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Politisk oro i Frankrike och Italien v\u00e4cker fr\u00e5gor om stabiliteten i Europa och tynger regionala aktier samt statsobligationer (statliga r\u00e4ntepapper).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>R\u00e4nteskillnaden (spread) mellan franska och tyska 10-\u00e5riga statsobligationer \u00f6kade med 9,9 punkter (punkter = en hundradels procentenhet) till 147,3 punkter p\u00e5 m\u00e5ndagen.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dollarindexet (DXY, ett m\u00e5tt p\u00e5 dollarns v\u00e4rde mot flera stora valutor) n\u00e5dde 102 p\u00e5 m\u00e5ndagen, medan r\u00e4ntan p\u00e5 amerikanska 10-\u00e5riga statsobligationer l\u00e5g kvar p\u00e5 5,131%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Marknadsr\u00f6relse<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">EURUSD handlades n\u00e4ra <strong>1,12181<\/strong> under tisdagens Asienhandel och steg svagt med <strong>0,06%.<\/strong> En f\u00f6rsiktig f\u00f6rb\u00e4ttring i riskviljan (viljan att k\u00f6pa mer riskfyllda tillg\u00e5ngar) gav st\u00f6d \u00e5t valutor som brukar gynnas n\u00e4r b\u00f6rshum\u00f6ret \u00e4r positivt, men politisk os\u00e4kerhet i Europa bromsade eurons uppg\u00e5ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Valutaparet r\u00f6rde sig inom ett smalt intervall under dagen, med en h\u00f6gsta notering p\u00e5 <strong>1,12203<\/strong> och en l\u00e4gsta p\u00e5 <strong>1,12089.<\/strong> Kursen h\u00f6ll sig kring <strong>1,12180<\/strong>, vilket tyder p\u00e5 att varken k\u00f6pare eller s\u00e4ljare har tagit ett tydligt grepp.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dollarindexet handlades som h\u00f6gst vid <strong>102<\/strong> p\u00e5 m\u00e5ndagen, vilket visar att efterfr\u00e5gan p\u00e5 dollarn h\u00f6ll i sig trots en sv\u00e5r global omv\u00e4rld. Samtidigt l\u00e5g r\u00e4ntan p\u00e5 amerikanska 10-\u00e5riga statsobligationer kvar p\u00e5 <strong>5,131%<\/strong>, vilket g\u00f6r att EURUSD i st\u00e4llet p\u00e5verkas mer av politiskt sentiment (marknadens st\u00e4mningsl\u00e4ge) i Europa \u00e4n av amerikanska r\u00e4ntor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">D\u00e4rf\u00f6r f\u00f6ljer marknaden detta<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Den politiska utvecklingen i Frankrike har blivit en os\u00e4kerhetsfaktor f\u00f6r euron. Franska myndigheter inf\u00f6rde uteg\u00e5ngsf\u00f6rbud i flera st\u00e4der p\u00e5 m\u00e5ndagen efter landsomfattande protester mot regeringen som st\u00f6rde ordningen, vilket \u00f6kar trycket under de sista m\u00e5naderna av president Emmanuel Macrons mandatperiod.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oroligheterna har v\u00e4ckt oro f\u00f6r Frankrikes offentliga finanser (statens inkomster och utgifter), s\u00e4rskilt n\u00e4r parlamentet f\u00f6rbereder sin f\u00f6rsta formella omr\u00f6stning om int\u00e4ktsdelen i det f\u00f6reslagna <strong>budgetf\u00f6rslaget f\u00f6r 2027<\/strong>. Fler politiska l\u00e5sningar kan f\u00f6rsv\u00e5ra budgetf\u00f6rhandlingarna och p\u00e5verka franska statens uppl\u00e5ning (statsskuld).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Obligationsmarknaden har redan reagerat. R\u00e4nteskillnaden mellan franska och tyska 10-\u00e5riga statsobligationer \u00f6kade till <strong>142,3 punkter<\/strong> p\u00e5 m\u00e5ndagen. En st\u00f6rre r\u00e4nteskillnad betyder att investerare kr\u00e4ver h\u00f6gre r\u00e4nta f\u00f6r att \u00e4ga franska statspapper j\u00e4mf\u00f6rt med tyska.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Investors Abandoning French Government Bonds for German Bunds <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/5icGXC7osx\">https:\/\/t.co\/5icGXC7osx<\/a><\/p>&mdash; WSJ Markets (@WSJmarkets) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/WSJmarkets\/status\/2108361012051136600?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 9, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Politisk oro har \u00e4ven spridit sig till Italien, d\u00e4r regeringen meddelade planer p\u00e5 att s\u00e4tta in 500 soldater efter tv\u00e5 dagar av oroligheter. \u00c4ven om euron har varit relativt stabil kan instabilitet i stora europeiska ekonomier \u00f6ka trycket p\u00e5 valutan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Violent protests spread from France to Italy and Belgium <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/evvm5uqg7i\">https:\/\/t.co\/evvm5uqg7i<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Financial Times (@FT) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/FT\/status\/2112184808025583737?