{"id":69474,"date":"2026-10-12T06:53:57","date_gmt":"2026-10-12T06:53:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/uncategorized\/week-ahead-markets-brace-for-us-cpi-and-midterm-elections\/"},"modified":"2026-10-12T06:53:57","modified_gmt":"2026-10-12T06:53:57","slug":"week-ahead-markets-brace-for-us-cpi-and-midterm-elections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/week_ahead\/week-ahead-markets-brace-for-us-cpi-and-midterm-elections\/","title":{"rendered":"Veckan som kommer: Marknaderna laddar f\u00f6r amerikansk KPI och mellan\u00e5rsvalet"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Copy-of-discover-15-1024x559.webp\" alt=\"Wall Street-marknaderna inv\u00e4ntar mellan\u00e5rsval, inflation och viktig statistik.\" class=\"wp-image-70834\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00d6versikt<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Valet den 3 november s\u00e4tter fokus p\u00e5 finanspolitiken (hur staten styr ekonomin via skatter och utgifter), kontrollen \u00f6ver kongressen och historiska b\u00f6rsm\u00f6nster n\u00e4r S&amp;P 500 g\u00e5r in i sista kvartalet 2026.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>USA:s KPI (konsumentprisindex, ett m\u00e5tt p\u00e5 inflationen f\u00f6r hush\u00e5llen) f\u00f6r september kommer den 14 oktober. Prognosen \u00e4r 3,6% p\u00e5 \u00e5rsbasis, upp fr\u00e5n 3,4%. Torsdagens PPI (producentprisindex, prisutveckling tidigare i kedjan) och detaljhandel kan p\u00e5verka synen p\u00e5 Federal Reserves (Fed, USA:s centralbank) n\u00e4sta r\u00e4ntebesked.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>S&amp;P 500 \u00e4r upp cirka 14,1% hittills i \u00e5r per 9 oktober, trots att mellan\u00e5rsval historiskt ofta gett svagare genomsnittliga avkastningar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Handlare ser mot motst\u00e5nd (niv\u00e5 d\u00e4r det ofta blir sv\u00e5rt att stiga) i USDX kring 102,55, guld runt 4 280 dollar och st\u00f6d (niv\u00e5 d\u00e4r k\u00f6pare ofta kliver in) i bitcoin n\u00e4ra 78 450 n\u00e4r n\u00e4sta statistik n\u00e4rmar sig.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Wall Street g\u00e5r in i mellan\u00e5rsvalss\u00e4songen \u2013 inflationsrisken kvarst\u00e5r<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Wall Street avslutade veckan till den 9 oktober starkare. S&amp;P 500 steg 1,2%, Dow Jones Industrial Average 0,9% och Nasdaq 0,6%. Tekniktunga aktier h\u00e4mtade tillbaka efter tidigare f\u00f6rs\u00e4ljning, samtidigt som fallande statsobligationsr\u00e4ntor (r\u00e4ntan p\u00e5 amerikanska statspapper) gav st\u00f6d \u00e5t aktiev\u00e4rderingar. S&amp;P 500 n\u00e5dde ocks\u00e5 nya rekordniv\u00e5er under veckan och har d\u00e4rmed stigit cirka 14,1% hittills i \u00e5r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Uppg\u00e5ngen kommer i ett k\u00e4nsligt l\u00e4ge f\u00f6r USA-b\u00f6rserna. Mellan\u00e5rsvalet den 3 november n\u00e4rmar sig, inflationen \u00e4r fortsatt h\u00f6g och investerare v\u00e4ger sannolikheten f\u00f6r att Fed h\u00f6jer r\u00e4ntan igen f\u00f6re utg\u00e5ngen av 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bond traders are looking to the latest consumer-price inflation figures and a planned appearance by Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh for insight into how quickly the central bank will continue raising interest rates <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/MO3sdP2JVf\">https:\/\/t.co\/MO3sdP2JVf<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2109364671400608055?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 11, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bolagsrapporterna \u00e4r n\u00e4sta pusselbit. Stora amerikanska banker inleder rapportperioden f\u00f6r tredje kvartalet i veckan, vilket ger en f\u00e4rsk bild av kreditgivning, efterfr\u00e5gan hos konsumenter och effekterna av h\u00f6gre l\u00e5nekostnader. F\u00f6r stunden \u00e4r b\u00f6rstrenden positiv. Men h\u00f6gre inflation kan lyfta obligationsr\u00e4ntorna och utmana de h\u00f6ga v\u00e4rderingar som drivit uppg\u00e5ngen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Major US banks begin reporting Q3 earnings this week, with the focus on IPO and AI investments and the impact of fast-rising yields and surging oil prices. Investors will also be watching this week\u2019s government data on inflation and retail sales for clues about future Fed rate\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/giyQp18yyL\">pic.twitter.com\/giyQp18yyL<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2109345794864144662?