{"id":54627,"date":"2026-07-22T10:52:52","date_gmt":"2026-07-22T10:52:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/uncategorized\/usa-dollarn-star-stadigt-trots-risker-i-mellanostern\/"},"modified":"2026-07-22T10:52:52","modified_gmt":"2026-07-22T10:52:52","slug":"usa-dollarn-star-stadigt-trots-risker-i-mellanostern","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/analysis\/usa-dollarn-star-stadigt-trots-risker-i-mellanostern\/","title":{"rendered":"USA-dollarn st\u00e5r stadigt trots risker i Mellan\u00f6stern"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/usdx-2.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-62430\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Viktiga punkter<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Dollarindex (USDX) h\u00f6ll sig \u00f6ver 101 p\u00e5 onsdagen efter att ha stigit fyra dagar i rad.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>H\u00f6gre oljepris och sp\u00e4nningar i Mellan\u00f6stern \u00f6kade oron f\u00f6r inflation (stigande priser) och st\u00e4rkte tron p\u00e5 en stramare Fed-politik (USA:s centralbank h\u00e5ller r\u00e4ntan h\u00f6gre l\u00e4ngre).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>R\u00e4ntorna p\u00e5 amerikanska statsobligationer l\u00e5g kvar p\u00e5 h\u00f6ga niv\u00e5er, vilket gav st\u00f6d \u00e5t efterfr\u00e5gan p\u00e5 dollar.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>ADP-data (privat jobbrapport) visade att jobbtillv\u00e4xten i USA:s privata sektor avtog ytterligare i b\u00f6rjan av juli.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Marknaden prissatte fortsatt en h\u00f6gre sannolikhet f\u00f6r att Fed h\u00f6jer r\u00e4ntan i september.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dollarindex (USDX) h\u00f6ll sig \u00f6ver 101 p\u00e5 onsdagen efter fj\u00e4rde uppg\u00e5ngsdagen i rad, med st\u00f6d av h\u00f6gre r\u00e4ntor p\u00e5 amerikanska statsobligationer, stigande oljepriser och f\u00f6rnyad geopolitisk oro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USA genomf\u00f6rde attacker mot iranska m\u00e5l f\u00f6r elfte natten i f\u00f6ljd, vilket h\u00f6ll oron h\u00f6g f\u00f6r st\u00f6rningar i energif\u00f6rs\u00f6rjningen och fortsatt instabilitet i regionen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oljepriset steg n\u00e4r marknaden bed\u00f6mde m\u00f6jliga effekter p\u00e5 globala energifl\u00f6den, samtidigt som investerare f\u00f6ljde om inflationstrycket kan p\u00e5verka Feds syn p\u00e5 penningpolitiken (hur r\u00e4ntan ska s\u00e4ttas).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Oil prices inched higher in early trading on Wednesday as fears of further supply disruptions intensified after U.S. forces said it began striking Iranian military targets for the 11th straight night and Kuwait reported attacks by Iranian drones. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/kH5xmcWe6y\">https:\/\/t.co\/kH5xmcWe6y<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters Africa (@ReutersAfrica) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ReutersAfrica\/status\/2079728200343523367?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 22, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dollarn fick ocks\u00e5 st\u00f6d av f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar om att h\u00f6gre energikostnader kan h\u00e5lla uppe inflationen och minska chansen f\u00f6r r\u00e4ntes\u00e4nkningar p\u00e5 kort sikt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">D\u00e4rf\u00f6r f\u00f6ljer handlare dollarn<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dollarn styrs fr\u00e4mst av tre faktorer: utvecklingen i Mellan\u00f6stern, f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar p\u00e5 Fed och amerikansk statistik.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">H\u00f6gre oljepris har blivit en viktig drivkraft n\u00e4r handlare v\u00e4ger risken f\u00f6r att utbudsst\u00f6rningar ska ge nytt inflationstryck. Ett varaktigt lyft i energikostnader g\u00f6r det sv\u00e5rare f\u00f6r centralbanker att l\u00e4tta p\u00e5 politiken, det vill s\u00e4ga s\u00e4nka r\u00e4ntan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Samtidigt har h\u00f6gre amerikanska obligationsr\u00e4ntor st\u00f6tt dollarefterfr\u00e5gan genom att g\u00f6ra USA-tillg\u00e5ngar mer attraktiva \u00e4n alternativ med l\u00e4gre r\u00e4nta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Marknaden f\u00f6ljer ocks\u00e5 Fed-f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna. \u00c4ven om m\u00e5nga r\u00e4knar med of\u00f6r\u00e4ndrad r\u00e4nta vid n\u00e4sta m\u00f6te har priss\u00e4ttningen r\u00f6rt sig mot st\u00f6rre sannolikhet f\u00f6r en h\u00f6jning senare i \u00e5r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Upptrappning i Mellan\u00f6stern h\u00e5ller uppe efterfr\u00e5gan p\u00e5 \u201ds\u00e4kra\u201d placeringar<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USA:s Central Command uppgav att man avslutat 11 dagars attacker mot Iran, riktade mot milit\u00e4ra platser kopplade till hot mot sj\u00f6fart i Hormuzsundet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The US Central Command said it completed 11 days of strikes on Iran, targeting military sites to reduce threats to shipping in the Strait of Hormuz <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/3PGwzUuWor\">https:\/\/t.co\/3PGwzUuWor<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/MvlKB6Ofq9\">pic.twitter.com\/MvlKB6Ofq9<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/2079828792659591189?