{"id":69776,"date":"2026-10-19T10:52:18","date_gmt":"2026-10-19T10:52:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/uncategorized\/crude-oil-falls-as-russian-supply-weighs-on-prices\/"},"modified":"2026-10-19T10:52:18","modified_gmt":"2026-10-19T10:52:18","slug":"crude-oil-falls-as-russian-supply-weighs-on-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/analysis\/crude-oil-falls-as-russian-supply-weighs-on-prices\/","title":{"rendered":"R\u00e5oljan faller n\u00e4r rysk tillg\u00e5ng tynger priserna"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad5be2ebfef4.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Viktiga punkter<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>USOUSD bryter sin svit p\u00e5 sju uppg\u00e5ngsdagar n\u00e4r handlare v\u00e4rderade m\u00f6jligheten att mer rysk br\u00e4nsleleverans kan komma tillbaka till marknaden.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>President Donald Trumps beslut att tillf\u00e4lligt slopa sanktioner och tullar mot Ryssland har h\u00f6jt f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna om st\u00f6rre global tillg\u00e5ng p\u00e5 olja.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Attacker mot tankfartyg n\u00e4ra Hormuzsundet och ukrainska attacker mot rysk oljeinfrastruktur forts\u00e4tter att hota utbudet.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Starkare amerikanska importpriser har \u00f6kat inflationsoron inf\u00f6r Federal Reserves r\u00e4ntebesked.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Motst\u00e5nd ligger kring 98,500\u201398,550, medan st\u00f6d runt 98,400 och 98,350 kan avg\u00f6ra n\u00e4sta kortsiktiga r\u00f6relse.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Marknadsr\u00f6relse<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Priset p\u00e5 amerikansk r\u00e5olja f\u00f6ll tillbaka p\u00e5 m\u00e5ndagen den <strong>19 oktober<\/strong> och avslutade en svit med sju uppg\u00e5ngsdagar n\u00e4r handlare omv\u00e4rderade det globala utbudet efter att Washington l\u00e4ttat p\u00e5 restriktionerna f\u00f6r rysk energiexport.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Oil falls from five-month high as supply intact despite fighting<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/tzZ3wSPxU1\">https:\/\/t.co\/tzZ3wSPxU1<\/a><\/p>&mdash; The Business Times (@BusinessTimes) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/BusinessTimes\/status\/2112064964999479304?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>West Texas Intermediate (WTI)<\/strong> (en amerikansk referensolja) handlades n\u00e4ra <strong>98,498<\/strong> i den senaste handeln. Under dagen sv\u00e4ngde priset kraftigt, med en kort uppg\u00e5ng mot <strong>98,550<\/strong> f\u00f6ljt av ett snabbt fall mot <strong>98,370<\/strong>. D\u00e4refter \u00e5terh\u00e4mtade sig priset mot <strong>98,500<\/strong>, vilket visar att k\u00f6pare kom tillbaka p\u00e5 l\u00e4gre niv\u00e5er trots dagens nedg\u00e5ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Varf\u00f6r handlare f\u00f6ljer detta<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nedg\u00e5ngen kom efter att president Donald Trump beslutat att tillf\u00e4lligt slopa sanktioner och tullar mot Ryssland, vilket kan g\u00f6ra att mer ryskt br\u00e4nsle n\u00e5r den internationella marknaden. Kurs\u00e4ndringen har minskat den akuta oron f\u00f6r brist, s\u00e4rskilt n\u00e4r Turkiet f\u00f6rbereder sig p\u00e5 att ta emot mer rysk export av diesel. Samtidigt h\u00e5ller riskerna uppe: attacker mot tankfartyg n\u00e4ra Hormuzsundet och ukrainska dr\u00f6narattacker mot rysk oljeinfrastruktur g\u00f6r att utbudshoten best\u00e5r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Ukraine launched a massive overnight aerial attack, sending hundreds of drones toward targets in Moscow and St. Petersburg, striking a major oil terminal again despite pressure from President Trump to end such attacks. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/tvt1mylRon\">https:\/\/t.co\/tvt1mylRon<\/a><\/p>&mdash; ABC News (@ABC) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ABC\/status\/2111800494121247112?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 18, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c4ven amerikansk penningpolitik (hur centralbanken styr r\u00e4ntor och likviditet) p\u00e5verkar. Importpriserna i september steg mer \u00e4n v\u00e4ntat, delvis p\u00e5 grund av h\u00f6gre energikostnader, vilket st\u00e4rker oron f\u00f6r att inflationen biter sig fast. Om Fed (USA:s centralbank) h\u00f6jer r\u00e4ntan igen kan det pressa oljepriset ytterligare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Handlare bevakar n\u00e4sta m\u00f6te i Federal Open Market Committee, FOMC (Feds r\u00e4ntekommitt\u00e9), PCE-inflation (Feds viktigaste inflationsm\u00e5tt f\u00f6r hush\u00e5llens konsumtion) samt nyheter som p\u00e5verkar rysk