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 11, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">S\u00e5 har USA:s mellan\u00e5rsval p\u00e5verkat S&amp;P 500<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USA:s presidentvals-cykel \u00e4r fyra \u00e5r. Mellan\u00e5rsval h\u00e5lls halvv\u00e4gs in i mandatperioden. Den 3 november 2026 v\u00e4ljer v\u00e4ljarna alla 435 r\u00f6stber\u00e4ttigade ledam\u00f6ter i representanthuset och ungef\u00e4r en tredjedel av senaten. Utfallet avg\u00f6r om president Donald Trump f\u00e5r en mer st\u00f6djande kongress eller m\u00f6ter st\u00f6rre motst\u00e5nd i lagstiftningen. Historiskt har S&amp;P 500 ofta utvecklats svagare under mellan\u00e5rsval, f\u00f6ljt av starkare avkastning \u00e5ret f\u00f6re n\u00e4sta presidentval.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6acc44f2814eb.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S&amp;P 500 har redan \u00e5terh\u00e4mtat sig fr\u00e5n bottenniv\u00e5n i mars 2026 och n\u00e5dde rekord i oktober. Nedg\u00e5ngen tidigare i \u00e5r var ocks\u00e5 mindre \u00e4n det historiska snittet i mellan\u00e5rsval\u00e5r. Det \u00f6ppnar f\u00f6r tv\u00e5 v\u00e4gar fram\u00e5t. Om vinsterna och inflationen stabiliseras kan uppg\u00e5ngen forts\u00e4tta in i 2027. Om inflationen biter sig fast eller obligationsr\u00e4ntorna stiger mer kan v\u00e4rderingarna pressas igen f\u00f6re valet. Avg\u00f6rande blir vinsttillv\u00e4xten och penningpolitiken (centralbankens r\u00e4nte- och likviditetspolitik).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kan kontrollen \u00f6ver kongressen \u00e4ndra b\u00f6rsutsikterna?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Valresultatet kan flytta f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna p\u00e5 USA:s finanspolitik, inklusive skatter, offentliga utgifter och regleringar. En republikansk majoritet i b\u00e5da kamrarna kan ge Trump-administrationen st\u00f6rre handlingsutrymme. En demokratisk majoritet i n\u00e5gon kammare kan g\u00f6ra politiken mer l\u00e5st och \u00f6ka konflikter kring budget och utgifter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6acc44f364e58.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">RBC Wealth Managements genomg\u00e5ng av perioden 1953\u20132025 visar att b\u00f6rsutvecklingen skiljde sig mellan olika kombinationer av presidentmakt och kongresskontroll. Perioder med samlad republikansk kontroll under republikanska presidenter tillh\u00f6rde de historiskt starkare uppl\u00e4ggen, tillsammans med vissa uppl\u00e4gg med demokratiska presidenter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Det betyder inte att ett visst politiskt utfall i sig driver h\u00f6gre b\u00f6rsavkastning. Varje period har ocks\u00e5 pr\u00e4glats av olika inflation, r\u00e4nteniv\u00e5er och vinsttrender. Den viktigare fr\u00e5gan \u00e4r hur valf\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar kan p\u00e5verka finanspolitiken, statens l\u00e5nebehov och obligationsr\u00e4ntor. H\u00f6gre offentliga utgifter kan st\u00f6dja tillv\u00e4xt och f\u00f6retagens int\u00e4kter, men st\u00f6rre budgetunderskott kan ocks\u00e5 h\u00f6ja r\u00e4ntor, \u00f6ka finansieringskostnader och pressa aktiev\u00e4rderingar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">USA:s KPI kan \u00e4ndra synen p\u00e5 Feds r\u00e4ntor<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Septemberutfallet f\u00f6r <strong>USA:s KPI (konsumentprisindex)<\/strong> p\u00e5 onsdagen den <strong>14 oktober<\/strong> \u00e4r veckans viktigaste statistik. Inflationen \u00e4r central f\u00f6r Feds beslut efter m\u00f6tet i september.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vid m\u00f6tet h\u00f6jde beslutsfattarna m\u00e5let f\u00f6r styrr\u00e4ntan (federal funds rate, den korta r\u00e4ntan i banksystemet) med 25 r\u00e4ntepunkter (0,25 procentenheter) till<strong> 3,75%\u20134,00%.<\/strong> Protokollet som publicerades i oktober visade att flera fortsatt oroade sig f\u00f6r inflationen, men med olika syn p\u00e5 behovet av fler h\u00f6jningar. I b\u00f6rjan av oktober prisade marknaden in cirka<strong> 17%\u201319%<\/strong> sannolikhet f\u00f6r en h\u00f6jning i oktober, medan december s\u00e5gs som ett mer troligt tillf\u00e4lle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Fed minutes: Another rate hike likely coming this year to combat persistent inflation <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/GUU18NAV6t\">https:\/\/t.co\/GUU18NAV6t<\/a><\/p>&mdash; ABC13 Houston (@abc13houston) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/abc13houston\/status\/2109348319235317993?