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Viktiga niv\u00e5er f\u00f6r handeln<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/EURUSD\/?exchange=OANDA\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">EURUSD chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"OANDA:EURUSD\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Niv\u00e5<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Kurs<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Teknisk betydelse<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Motst\u00e5nd 2<\/td><td>1,12203<\/td><td>Dagens h\u00f6gsta och niv\u00e5 f\u00f6r utbrott (breakout, n\u00e4r kursen bryter igenom ett viktigt motst\u00e5nd)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Motst\u00e5nd 1<\/td><td>1,122<\/td><td>N\u00e4rmaste psykologiska motst\u00e5nd (rund niv\u00e5 som ofta p\u00e5verkar handeln)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Pivot<\/td><td>1,1218<\/td><td>Nuvarande handelszon<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>St\u00f6d 1<\/td><td>1,1216<\/td><td>Kort sikt: niv\u00e5 d\u00e4r kursen ofta reagerar<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>St\u00f6d 2<\/td><td>1,1214<\/td><td>Nyligt st\u00f6d under dagen<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>St\u00f6d 3<\/td><td>1,12089<\/td><td>Dagens l\u00e4gsta och referens ned\u00e5t<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">EURUSD visar en kortsiktig \u00e5terh\u00e4mtning f\u00f6ljt av en period av sidledes handel (konsolidering) <strong>under 1,12200<\/strong>. Det nio perioders glidande medelv\u00e4rdet (MA9, ett genomsnitt av de senaste nio kursnoteringarna som ofta anv\u00e4nds f\u00f6r att se trend) har v\u00e4nt upp efter uppstudsen fr\u00e5n 1,12140, men den senaste prisutvecklingen tyder p\u00e5 att farten avtar n\u00e4ra motst\u00e5nd. Paret hade sv\u00e5rt att h\u00e5lla sig <strong>\u00f6ver 1,12200<\/strong>, vilket g\u00f6r niv\u00e5n till n\u00e4rmaste motst\u00e5nd att bevaka.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">P\u00e5 nedsidan \u00e4r <strong>1,12160<\/strong> f\u00f6rsta st\u00f6dzonen. Ett fall under niv\u00e5n kan \u00f6ppna f\u00f6r <strong>1,12140<\/strong>, d\u00e4r k\u00f6pare tidigare kom in. En djupare nedg\u00e5ng mot <strong>1,12089<\/strong> skulle signalera att \u00e5terh\u00e4mtningen tappar kraft.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Uppl\u00e4gg f\u00f6r upp- och nedg\u00e5ng<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad6d3bec05d8.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Scenario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Utl\u00f6sande faktor<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">M\u00f6jligt m\u00e5l<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Uppg\u00e5ng \u2013 utbrott<\/td><td>H\u00e5ller sig \u00f6ver 1,12203<\/td><td>1,12220\u20131,12240<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Uppg\u00e5ng \u2013 \u00e5terh\u00e4mtning<\/td><td>H\u00e5ller sig \u00f6ver 1,12160<\/td><td>1,12180\u20131,12200<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Nedg\u00e5ng \u2013 avvisning<\/td><td>Misslyckas att bryta 1,12200<\/td><td>1,1216<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Nedg\u00e5ng \u2013 genombrott ned<\/td><td>Bryter under 1,12140<\/td><td>1,12089<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ett positivt scenario kr\u00e4ver att EURUSD bygger ett st\u00f6d <strong>\u00f6ver 1,12160<\/strong> innan 1,12200\u20131,12203 (motst\u00e5ndszon) utmanas. B\u00e4ttre riskaptit och mindre politisk oro i Europa kan st\u00f6dja en s\u00e5dan r\u00f6relse. Ett bekr\u00e4ftat utbrott kan f\u00f6ra paret vidare mot 1,12220\u20131,12240.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ett negativt scenario kan ta form om EURUSD forts\u00e4tter m\u00f6ta s\u00e4ljtryck <strong>kring 1,12200<\/strong>. Ett fall under 1,12160 skulle f\u00f6rsvaga den kortsiktiga \u00e5terh\u00e4mtningen, medan en nedg\u00e5ng genom 1,12140 kan blotta dagens l\u00e4gsta vid 1,12089. En \u00e4nnu st\u00f6rre r\u00e4nteskillnad mellan franska och tyska statsobligationer kan f\u00f6rst\u00e4rka trycket ned\u00e5t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Ansvarsfriskrivning<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Prisniv\u00e5erna och marknadsscenarierna ovan \u00e4r skribentens bed\u00f6mning vid skrivtillf\u00e4llet. Det \u00e4r inte finansiell r\u00e5dgivning eller en officiell rekommendation fr\u00e5n VT Markets. G\u00f6r egen analys och hantera risk noggrant.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Prognos f\u00f6r EURUSD: vad h\u00e4nder nu?