och mellan\u00f6sternsk energif\u00f6rs\u00f6rjning f\u00f6r att f\u00e5 signaler om n\u00e4sta prisriktning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Viktiga handelsniv\u00e5er<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/USOIL\/?exchange=TVC\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">USOIL chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"TVC:USOIL\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Niv\u00e5<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pris (USD)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Teknisk betydelse<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Motst\u00e5nd 2<\/td><td>98.55<\/td><td>Nylig dagstopp och \u00f6vre motst\u00e5nd<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Motst\u00e5nd 1<\/td><td>98.5<\/td><td>N\u00e4rmsta motst\u00e5nd och niv\u00e5 d\u00e4r priset v\u00e4nt ned flera g\u00e5nger<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Nuvarande pris<\/td><td>98.498<\/td><td>Senast noterade pris<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>St\u00f6d 1<\/td><td>98.45<\/td><td>Kortsiktigt st\u00f6d och omr\u00e5de d\u00e4r priset r\u00f6rt sig sidledes<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>St\u00f6d 2<\/td><td>98.4<\/td><td>Tidigare bottenreaktion och psykologiskt st\u00f6d (rund niv\u00e5 som m\u00e5nga bevakar)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>St\u00f6d 3<\/td><td>98.370\u201398.350<\/td><td>Omr\u00e5de f\u00f6r \u00e5terh\u00e4mtning under dagen och l\u00e4gre st\u00f6d<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USOUSD m\u00f6ter n\u00e4rmaste motst\u00e5nd vid <strong>98,500<\/strong>, d\u00e4r \u00e5terh\u00e4mtningsf\u00f6rs\u00f6k haft sv\u00e5rt att f\u00e5 fart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">P\u00e5 nedsidan ger <strong>98,450<\/strong> f\u00f6rsta st\u00f6domr\u00e5det. Ett fall under den niv\u00e5n kan \u00f6ppna f\u00f6r <strong>98,400<\/strong>, f\u00f6ljt av zonen <strong>98,370\u201398,350<\/strong> d\u00e4r k\u00f6pare tidigare kom in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Det glidande medelv\u00e4rdet f\u00f6r nio perioder (ett genomsnitt av de senaste nio prisstaplarna, som ofta anv\u00e4nds f\u00f6r att bed\u00f6ma kort trend) ligger n\u00e4ra nuvarande pris, vilket tyder p\u00e5 svag riktning. N\u00e4r priset pendlar kring <strong>98,500<\/strong> kan handlare inv\u00e4nta ett tydligt utbrott upp\u00e5t eller ned\u00e5t innan n\u00e4sta kortsiktiga riktning bed\u00f6ms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Uppl\u00e4gg f\u00f6r uppg\u00e5ng och nedg\u00e5ng<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad5be3019fb6.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Scenario<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Utl\u00f6sare<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">M\u00f6jligt m\u00e5l<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Tolkning<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u00c5terh\u00e4mtning upp\u00e5t<\/td><td>Priset h\u00e5ller sig \u00f6ver 98.500<\/td><td>98.55<\/td><td>K\u00f6parna tar kortsiktigt grepp<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Utbrott upp\u00e5t<\/td><td>Varaktig r\u00f6relse \u00f6ver 98.550<\/td><td>Mer uppsida, ej bekr\u00e4ftad<\/td><td>Starkare \u00e5terh\u00e4mtningskraft<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Avvisning ned\u00e5t<\/td><td>Priset klarar inte att h\u00e5lla 98.500<\/td><td>98.45<\/td><td>S\u00e4ljtrycket kommer tillbaka<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Nedbrott<\/td><td>Priset faller under 98.400<\/td><td>98.370\u201398.350<\/td><td>Nedg\u00e5ngstakten \u00f6kar<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ett positivt scenario kan ta form om USOUSD etablerar st\u00f6d <strong>\u00f6ver 98,500<\/strong>. Det skulle signalera att k\u00f6parna pressar tillbaka det n\u00e4rmaste s\u00e4ljtrycket och kan \u00f6ppna f\u00f6r ett nytt test av <strong>98,550<\/strong>. En varaktig r\u00f6relse \u00f6ver det motst\u00e5ndet kan ge st\u00f6d f\u00f6r fortsatt uppg\u00e5ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ett negativt scenario kan i st\u00e4llet uppst\u00e5 om priset inte orkar h\u00e5lla \u00e5terh\u00e4mtningen n\u00e4ra <strong>98,500<\/strong>. Ett fall under <strong>98,450<\/strong> g\u00f6r att <strong>98,400<\/strong> hamnar i fokus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Ansvarsfriskrivning<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Prisniv\u00e5erna och scenarierna ovan speglar f\u00f6rfattarens bed\u00f6mning vid skrivtillf\u00e4llet. Det \u00e4r inte finansiell r\u00e5dgivning eller en officiell rekommendation fr\u00e5n VT Markets. Handlare b\u00f6r g\u00f6ra egen analys och hantera risk noggrant.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">USOUSD-prognos: Vad h\u00e4nder h\u00e4rn\u00e4st?