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 11, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">KPI-utfallet kan p\u00e5verka flera marknader:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>H\u00f6gre inflation \u00e4n v\u00e4ntat:<\/strong> R\u00e4ntor p\u00e5 USA:s statsobligationer och dollarn kan st\u00e4rkas n\u00e4r marknaden r\u00e4knar med h\u00f6gre chans till fler r\u00e4nteh\u00f6jningar. Guld och aktier med h\u00f6ga v\u00e4rderingar kan pressas.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>L\u00e4gre inflation \u00e4n v\u00e4ntat:<\/strong> L\u00e4gre r\u00e4ntor kan st\u00f6dja aktier och guld och minska den kortsiktiga efterfr\u00e5gan p\u00e5 dollarn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>I linje med f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna: <\/strong>Marknaden kan bli mer sidledes n\u00e4r fokus flyttas till PPI, detaljhandel och bolagsrapporter.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Torsdagens <strong>PPI och detaljhandel<\/strong> ger mer information om pristrycket hos producenter och styrkan i den amerikanska konsumtionen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Varf\u00f6r 2027 kan avvika fr\u00e5n valcykeln<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c5ret f\u00f6re presidentval har historiskt varit starkt f\u00f6r USA-aktier, men flera faktorer kan g\u00f6ra att 2027 inte f\u00f6ljer m\u00f6nstret. Bolagens vinster \u00e4r centrala. H\u00f6gre aktiekurser kr\u00e4ver att vinsterna v\u00e4xer s\u00e5 att v\u00e4rderingarna b\u00e4r, s\u00e4rskilt n\u00e4r obligationsr\u00e4ntorna ligger h\u00f6gt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Om inflationen best\u00e5r kan Fed h\u00e5lla r\u00e4ntorna h\u00f6gre l\u00e4ngre, \u00e4ven om finanspolitiken blir mer tillv\u00e4xtst\u00f6djande. Samspelet mellan finanspolitik och penningpolitik kan d\u00e4rf\u00f6r styra riktningen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Starkare ekonomi kan lyfta vinster, men ocks\u00e5 \u00f6ka f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna om h\u00f6gre r\u00e4ntor. Svagare tillv\u00e4xt kan s\u00e4nka r\u00e4ntor, men v\u00e4cka oro f\u00f6r vinsterna fram\u00e5t. Marknaden reagerar ocks\u00e5 p\u00e5 skillnaden mellan utfall och f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">S\u00e5 kan aktier, guld och dollar reagera<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Olika tillg\u00e5ngar kan reagera olika p\u00e5 samma statistik, s\u00e4rskilt om f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar p\u00e5 tillv\u00e4xt, inflation och r\u00e4ntor drar \u00e5t olika h\u00e5ll.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Ekonomisk utveckling<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">USA-aktier<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">USA-dollarn<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Guld<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Obligationsr\u00e4ntor<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Starkare ekonomisk tillv\u00e4xt<\/td><td>Ofta st\u00f6d<\/td><td>Kan st\u00e4rkas<\/td><td>Blandat<\/td><td>Kan stiga<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>St\u00f6rre budgetunderskott<\/td><td>Blandat<\/td><td>Blandat<\/td><td>Kan gynnas<\/td><td>Kan stiga<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Mjukare Fed n\u00e4r inflationen d\u00e4mpas<\/td><td>Ofta st\u00f6d<\/td><td>Kan f\u00f6rsvagas<\/td><td>Ofta st\u00f6d<\/td><td>Brukar falla<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Mjukare Fed p\u00e5 grund av recessionsrisk (risk f\u00f6r nedg\u00e5ng i ekonomin)<\/td><td>Blandat eller negativt<\/td><td>Blandat<\/td><td>Blandat<\/td><td>Brukar falla<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Inflationen biter sig fast<\/td><td>Press p\u00e5 v\u00e4rderingar<\/td><td>Blandat<\/td><td>Blandat<\/td><td>Kan stiga<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Viktiga symboler att bevaka<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>USDX (dollarindex) | XAUUASD (guld mot dollar) | S&amp;P500 (USA-index) | EURUSD (euro mot dollar) |BTCUSD (bitcoin mot dollar)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kommande h\u00e4ndelser<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Datum<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Valuta<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">H\u00e4ndelse<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Prognos<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">F\u00f6reg\u00e5ende<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Analytikerkommentar<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12 okt<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">JPY, USD, CAD<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bankhelgdagar<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">N\/A<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">N\/A<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">L\u00e4gre aktivitet kan p\u00e5verka likviditeten (hur l\u00e4tt det \u00e4r att handla utan att priset r\u00f6r sig mycket).