{"id":44110,"date":"2026-04-07T18:40:55","date_gmt":"2026-04-07T18:40:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv\/uncategorized\/bbhs-elias-haddad-raknar-med-att-rbnz-lamnar-ocr-oforandrad-pa-225-nar-breman-uppdaterar-tillvaxt-och-inflationsprognoserna\/"},"modified":"2026-04-07T18:40:55","modified_gmt":"2026-04-07T18:40:55","slug":"bbhs-elias-haddad-raknar-med-att-rbnz-lamnar-ocr-oforandrad-pa-225-nar-breman-uppdaterar-tillvaxt-och-inflationsprognoserna","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/live-updates\/bbhs-elias-haddad-raknar-med-att-rbnz-lamnar-ocr-oforandrad-pa-225-nar-breman-uppdaterar-tillvaxt-och-inflationsprognoserna\/","title":{"rendered":"BBH:s Elias Haddad r\u00e4knar med att RBNZ l\u00e4mnar OCR of\u00f6r\u00e4ndrad p\u00e5 2,25 % n\u00e4r Breman uppdaterar tillv\u00e4xt- och inflationsprognoserna"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Nya Zeelands centralbank, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), v\u00e4ntas l\u00e4mna styrr\u00e4ntan (Official Cash Rate, OCR \u2013 centralbankens viktigaste r\u00e4nta) of\u00f6r\u00e4ndrad p\u00e5 2,25 procent f\u00f6r andra m\u00f6tet i rad. Riksbankschef Anna Breman v\u00e4ntas \u00e4nd\u00e5 uppdatera bankens prognoser f\u00f6r inflation och tillv\u00e4xt, trots att ingen ny penningpolitisk rapport (Monetary Policy Statement \u2013 RBNZ:s st\u00f6rre prognos- och beslutsdokument) publiceras.<\/p>\n<p>I ett tal den 24 mars sade Breman att tillv\u00e4xten 2026 kan bli svagare \u00e4n vad som angavs i februari. Hon sade ocks\u00e5 att banken kan bortse fr\u00e5n en kortvarig st\u00f6rning och en tillf\u00e4llig uppg\u00e5ng i bensinpriserna.<\/p>\n<h3>Politiska begr\u00e4nsningar och inflationstryck<\/h3>\n<p>Handlingsutrymmet \u00e4r begr\u00e4nsat trots att ekonomin har lediga resurser, eftersom KPI-inflationen (headline inflation \u2013 den totala inflationen) ligger n\u00e5got \u00f6ver m\u00e5lintervallet 1\u20133 procent. M\u00e5tt p\u00e5 underliggande inflation (core inflation \u2013 inflation rensad fr\u00e5n mer tillf\u00e4lliga prisr\u00f6relser) ligger \u00f6ver mitten av m\u00e5let, och r\u00e4ntetermins- och swapmarknaden (derivatmarknader d\u00e4r man handlar f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar om framtida r\u00e4ntor) prisar in n\u00e4ra 100 r\u00e4ntepunkter (bps \u2013 0,01 procentenheter per punkt) i OCR-h\u00f6jningar de kommande 12 m\u00e5naderna.<\/p>\n<p>En utdragen energichock och svagare bytesf\u00f6rh\u00e5llande (terms of trade \u2013 relationen mellan export- och importpriser) kan forts\u00e4tta tynga den nyzeel\u00e4ndska dollarn mot st\u00f6rre valutor. Artikeln pekar p\u00e5 \u00f6kad risk f\u00f6r stagflation (kombination av h\u00f6g inflation och svag eller obefintlig tillv\u00e4xt).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>RBNZ v\u00e4ntas h\u00e5lla OCR kvar p\u00e5 2,25% \u2013 men nya prognoser kan signalera svagare tillv\u00e4xt 2026. Inflationen biter sig fast, marknaden prisar r\u00e4nteh\u00f6jningar och stagflationsrisken \u00f6kar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44110","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44110","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44110"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44110\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44110"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44110"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44110"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}