{"id":43741,"date":"2026-03-31T14:40:41","date_gmt":"2026-03-31T14:40:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv\/uncategorized\/ings-chris-turner-fallande-kortfristiga-euroswaprantor-och-oljeledd-inflation-kan-dampa-uppsidan-i-eur-usd\/"},"modified":"2026-03-31T14:40:41","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T14:40:41","slug":"ings-chris-turner-fallande-kortfristiga-euroswaprantor-och-oljeledd-inflation-kan-dampa-uppsidan-i-eur-usd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/live-updates\/ings-chris-turner-fallande-kortfristiga-euroswaprantor-och-oljeledd-inflation-kan-dampa-uppsidan-i-eur-usd\/","title":{"rendered":"ING:s Chris Turner: fallande kortfristiga euroswapr\u00e4ntor och oljeledd inflation kan d\u00e4mpa uppsidan i EUR\/USD"},"content":{"rendered":"Kortsiktiga euroswapr\u00e4ntor har b\u00f6rjat falla efter en uppg\u00e5ng p\u00e5 80 punkter (0,80 procentenheter) den h\u00e4r m\u00e5naden, \u00e4ven om rekylen har varit begr\u00e4nsad. R\u00f6relsen beskrivs som en del av en bredare global omsv\u00e4ngning n\u00e4r handlare omv\u00e4rderar hur l\u00e5ngt centralbanker kommer att forts\u00e4tta h\u00f6ja r\u00e4ntorna j\u00e4mf\u00f6rt med 2022.\n\nUppg\u00e5ngen i nominella r\u00e4ntor (r\u00e4ntor utan justering f\u00f6r inflation) har inte fullt ut v\u00e4gt upp h\u00f6gre inflationsf\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar kopplade till oljeschocken. Som f\u00f6ljd har den tv\u00e5\u00e5riga reala swapdifferensen (skillnaden i realr\u00e4nta, allts\u00e5 nominell r\u00e4nta minus f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntad inflation, mellan tv\u00e5 marknader) r\u00f6rt sig till nackdel f\u00f6r EUR\/USD, vilket kan tynga valutaparet om ECB inte h\u00f6jer r\u00e4ntan i slutet av april samtidigt som inflationsf\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna ligger kvar p\u00e5 en h\u00f6g niv\u00e5.\n\nEUR\/USD har st\u00f6d kring 1,1440\/70 och kan stiga n\u00e5got om det kommer fler rapporter om nedtrappning fr\u00e5n Washington. En svagare siffra f\u00f6r amerikanskt konsumentf\u00f6rtroende anges ocks\u00e5 som en m\u00f6jlig utl\u00f6sare f\u00f6r en r\u00f6relse tillbaka mot 1,1550.\n\nF\u00f6rtroendet f\u00f6r att ligga l\u00e5ng EUR\/USD (att ha en position som tj\u00e4nar p\u00e5 att euron st\u00e4rks mot dollarn) beskrivs som begr\u00e4nsat s\u00e5 l\u00e4nge energifl\u00f6dena i Hormuzsundet fortsatt \u00e4r st\u00f6rda. Texten noterar att den har producerats med ett AI-verktyg och granskats av en redakt\u00f6r.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>B\u00f6rja handla nu &#8211; Klicka <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv\/trade-now\/\">h\u00e4r<\/a> f\u00f6r att skapa ditt riktiga VT Markets-konto <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kortsiktiga euroswapr\u00e4ntor viker efter 80 punkters rusning \u2013 men rekylen \u00e4r klen. H\u00f6gre inflationsf\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar pressar realr\u00e4ntediffen mot EUR\/USD. St\u00f6d 1,1440\/70; upp mot 1,1550 kr\u00e4ver svag USA-data\/avtrappning. Hormuzrisk tynger.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43741","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43741","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43741"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43741\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43741"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43741"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43741"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}