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 22, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Den fortsatta milit\u00e4ra aktiviteten har \u00f6kat oron f\u00f6r st\u00f6rningar i en av v\u00e4rldens viktigaste transportleder f\u00f6r energi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En l\u00e5ngvarig konflikt kan h\u00e5lla oljepriset h\u00f6gt och \u00f6ka intresset f\u00f6r defensiva tillg\u00e5ngar (placeringar som ofta klarar oro b\u00e4ttre), d\u00e4ribland USA-dollarn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Men framsteg mot nedtrappning kan minska den extra riskpremien (ett p\u00e5slag i pris n\u00e4r risken \u00f6kar) och d\u00e4mpa dollarns uppg\u00e5ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Risker i R\u00f6da havet \u00f6kar energioron<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Energimarknaden f\u00f6ljer ocks\u00e5 utvecklingen utanf\u00f6r Hormuzsundet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Huthirebeller med koppling till Iran har hotat med fler \u00e5tg\u00e4rder mot sj\u00f6fartsleder i R\u00f6da havet. Det \u00f6kar oron f\u00f6r att st\u00f6rningar kan spridas till fler viktiga handelsv\u00e4gar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">A Houthi threat to impose a naval blockade against Saudi Arabia in the Red Sea could significantly widen the Iran war and strain a US military already focused on stopping Tehran&#39;s attacks across the region, current and former US officials said <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/vVZRkyQm2I\">https:\/\/t.co\/vVZRkyQm2I<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Reuters\/status\/2079827589607170284?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 22, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nytt tryck p\u00e5 stora sj\u00f6fartsleder kan \u00f6ka oron f\u00f6r energitillg\u00e5ngen och h\u00e5lla inflationen i fokus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">F\u00f6r dollarn beror effekten p\u00e5 om h\u00f6gre energipriser st\u00e4rker tron p\u00e5 att Fed m\u00e5ste strama \u00e5t (h\u00e5lla r\u00e4ntan h\u00f6gre eller h\u00f6ja), eller om den geopolitiska oron b\u00f6rjar avta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Amerikansk statistik visar svagare fart i anst\u00e4llningar<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Anst\u00e4llningstakten i USA:s privata sektor bromsade ytterligare i b\u00f6rjan av juli, enligt ADP (en rapport som m\u00e4ter privata arbetsgivares nyanst\u00e4llningar).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Privata arbetsgivare \u00f6kade antalet jobb med i snitt <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/news\/te_news:568565:0-us-private-hiring-cools-further-adp-weekly-data\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"\">16 500 per vecka<\/a> under de fyra veckor som slutade 4 juli, ned fr\u00e5n 19 250 under f\u00f6reg\u00e5ende fyraveckorsperiod.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Det var fj\u00e4rde perioden i rad med l\u00e4gre takt, ett tecken p\u00e5 att arbetsmarknaden kan tappa fart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Samtidigt \u00e4r inflationsrisker kopplade till energipriser fortsatt huvudfokus n\u00e4r marknaden f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker bed\u00f6ma Feds n\u00e4sta steg.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Viktiga niv\u00e5er att bevaka<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN --><div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/PEPPERSTONE-USDX\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">USDX chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\"> by TradingView<\/span><\/div>  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>  {  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,  \"calendar\": false,  \"details\": false,  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,  \"hide_legend\": false,  \"hide_volume\": false,  \"hotlist\": false,  \"interval\": \"D\",  \"locale\": \"en\",  \"save_image\": true,  \"style\": \"1\",  \"symbol\": \"PEPPERSTONE:USDX\",  \"theme\": \"dark\",  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.06)\",  \"watchlist\": [],  \"withdateranges\": false,  \"compareSymbols\": [],  \"studies\": [],  \"width\": 900,  \"height\": 500}  <\/script><\/div><!