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">EURUSD kan forts\u00e4tta pendla inom ett intervall p\u00e5 kort sikt n\u00e4r marknaden v\u00e4ger f\u00f6rb\u00e4ttrad global riskvilja mot v\u00e4xande politisk os\u00e4kerhet i Europa. Stabiliteten antyder att investerare \u00e4nnu inte ser Frankrikes politiska oro som en bred finansiell kris i euroomr\u00e5det. Men fortsatt press p\u00e5 franska statsobligationer kan f\u00f6rsvaga f\u00f6rtroendet f\u00f6r euron.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">N\u00e4sta tydliga drivkraft blir utvecklingen kring Frankrikes budget f\u00f6r 2027 och hur obligationsmarknaden i Europa reagerar. Framsteg mot en fungerande budgetuppg\u00f6relse kan minska oron f\u00f6r statlig kreditrisk (risken att staten f\u00e5r sv\u00e5rare att finansiera sig) och st\u00f6dja EURUSD. Om oron drar ut p\u00e5 tiden eller r\u00e4nteskillnaderna \u00f6kar kan paret pressas ned.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">F\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar p\u00e5 amerikansk penningpolitik (hur centralbanken styr r\u00e4ntor och likviditet) p\u00e5verkar ocks\u00e5. H\u00f6ga amerikanska r\u00e4ntor och f\u00f6rnyad efterfr\u00e5gan p\u00e5 dollarn kan begr\u00e4nsa eurons \u00e5terh\u00e4mtning, medan l\u00e4gre USA-r\u00e4ntor kan ge EURUSD utrymme att stiga.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Handla EURUSD med VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">EURUSD \u00e4r ett av v\u00e4rldens mest handlade valutapar och ger exponering mot f\u00f6r\u00e4ndrade f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar kring Europeiska centralbanken (ECB), Federal Reserve (Fed, USA:s centralbank), inflation, ekonomisk tillv\u00e4xt och riskaptit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Med <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">VT Markets<\/a> kan du f\u00f6lja EURUSD, analysera tekniska trender (prisbaserade m\u00f6nster och indikatorer) och hantera positioner via plattformar som MetaTrader 4, MetaTrader 5 och VT Markets-appen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>Vanliga fr\u00e5gor<\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Varf\u00f6r handlas EURUSD n\u00e4ra 1,12181?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">EURUSD handlas n\u00e4ra 1,12181 eftersom en f\u00f6rsiktig f\u00f6rb\u00e4ttring i riskaptiten globalt st\u00f6djer euron, samtidigt som politisk oro i Frankrike och Italien begr\u00e4nsar uppg\u00e5ngen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Hur kan den politiska oron i Frankrike p\u00e5verka EURUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Politisk instabilitet kan minska f\u00f6rtroendet f\u00f6r europeiska tillg\u00e5ngar och \u00f6ka efterfr\u00e5gan p\u00e5 s\u00e4krare alternativ. Om r\u00e4ntan p\u00e5 franska statsobligationer forts\u00e4tter stiga mer \u00e4n den tyska r\u00e4ntan kan euron m\u00f6ta \u00f6kat s\u00e4ljtryck.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Vilka \u00e4r de viktigaste motst\u00e5ndsniv\u00e5erna f\u00f6r EURUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">N\u00e4rmaste motst\u00e5nd ligger vid 1,12200, f\u00f6ljt av dagens h\u00f6gsta vid 1,12203. Ett varaktigt brott upp genom dessa niv\u00e5er kan st\u00f6dja en \u00e5terh\u00e4mtning mot 1,12220\u20131,12240.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Vilka \u00e4r de viktigaste st\u00f6dniv\u00e5erna f\u00f6r EURUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">N\u00e4rmaste st\u00f6d ligger vid 1,12160, f\u00f6ljt av 1,12140. Om s\u00e4ljtrycket \u00f6kar kan EURUSD testa dagens l\u00e4gsta vid 1,12089.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kan EURUSD stiga trots politisk os\u00e4kerhet i Europa?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ja. EURUSD kan st\u00e4rkas om r\u00e4ntorna p\u00e5 amerikanska statsobligationer faller, dollarn f\u00f6rsvagas eller l\u00e4get i Europa stabiliseras. F\u00f6r en mer varaktig uppg\u00e5ng kr\u00e4vs normalt tydligare k\u00f6pstyrka och ett bekr\u00e4ftat utbrott \u00f6ver n\u00e4rmaste motst\u00e5nd.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>B\u00f6rja handla nu \u2014 klicka <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/trade-now\/\">h\u00e4r<\/a> f\u00f6r att skapa ditt riktiga VT Markets-konto.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Euron darrar \u2013 men st\u00e5r pall: EURUSD kring 1,1218 n\u00e4r dollarn saknar riktning. Politisk oro i Frankrike\/Italien pressar sentimentet och vidgar FR-DE-spreaden, medan USA-r\u00e4ntan 5,13% h\u00e5ller DXY n\u00e4ra 102.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69777,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69778","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Euron darrar \u2013 men st\u00e5r pall: EURUSD kring 1,1218 n\u00e4r dollarn saknar riktning. 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