{"id":52574,"date":"2026-05-16T01:56:53","date_gmt":"2026-05-16T01:56:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv\/uncategorized\/netto-langa-europositioner-stiger-nar-inflationsoverraskning-dampar-ecbs-rantesankningsforhoppningar-och-starker-den-positiva-biasen-for-eur-usd\/"},"modified":"2026-05-16T01:56:53","modified_gmt":"2026-05-16T01:56:53","slug":"netto-langa-europositioner-stiger-nar-inflationsoverraskning-dampar-ecbs-rantesankningsforhoppningar-och-starker-den-positiva-biasen-for-eur-usd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/live-updates\/netto-langa-europositioner-stiger-nar-inflationsoverraskning-dampar-ecbs-rantesankningsforhoppningar-och-starker-den-positiva-biasen-for-eur-usd\/","title":{"rendered":"Netto-l\u00e5nga europositioner stiger n\u00e4r inflations\u00f6verraskning d\u00e4mpar ECB:s r\u00e4ntes\u00e4nkningsf\u00f6rhoppningar och st\u00e4rker den positiva biasen f\u00f6r EUR\/USD"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Eurozonens CFTC-statistik visar att icke-kommersiella nettopositioner i euro (stora spekulanters terminspositioner, allts\u00e5 akt\u00f6rer som inte anv\u00e4nder terminskontrakt f\u00f6r att s\u00e4kra en verklig aff\u00e4r) steg till 40,2 tusen fr\u00e5n 32,2 tusen.<\/p>\n<p>Det inneb\u00e4r en \u00f6kning med 8,0 tusen j\u00e4mf\u00f6rt med f\u00f6reg\u00e5ende m\u00e4tning.<\/p>\n<p>Att netto-l\u00e5nga europositioner (fler k\u00f6p \u00e4n s\u00e4lj i terminskontrakt) \u00f6kar till 40,2 tusen kontrakt visar att stora spekulanter blir mer \u00f6vertygade om eurons styrka. Det tyder p\u00e5 en mer positiv syn p\u00e5 euron i terminsmarknaden. Det kan vara en signal att se \u00f6ver eventuella korta europositioner (positioner som tj\u00e4nar p\u00e5 att euron faller).<\/p>\n<p>Synen st\u00e4mmer med den senaste statistiken: Eurozonens inflationsutfall f\u00f6r april 2026 kom in n\u00e5got \u00f6ver f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntan p\u00e5 2,3 procent. H\u00f6gre inflation minskar sannolikheten f\u00f6r en r\u00e4ntes\u00e4nkning fr\u00e5n Europeiska centralbanken (ECB) i sommar, vilket brukar ge st\u00f6d \u00e5t valutan.<\/p>\n<p>Samtidigt har ny amerikansk arbetsmarknadsstatistik visat tecken p\u00e5 avmattning, vilket \u00f6kar spekulationen om att Federal Reserve kan s\u00e4nka r\u00e4ntan f\u00f6re \u00e5rets slut. Denna skillnad i penningpolitik (att centralbankerna g\u00e5r \u00e5t olika h\u00e5ll) st\u00e4rker argumentet f\u00f6r en uppg\u00e5ng i EUR\/USD p\u00e5 medell\u00e5ng sikt. Handlare i derivat (finansiella kontrakt vars v\u00e4rde beror p\u00e5 en underliggande tillg\u00e5ng, som valuta) kan \u00f6verv\u00e4ga att positionera sig f\u00f6r fortsatta uppg\u00e5ngar, exempelvis genom att k\u00f6pa k\u00f6poptioner (call options, ger r\u00e4tten att k\u00f6pa till ett f\u00f6rutbest\u00e4mt pris) p\u00e5 euron.<\/p>\n<p>Den \u00f6kande \u00f6vertygelsen \u00e4r en tydlig f\u00f6r\u00e4ndring j\u00e4mf\u00f6rt med os\u00e4kerheten under stora delar av 2025. D\u00e5 d\u00e4mpade kvarst\u00e5ende oro kring industriproduktion och energitillg\u00e5ng intresset fr\u00e5n spekulanter. Att l\u00e5nga positioner nu byggs upp antyder att dessa motvindar avtar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Spekulanter kliver p\u00e5 euron: CFTC visar att icke-kommersiella nettopositioner \u00f6kar till 40,2k fr\u00e5n 32,2k. H\u00f6gre euroinflation d\u00e4mpar ECB-s\u00e4nkningshopp, medan svagare USA-data lyfter Fed-s\u00e4nkningssnack \u2013 st\u00f6d f\u00f6r EUR\/USD.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52574","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52574","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=52574"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52574\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=52574"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=52574"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=52574"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}