{"id":68789,"date":"2026-09-14T07:41:48","date_gmt":"2026-09-14T07:41:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/uncategorized\/oil-surges-above-105-after-new-strikes-on-saudi\/"},"modified":"2026-09-14T07:41:48","modified_gmt":"2026-09-14T07:41:48","slug":"oil-surges-above-105-after-new-strikes-on-saudi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/analysis\/oil-surges-above-105-after-new-strikes-on-saudi\/","title":{"rendered":"Oljepriset rusar \u00f6ver 105 dollar efter nya attacker mot Saudiarabien"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Oil8-1024x573.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-68230\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Viktiga punkter<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Brentolja steg \u00f6ver 105 dollar per fat n\u00e4r nya attacker mot Saudiarabien och \u00f6kade risker f\u00f6r sj\u00f6farten kring Hormuzsundet \u00e5ter satte fokus p\u00e5 oro f\u00f6r utbudet.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Saudiarabiens East\u2013West-ledning (en r\u00f6rledning som f\u00f6r olja tv\u00e4rs \u00f6ver landet) har st\u00f6rts efter dr\u00f6narattacker. Om stoppet blir l\u00e5ngvarigt kan upp till cirka 4 procent av den globala oljetillg\u00e5ngen p\u00e5verkas.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hormuzsundet (en mycket viktig passage f\u00f6r oljetransporter) \u00e4r fortsatt en tydlig riskpunkt. F\u00e4rska siffror visar att sj\u00f6farten ligger under normala niv\u00e5er n\u00e4r s\u00e4kerhetsoron best\u00e5r.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>H\u00f6gre oljepris kan h\u00f6ja kostnader f\u00f6r transporter och produktion och i f\u00f6rl\u00e4ngningen pressa upp konsumentpriserna, vilket kan h\u00e5lla inflationen uppe.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dyrare energi g\u00f6r ocks\u00e5 bilden sv\u00e5rare f\u00f6r Federal Reserve, USA:s centralbank. Marknaden prisar redan in h\u00f6g sannolikhet f\u00f6r ytterligare en r\u00e4nteh\u00f6jning.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Marknadsr\u00f6relsen<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Terminspriset p\u00e5 Brent (UKOUSD) steg till <strong>108,23 dollar per fat<\/strong> p\u00e5 m\u00e5ndagen efter nya Huthi-attacker mot Saudiarabien och fler incidenter kring Hormuzsundet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">UKOUSD l\u00e5g kvar n\u00e4ra <strong>108,00<\/strong> innan priset f\u00f6ll snabbt mot <strong>107,30<\/strong>. D\u00e4refter kom k\u00f6pare tillbaka och lyfte UKOUSD mot <strong>107,70<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Handlare reagerar p\u00e5 snabbt skiftande geopolitiska nyheter och s\u00f6ker signaler i prisr\u00f6relserna om vart marknaden \u00e4r p\u00e5 v\u00e4g.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">D\u00e4rf\u00f6r f\u00f6ljer marknaden utvecklingen<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fokus ligger p\u00e5 Saudiarabiens <strong>East\u2013West-ledning<\/strong>, en central r\u00f6rledning som flyttar r\u00e5olja fr\u00e5n landets produktionsomr\u00e5den i \u00f6st till hamnen Yanbu vid R\u00f6da havet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Oil prices rise after Saudi Arabia shut down critical pipeline that bypasses Strait of Hormuz <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Guu5xUBKZ7\">https:\/\/t.co\/Guu5xUBKZ7<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CNBC\/status\/2099260000656920628?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 13, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ledningen st\u00e4ngdes efter dr\u00f6narattacker och brukar transportera cirka <strong>4 miljoner fat per dag<\/strong>. Om st\u00f6rningen forts\u00e4tter kan bortfallet motsvara ungef\u00e4r <strong>4 procent av den globala oljef\u00f6rbrukningen<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ett s\u00e5dant avbrott kan strama \u00e5t utbudet och bidra till h\u00f6gre inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">N\u00e4r r\u00e5oljan blir dyrare stiger ofta kostnaderna f\u00f6r br\u00e4nsle, frakter och tillverkning. F\u00f6retag kan ta en del av sm\u00e4llen, men om prisuppg\u00e5ngen blir l\u00e5ngvarig brukar den synas i konsumentpriserna.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Det f\u00f6rsv\u00e5rar ocks\u00e5 l\u00e4get f\u00f6r Federal Reserve.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Inflation heated up in August, raising the chance of a Fed rate hike<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/4oEjOWF1YX\">https:\/\/t.co\/4oEjOWF1YX<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Q1FzrfRd1j\">pic.twitter.com\/Q1FzrfRd1j<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNN (@CNN) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CNN\/status\/2098393905603473480?