{"id":35337,"date":"2025-11-24T16:09:55","date_gmt":"2025-11-24T08:09:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=35337"},"modified":"2025-11-24T16:09:55","modified_gmt":"2025-11-24T08:09:55","slug":"gold-dips-as-fed-officials-signal-caution","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/analysis\/gold-dips-as-fed-officials-signal-caution\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold Dips as Fed Officials Signal Caution"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"559\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/10\/Image_fx-2025-10-02T112304981-1024x559.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-31436\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/10\/Image_fx-2025-10-02T112304981-1024x559.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/10\/Image_fx-2025-10-02T112304981-300x164.png 300w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/10\/Image_fx-2025-10-02T112304981-768x419.png 768w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/10\/Image_fx-2025-10-02T112304981.png 1408w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key Points<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Spot gold<\/strong> fell <strong>0.3% to $4,055.73<\/strong> per ounce.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Dollar index (USDX)<\/strong> near <strong>six-month highs above 100<\/strong>, capping bullion gains.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Fed rate cut odds<\/strong> eased to <strong>69%<\/strong>, down from <strong>74%<\/strong> a day earlier.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gold prices continued to weaken at the start of the week as the <strong>US dollar\u2019s strength<\/strong> made the metal more expensive for foreign traders. The dollarindex climbed above the key 100 mark, its highest level since May, following hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Williams&#39; comments boost odds of a Fed cut, though policy hawks remain adamant <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/w3Qh5nc5dD\">https:\/\/t.co\/w3Qh5nc5dD<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/w3Qh5nc5dD\">https:\/\/t.co\/w3Qh5nc5dD<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/1991986245392593225?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 21, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bullion, which typically moves inversely to the dollar, has struggled to find footing as traders dial back bets on an imminent rate cut. Markets are now pricing a <strong>69% probability<\/strong> of a <strong>25 bps reduction<\/strong> in December, compared with <strong>74%<\/strong> just a day earlier, according to the <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/markets\/interest-rates\/cme-fedwatch-tool.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"\">CME FedWatch Tool<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Fed\u2019s Mixed Messaging Keeps Bulls on the Sidelines<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While <strong>New York Fed President John Williams<\/strong> hinted last week that there may be room for easing \u201cin the near term,\u201d several of his colleagues struck a more cautious tone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan<\/strong> urged patience, while <strong>Cleveland\u2019s Loretta Mester<\/strong> and <strong>Chicago\u2019s Austan Goolsbee<\/strong> warned that cutting too quickly could reignite inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee signaled that he\u2019s still apprehensive about delivering another rate cut at the central bank\u2019s December meeting <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/PGBTEry8Td\">https:\/\/t.co\/PGBTEry8Td<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/1991581901828591995?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 20, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The conflicting signals have left gold traders in a holding pattern. With yields still elevated and <strong>safe-haven demand muted<\/strong>, traders are reluctant to push prices higher without a fresh catalyst.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gold has eased off its peak near 4,381 after a sharp multi-month climb, and the chart now shows a period of consolidation just above the 4,000 level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The moving averages remain in a bullish alignment overall, but the short-term lines have flattened, reflecting a slowdown in momentum after October\u2019s surge.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This cooling phase looks healthy rather than corrective for now, as price continues to hold above the rising 30-day average, which has acted as trend support since late August.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"449\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/11\/image-42-1024x449.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-35338\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/11\/image-42-1024x449.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/11\/image-42-300x132.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/11\/image-42-768x337.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/sv-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/11\/image-42.jpeg 1080w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The MACD, however, signals a loss of upside steam. The indicator has crossed below the signal line and dipped back toward neutral territory, suggesting buyers are stepping back after the strong run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If gold holds above 4,000 to 3,950, the broader uptrend remains intact and could resume once momentum rebuilds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A break below that support cluster would open the door to a deeper pullback toward the 3,700\u20133,800 zone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Upside continuation would require a clean move back above 4,200, which would show that demand is returning in force.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Cautious Outlook<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With the <strong>US dollar<\/strong> holding strong and <strong>Fed officials<\/strong> leaning hawkish, gold\u2019s upside appears capped in the near term. However, medium-term fundamentals remain supportive: <strong>central bank buying<\/strong>, <strong>de-dollarisation trends<\/strong>, and lingering <strong>fiscal uncertainty<\/strong> continue to underpin long-term demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Until rate expectations shift meaningfully, traders are likely to treat rallies as selling opportunities rather than the start of a new bullish leg.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Learn more about trading <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/precious-metals\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Precious Metals<\/a> on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">VT Markets<\/a> today.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold prices extended their decline on Monday, pressured by a stronger US dollar and reduced expectations for a December rate cut. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":31436,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[11],"class_list":["post-35337","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-gold"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":""},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - 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