<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14 okt<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">USD<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">KPI \u00e5r\/\u00e5r<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3,60%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3,40%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">En h\u00f6gre siffra kan st\u00f6dja dollarn och obligationsr\u00e4ntor.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\" rowspan=\"2\">15 okt<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">USD<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">PPI m\u00e5n\/m\u00e5n<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0,50%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0,40%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Se om producentpriserna bekr\u00e4ftar trycket i KPI.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">USD<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Detaljhandel m\u00e5n\/m\u00e5n<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0,30%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1,20%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">L\u00e4gre \u00f6kningstakt kan v\u00e4cka oro f\u00f6r konsumtionen.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\" rowspan=\"2\">16 okt<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GBP<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">BoE-chefen Bailey talar<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">N\/A<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">N\/A<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">F\u00f6lj signaler om brittisk inflation och r\u00e4ntor.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">USD<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fed-chefen Warsh talar<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">N\/A<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">N\/A<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Lyssna efter besked om fler r\u00e4nteh\u00f6jningar.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">F\u00f6r en samlad bild av kommande statistik, se VT Markets <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/economic-calendar\/?utmsource=WMO\">ekonomiska kalender<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Veckans viktigaste r\u00f6relser<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">USDX<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6acc44f438e7c.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>USDX r\u00f6rde sig sidledes under veckan och kan forts\u00e4tta i v\u00e4ntan p\u00e5 inflationssiffrorna.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Om USDX stiger mer: bevaka om uppg\u00e5ngen tappar fart vid 102,55 (motst\u00e5nd).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Om USDX faller: f\u00f6lj utvecklingen vid 101,00 (viktigt omr\u00e5de).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">XAUUSD<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6acc44f5849e3.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Guld steg fr\u00e5n den nedre delen av det bevakade omr\u00e5det kring 4 080.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Vid fortsatt uppg\u00e5ng: f\u00f6lj prisreaktionen runt 4 280.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Vid nedg\u00e5ng: leta efter tecken p\u00e5 att k\u00f6pare kliver in runt 4 055.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">SP500<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6acc44f6dd71e.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>SP500 steg fr\u00e5n det bevakade omr\u00e5det vid 7 735.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>F\u00f6lj prisreaktionen n\u00e4r indexet s\u00e4tter nya toppar.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">EURUSD<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6acc44f84680a.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>EURUSD r\u00f6r sig sidledes vid det bevakade omr\u00e5det kring 1,1150.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Vid nedg\u00e5ng: bevaka om k\u00f6pare kommer in vid 1,1110.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Vid uppg\u00e5ng: f\u00f6lj prisreaktionen vid 1,1350.