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 11, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Inflationen i USA ligger redan \u00f6ver <strong>m\u00e5let p\u00e5 2 procent<\/strong> (centralbankens l\u00e5ngsiktiga riktm\u00e4rke). Dyrare energi kan g\u00f6ra att inflationen biter sig fast. Bed\u00f6mare r\u00e4knar nu med en <strong>r\u00e4nteh\u00f6jning p\u00e5 25 punkter<\/strong> (0,25 procentenheter) vid m\u00f6tet i september, och marknaden har nyligen prisat sannolikheten till omkring <strong>87 procent<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Viktiga niv\u00e5er att bevaka<\/h2>\n\n\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/UKOIL\/?exchange=TVC\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">UKOIL chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\"> by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"TVC:UKOIL\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": \"100%\",\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Niv\u00e5<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Teknisk betydelse<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>109,13<\/td><td>Dagens h\u00f6gsta och tydligt motst\u00e5nd p\u00e5 kort sikt (niv\u00e5 d\u00e4r priset ofta bromsar)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>108,2<\/td><td>\u00d6vre motst\u00e5ndszon inom dagen<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>108<\/td><td>Psykologiskt motst\u00e5nd (runt tal som m\u00e5nga bevakar) och tidigare sidledes handel<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>107,8<\/td><td>Motst\u00e5nd p\u00e5 kort sikt<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>107,6<\/td><td>Kortsiktig v\u00e4ndzon kring glidande medelv\u00e4rde f\u00f6r 9 perioder (ett genomsnitt av de senaste 9 prisstaplarna)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>107,4<\/td><td>F\u00f6rsta st\u00f6d inom dagen (niv\u00e5 d\u00e4r priset ofta f\u00e5r f\u00e4ste)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>107,2<\/td><td>Viktigt st\u00f6d n\u00e4ra dagens l\u00e4gsta omr\u00e5de<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>105,00<\/td><td>Bredare st\u00f6d efter senaste utbrottet (n\u00e4r priset tar sig \u00f6ver en tidigare topp)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>100,00<\/td><td>Stor psykologisk niv\u00e5 och trendniv\u00e5 p\u00e5 medell\u00e5ng sikt<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Omr\u00e5det kring <strong>107,60<\/strong> \u00e4r den n\u00e4rmaste v\u00e4ndpunkten inom dagen (en niv\u00e5 som ofta avg\u00f6r om priset forts\u00e4tter upp eller ned). Priset har flera g\u00e5nger passerat zonen, samtidigt som det glidande medelv\u00e4rdet f\u00f6r 9 perioder har b\u00f6rjat plana ut i n\u00e4rheten.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ett brott upp \u00f6ver <strong>107,80<\/strong> kan g\u00f6ra att <strong>108,00\u2013108,20<\/strong> hamnar i fokus igen. D\u00e4rifr\u00e5n kan marknaden sikta mot dagens topp runt <strong>109,13<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">P\u00e5 nedsidan: om priset inte h\u00e5ller <strong>107,60<\/strong> kan fokus flyttas till <strong>107,40<\/strong> och <strong>107,20<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Positiva och negativa scenarier<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/codeYWZmZjgzYjAwNDFkNzVmOGVhNTQ2ZGQyMTM4YjkwNWRfT256dXU1TEJmNE11UE5veDlyaWwzQ0NLWFVXdXJSajhfVG9rZW46WnpaRmJScTRXb3h2Nmh4UFdNSWxMazdWZ2RkXzE3ODkzNzA1ODc6MTc4OTM3NDE4N19WNAampadd_watermarktrueampscene_typeCCM.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Scenario<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Utl\u00f6sande faktor<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Niv\u00e5er att bevaka<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Positivt (bullish)<\/td><td>UKOUSD h\u00e5ller sig \u00f6ver 107,60 och bryter 107,80<\/td><td>108,00 \u2192 108,20 \u2192 109,13<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Negativt (bearish)<\/td><td>UKOUSD faller under 107,60 och bryter 107,40<\/td><td>107,20 \u2192 105,00<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Positivt, st\u00f6rre bild<\/td><td>Brent ligger stabilt \u00f6ver 100 dollar<\/td><td>Riskp\u00e5slag kan ligga kvar<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Negativt, st\u00f6rre bild<\/td><td>Geopolitisk oro avtar och transportv\u00e4gar \u00f6ppnas igen<\/td><td>105 \u2192 100<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Det positiva scenariot st\u00e4rks om priset h\u00e5ller \u00f6ver <strong>107,60<\/strong> och tar sig f\u00f6rbi <strong>107,80<\/strong>. Ett tydligt lyft \u00f6ver <strong>108,00<\/strong> kan \u00f6ppna f\u00f6r <strong>108,20<\/strong> och d\u00e4refter dagens topp n\u00e4ra <strong>109,13<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Det negativa scenariot b\u00f6rjar om <strong>107,60<\/strong> ger vika. Ett brott under <strong>107,40<\/strong> kan s\u00e4tta <strong>107,20<\/strong> under press. En st\u00f6rre nedg\u00e5ng kan f\u00f6ra tillbaka fokus mot omr\u00e5det kring <strong>105<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Ansvarsfriskrivning<\/em><br><em>Prisniv\u00e5erna och scenarierna ovan \u00e4r skribentens bed\u00f6mning vid publicering och \u00e4r inte investeringsr\u00e5d eller en rekommendation fr\u00e5n VT Markets. G\u00f6r egen analys och hantera risken noggrant.