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c4ven om det amerikanska undantaget fr\u00e5n sanktioner kan ge ett tillskott av br\u00e4nsleutbud \u00e4r marknaden fortsatt os\u00e4ker p\u00e5 hur undantaget genomf\u00f6rs och om det blir l\u00e5ngvarigt. Attacker som p\u00e5verkar Hormuzsundet och rysk energiinfrastruktur begr\u00e4nsar ocks\u00e5 nedsidan, eftersom st\u00f6rningar i sj\u00f6fart eller exportanl\u00e4ggningar kan v\u00e4cka nytt k\u00f6pintresse i r\u00e5olja.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USA:s inflation och r\u00e4ntef\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar p\u00e5verkar ocks\u00e5 utsikterna. Om Federal Reserve h\u00e5ller fast vid en stram linje (h\u00f6gre r\u00e4ntor under l\u00e4ngre tid) kan en starkare dollar och svagare efterfr\u00e5gef\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar tynga oljepriset. Om inflationsoron d\u00e4remot l\u00e4ttar kan det st\u00f6dja riskviljan i marknaden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Handla USOUSD med VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Handlare kan f\u00e5 tillg\u00e5ng till USOUSD via VT Markets och f\u00f6lja r\u00f6relser i r\u00e5oljepriset i VT Markets-appen samt via MetaTrader 4 och MetaTrader 5 (handelsplattformar f\u00f6r att analysera diagram och l\u00e4gga order).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oljepriser kan reagera snabbt p\u00e5 \u00e4ndrade f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar om globalt utbud, geopolitiska h\u00e4ndelser, lagerstatistik (uppgifter om lagrade volymer) och st\u00f6rningar i sj\u00f6farten. S\u00e5dana faktorer kan driva trenden och skapa perioder med h\u00f6gre volatilitet (st\u00f6rre och snabbare prissv\u00e4ngningar).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Med VT Markets verktyg f\u00f6r diagram och marknadsanalys kan handlare f\u00f6lja prisr\u00f6relsen, identifiera viktiga st\u00f6d- och motst\u00e5ndsniv\u00e5er och bed\u00f6ma m\u00f6jliga uppl\u00e4gg i USOUSD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>Vanliga fr\u00e5gor<\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Varf\u00f6r faller USOUSD i dag?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USOUSD f\u00f6ll n\u00e4r USA tillf\u00e4lligt slopade sanktioner och tullar mot Ryssland, vilket \u00f6kade f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna om st\u00f6rre rysk br\u00e4nsleexport. Utsikter om mer utbud har pressat r\u00e5oljepriset, trots fortsatta geopolitiska st\u00f6rningar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Vilka \u00e4r de viktigaste st\u00f6d- och motst\u00e5ndsniv\u00e5erna f\u00f6r USOUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">N\u00e4rmsta motst\u00e5nd ligger vid 98,500 och 98,550. St\u00f6d finns vid 98,450 och 98,400, f\u00f6ljt av den l\u00e4gre zonen 98,370\u201398,350.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kan oljepriser stiga trots st\u00f6rre rysk export?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ja. Fler attacker mot energiinfrastruktur, begr\u00e4nsningar som p\u00e5verkar Hormuzsundet eller st\u00f6rningar i sj\u00f6fartsleder kan strama \u00e5t tillg\u00e5ngen och st\u00f6dja priserna.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Hur kan Federal Reserve p\u00e5verka priset p\u00e5 USOUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">H\u00f6gre r\u00e4ntor kan st\u00e4rka dollarn och d\u00e4mpa f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna p\u00e5 ekonomisk aktivitet och efterfr\u00e5gan p\u00e5 olja. En mindre stram penningpolitik kan ge st\u00f6d, men det faktiska utbudet av olja \u00e4r fortfarande viktigt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Vad b\u00f6r handlare bevaka h\u00e4rn\u00e4st f\u00f6r USOUSD?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Handlare kan f\u00f6lja utvecklingen f\u00f6r rysk br\u00e4nsleexport, st\u00f6rningar i sj\u00f6farten i Mellan\u00f6stern, amerikansk inflationsstatistik och det kommande Fed-m\u00f6tet.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>B\u00f6rja handla nu \u2014 klicka <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/trade-now\/\">h\u00e4r<\/a> f\u00f6r att skapa ditt riktiga VT Markets-konto.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Olja tappar efter sju raka uppg\u00e5ngar: USA:s l\u00e4ttade Rysslandssanktioner \u00f6kar utbudsutsikter och pressar WTI kring 98,5. Samtidigt h\u00e5ller Hormuz- och dr\u00f6narattacker riskpremien uppe; Fed-besked kan styra n\u00e4sta drag.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69775,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69776","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Olja tappar efter sju raka uppg\u00e5ngar: USA:s l\u00e4ttade Rysslandssanktioner \u00f6kar utbudsutsikter och pressar WTI kring 98,5. 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