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Prisniv\u00e5<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Det h\u00e4r tittar handlare p\u00e5<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>101,8<\/td><td>Bredare motst\u00e5nd vid nyliga \u00e5terh\u00e4mtningsh\u00f6gsta<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>101,5<\/td><td>Sekund\u00e4r motst\u00e5ndszon<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>101,2<\/td><td>N\u00e4rmsta motst\u00e5nd vid senaste dagsh\u00f6gsta<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>101,07<\/td><td>Nuvarande handelsomr\u00e5de<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>100,8<\/td><td>N\u00e4rmsta st\u00f6d vid nylig sidledes handel<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>100,5<\/td><td>Kortsiktigt st\u00f6domr\u00e5de<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>100<\/td><td>Psykologiskt st\u00f6d (runt tal som ofta f\u00e5r extra uppm\u00e4rksamhet)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>99,8<\/td><td>Bredare referens p\u00e5 nedsidan<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">US Dollar Index handlas n\u00e4ra 101,07 efter att ha r\u00f6rt sig sidledes under den senaste toppen kring 101,20.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Indexet har \u00e5terh\u00e4mtat sig efter nedg\u00e5ngen i juli, men de senaste dagarnas kursstaplar visar att kraften i uppg\u00e5ngen har mattats n\u00e4r priset n\u00e4rmar sig motst\u00e5ndet kring 101,20.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En varaktig uppg\u00e5ng \u00f6ver 101,20 kan s\u00e4tta 101,50 i fokus, f\u00f6ljt av ett bredare motst\u00e5ndsomr\u00e5de kring 101,80.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">P\u00e5 nedsidan \u00e4r 100,80 f\u00f6rsta st\u00f6dniv\u00e5n att bevaka. Ett fall under den niv\u00e5n kan \u00f6ppna f\u00f6r 100,50, och en st\u00f6rre nedg\u00e5ng kan g\u00f6ra att den psykologiska niv\u00e5n 100,00 hamnar i fokus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Scenarier vid uppg\u00e5ng och nedg\u00e5ng<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/codeMTg1MzE5YmJmNTQzMWFiYWUyYWIzZDk2NmRhYzM0Y2VfeWlnVTFUSG9LZHc5SW9HTFFCd0p6U0Ruek1RbWZaTHRfVG9rZW46U1l0bmJGdWY4b09FWEx4aHlSUGwwbkMzZzhnXzE3ODQ3MDgzMjk6MTc4NDcxMTkyOV9WNAampadd_watermarktrueampscene_typeCCM.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Scenario<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Utl\u00f6sande niv\u00e5<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>M\u00f6jlig marknadsreaktion<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Fortsatt uppg\u00e5ng<\/td><td>Upp \u00f6ver 101,20<\/td><td>USDX kan testa 101,50<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Starkare uppg\u00e5ng<\/td><td>Upp \u00f6ver 101,50<\/td><td>Fokus kan flytta mot 101,80<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Sidledes handel<\/td><td>Kvar mellan 100,80 och 101,20<\/td><td>Handlare kan avvakta tydligare signaler fr\u00e5n Fed eller geopolitiken<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Nedst\u00e4ll<\/td><td>Ned under 100,80<\/td><td>USDX kan testa 100,50 igen<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>St\u00f6rre rekyl ned<\/td><td>Ned under 100,50<\/td><td>Index kan falla mot 100,00<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Uppg\u00e5ngsscenariot bygger p\u00e5 att dollarindex tar sig \u00f6ver 101,20 och h\u00e5ller i r\u00f6relsen. D\u00e5 kan \u00e5terh\u00e4mtningen st\u00e4rkas och 101,50 hamna i fokus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Neutralt scenario \u00e4r fortsatt sidledes handel mellan 100,80 och 101,20 i v\u00e4ntan p\u00e5 tydligare signaler fr\u00e5n oljepris, Fed-f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar och geopolitiken.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nedg\u00e5ngsscenariot blir tydligare om USDX faller under 100,80. Ett tydligt brott kan \u00f6ka s\u00e4ljtrycket mot 100,50. Vid fortsatt svaghet kan 100,00 hamna i fokus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Ansvarsfriskrivning<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>B\u00f6rja handla nu \u2014 klicka <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/trade-now\/\">h\u00e4r<\/a> f\u00f6r att skapa ditt riktiga VT Markets-konto.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dollarindexet klamrar sig fast \u00f6ver 101 efter fyra dagars uppg\u00e5ng. Oljelyft och Mellan\u00f6sternoro eldar p\u00e5 inflationsskr\u00e4ck, h\u00e5ller USA-r\u00e4ntor h\u00f6ga och \u00f6kar oddsen f\u00f6r Fed-h\u00f6jning i september trots svagare ADP-jobbtakt.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":54626,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-54627","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54627","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=54627"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54627\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/54626"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=54627"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=54627"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=54627"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}