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">BTCUSD<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6acc44f987e50.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>BTC handlas kring det bevakade omr\u00e5det vid 84 060.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Vid nedg\u00e5ng: bevaka om k\u00f6pintresse uppst\u00e5r vid 78 450 eller 76 450.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Slutsats<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S&amp;P 500 g\u00e5r in i veckan som b\u00f6rjar den 12 oktober med medvind, men inflationsstatistik och det stundande mellan\u00e5rsvalet kan styra n\u00e4sta st\u00f6rre r\u00f6relse. Onsdagens KPI testar f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna p\u00e5 fler r\u00e4nteh\u00f6jningar fr\u00e5n Fed, medan torsdagens PPI och detaljhandel kan f\u00f6rst\u00e4rka eller \u00e4ndra den f\u00f6rsta marknadsreaktionen. Bevaka om USDX n\u00e4rmar sig<strong> 102,55<\/strong>, om guldet r\u00f6r sig mot <strong>4 280 dollar<\/strong> och om S&amp;P 500 h\u00e5ller sig kvar \u00f6ver de senaste toppniv\u00e5erna.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Vanliga fr\u00e5gor<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Hur kan USA:s mellan\u00e5rsval p\u00e5verka S&amp;P 500 under 2026?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mellan\u00e5rsvalet den 3 november 2026 kan p\u00e5verka b\u00f6rshum\u00f6ret via f\u00f6r\u00e4ndringar i finanspolitiken, skatter och offentliga utgifter. Historiskt har mellan\u00e5rsval ofta inneburit st\u00f6rre sv\u00e4ngningar (h\u00f6gre volatilitet, det vill s\u00e4ga st\u00f6rre och snabbare kursr\u00f6relser), medan \u00e5ret d\u00e4rp\u00e5 ofta gett starkare S&amp;P 500-avkastning. Samtidigt \u00e4r inflation, r\u00e4ntor och bolagens vinster fortsatt viktiga drivkrafter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Vad \u00e4r prognosen f\u00f6r USA:s KPI i oktober 2026?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Prognosen f\u00f6r september \u00e4r 3,6% inflation p\u00e5 \u00e5rsbasis, j\u00e4mf\u00f6rt med 3,4% tidigare. Rapporten kommer den 14 oktober 2026. H\u00f6gre inflation \u00e4n v\u00e4ntat kan st\u00e4rka dollarn och obligationsr\u00e4ntor, medan l\u00e4gre inflation kan st\u00f6dja guld och aktier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Forts\u00e4tter S&amp;P 500 att stiga i oktober 2026?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S&amp;P 500 gick in i oktober med positiv trend och var upp cirka 14,1% hittills i \u00e5r per 9 oktober. Fortsatta uppg\u00e5ngar beror i h\u00f6g grad p\u00e5 bolagsvinster, inflation och f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar p\u00e5 Fed. Viktigt blir om index kan h\u00e5lla nya toppniv\u00e5er eller om s\u00e4ljtrycket \u00f6kar igen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Hur ser utsikterna ut f\u00f6r guld den h\u00e4r veckan?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Guldet har \u00e5terh\u00e4mtat sig fr\u00e5n omr\u00e5det kring 4 080 dollar, och 4 280 dollar \u00e4r n\u00e4sta niv\u00e5 p\u00e5 uppsidan. Vid nedg\u00e5ng kan marknaden bevaka om k\u00f6pare kliver in runt 4 055. Riktningen beror ocks\u00e5 p\u00e5 USA-inflation, obligationsr\u00e4ntor och dollarr\u00f6relser.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Hur kan USA:s KPI p\u00e5verka EURUSD och dollarn?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">H\u00f6gre KPI \u00e4n v\u00e4ntat kan \u00f6ka f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna p\u00e5 fler r\u00e4nteh\u00f6jningar fr\u00e5n Fed, vilket kan st\u00f6dja USDX (dollarindex) och tynga EURUSD. L\u00e4gre inflation kan ge motsatt effekt. Motst\u00e5ndet i USDX ligger n\u00e4ra 102,55, medan handlare i EURUSD bevakar st\u00f6d vid 1,1110 och motst\u00e5nd vid 1,1350.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>B\u00f6rja handla nu \u2014 klicka <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/trade-now\/\">h\u00e4r<\/a> f\u00f6r att skapa ditt riktiga VT Markets-konto.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Wall Street g\u00e5r mot mellan\u00e5rsvalet med S&#038;P 500 n\u00e4ra rekord och +14% i \u00e5r \u2013 men veckans KPI (3,6% v\u00e4ntat) kan flytta Fed-r\u00e4nteoddsen och skaka dollar, guld och bitcoin.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69473,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[50,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69474","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-week_ahead"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - 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