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UKOUSD-prognos: vad h\u00e4nder h\u00e4rn\u00e4st?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Den kortsiktiga bilden f\u00f6r UKOUSD \u00e4r fortsatt <strong>positiv, men extremt nyhetsk\u00e4nslig<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Priset h\u00e5ller sig \u00f6ver <strong>105 dollar<\/strong> trots snabba nedst\u00e4ll under dagen, samtidigt som fortsatta problem i saudisk infrastruktur och os\u00e4kerhet kring sj\u00f6farten ger st\u00f6d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S\u00e5 l\u00e4nge Brent ligger tydligt \u00f6ver <strong>100 dollar<\/strong> kan marknaden forts\u00e4tta l\u00e4gga in ett riskp\u00e5slag kopplat till geopolitik och utbud.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Handla UKOUSD med VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oljepriset kan sv\u00e4nga snabbt vid geopolitiska h\u00e4ndelser, lagersiffror (statistik \u00f6ver hur mycket olja som finns i lager), f\u00f6r\u00e4ndringar i utbud och \u00e4ndrade r\u00e4ntef\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hos VT Markets kan handlare f\u00e5 tillg\u00e5ng till <strong>UKOUSD<\/strong> och \u00e4ven r\u00e5varor, valuta (forex), index och aktier via handelssystem som st\u00f6ds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Varf\u00f6r handla UKOUSD med VT Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">VT Markets ger tillg\u00e5ng till UKOUSD och verktyg f\u00f6r b\u00e5de teknisk analys (analys av prisgrafen) och fundamental analys (analys av utbud, efterfr\u00e5gan och nyhetsfl\u00f6de).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Handlare kan f\u00f6lja priset i realtid, anv\u00e4nda tekniska indikatorer (matematiska m\u00e5tt som hj\u00e4lper till att tolka prisr\u00f6relser), j\u00e4mf\u00f6ra flera tidsintervall och agera p\u00e5 f\u00f6r\u00e4ndringar p\u00e5 oljemarknaden via plattformar som MetaTrader och VT Markets-appen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>FAQ<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Varf\u00f6r steg Brentoljan \u00f6ver 105 dollar?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Brent steg n\u00e4r nya attacker mot Saudiarabien och incidenter kring viktiga transportleder i Mellan\u00f6stern \u00f6kade oron f\u00f6r fler st\u00f6rningar i oljeutbudet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Varf\u00f6r \u00e4r Saudiarabiens East\u2013West-ledning viktig?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ledningen transporterar cirka <strong>4 miljoner fat per dag<\/strong> mot R\u00f6da havet och g\u00f6r att saudisk olja kan g\u00e5 f\u00f6rbi Hormuzsundet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Varf\u00f6r \u00e4r Hormuzsundet viktigt f\u00f6r oljepriset?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hormuzsundet \u00e4r en av v\u00e4rldens viktigaste transportleder f\u00f6r energi. Historiskt har omkring <strong>20 procent av den globala handeln med r\u00e5olja och LNG<\/strong> (naturgas som kylts ned till flytande form f\u00f6r att kunna fraktas med fartyg) passerat genom sundet. St\u00f6rningar kan d\u00e4rf\u00f6r snabbt p\u00e5verka f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna p\u00e5 utbudet och d\u00e4rmed priset.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kan h\u00f6gre oljepris p\u00e5verka Fed:s r\u00e4ntebeslut?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ja. Om olje- och br\u00e4nslekostnader stiger under l\u00e4ngre tid kan transport- och produktionskostnader \u00f6ka, vilket kan driva upp inflationen. N\u00e4r inflationen redan ligger \u00f6ver m\u00e5let kan det bli sv\u00e5rare f\u00f6r Fed att s\u00e4nka eller h\u00e5lla tillbaka r\u00e4ntan. Marknaden ser nu h\u00f6g sannolikhet f\u00f6r ytterligare en r\u00e4nteh\u00f6jning.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>B\u00f6rja handla nu \u2014 klicka <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/trade-now\/\">h\u00e4r<\/a> f\u00f6r att skapa ditt riktiga VT Markets-konto.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Oljechock p\u00e5 v\u00e4g? Brent kliver \u00f6ver 105 dollar efter attacker mot Saudiarabien och st\u00f6rningar vid Hormuz. Risk f\u00f6r 4% globalt utbudsfall, h\u00f6gre inflation och press p\u00e5 Fed mot ny r\u00e4nteh\u00f6jning.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":68788,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68789","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Oljechock p\u00e5 v\u00e4g? Brent kliver \u00f6ver 105 dollar efter attacker mot Saudiarabien och st\u00f6rningar vid Hormuz. 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